Trader consensus pins Arizona, Michigan, and Duke as narrow frontrunners for the 2026 NCAA Tournament title, with probabilities clustered under 20% reflecting elite 2025 recruiting hauls—Arizona's top-five class anchored by five-stars like Joson Sanon, Michigan's surge under Dusty May via portal gems and commits, and Duke's loaded freshman influx building on Cooper Flagg's sophomore potential. This tightness underscores modern college hoops parity, fueled by transfer portal flux, looming NBA draft decisions, and unresolved commitments, where no program dominates amid widespread blue-blood reloads and mid-major threats. Early 2024-25 form will sharpen these way-too-early futures.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于亚利桑那 19.9%
密歇根 19%
杜克 18%
佛罗里达 9.3%
$21,805,898 交易量
$21,805,898 交易量
亚利桑那
20%
密歇根
19%
杜克
18%
佛罗里达
9%
休斯顿
7%
普渡大学
5%
爱荷华州立大学
5%
伊利诺伊
4%
康涅狄格
3%
密歇根州立大学
2%
阿肯色
2%
圣约翰大学
2%
冈萨加
2%
堪萨斯
1%
UCLA
1%
田纳西
1%
弗吉尼亚
1%
范德堡
1%
迈阿密(佛罗里达)
1%
阿拉巴马
<1%
德克萨斯理工大学
<1%
内布拉斯加
<1%
肯塔基
<1%
路易斯维尔
<1%
德克萨斯农工大学
<1%
爱荷华
<1%
TCU
<1%
圣路易斯
<1%
High Point
<1%
VCU
<1%
德克萨斯
<1%
犹他州立大学
<1%
亚利桑那 19.9%
密歇根 19%
杜克 18%
佛罗里达 9.3%
$21,805,898 交易量
$21,805,898 交易量
亚利桑那
20%
密歇根
19%
杜克
18%
佛罗里达
9%
休斯顿
7%
普渡大学
5%
爱荷华州立大学
5%
伊利诺伊
4%
康涅狄格
3%
密歇根州立大学
2%
阿肯色
2%
圣约翰大学
2%
冈萨加
2%
堪萨斯
1%
UCLA
1%
田纳西
1%
弗吉尼亚
1%
范德堡
1%
迈阿密(佛罗里达)
1%
阿拉巴马
<1%
德克萨斯理工大学
<1%
内布拉斯加
<1%
肯塔基
<1%
路易斯维尔
<1%
德克萨斯农工大学
<1%
爱荷华
<1%
TCU
<1%
圣路易斯
<1%
High Point
<1%
VCU
<1%
德克萨斯
<1%
犹他州立大学
<1%
If it is impossible for a team to win the 2026 NCAA Men’s Basketball Tournament according to the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated) , the corresponding market will immediately resolve to “No”.
If for any reason no winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be information from the NCAA.
市场开放时间: Oct 31, 2025, 7:31 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus pins Arizona, Michigan, and Duke as narrow frontrunners for the 2026 NCAA Tournament title, with probabilities clustered under 20% reflecting elite 2025 recruiting hauls—Arizona's top-five class anchored by five-stars like Joson Sanon, Michigan's surge under Dusty May via portal gems and commits, and Duke's loaded freshman influx building on Cooper Flagg's sophomore potential. This tightness underscores modern college hoops parity, fueled by transfer portal flux, looming NBA draft decisions, and unresolved commitments, where no program dominates amid widespread blue-blood reloads and mid-major threats. Early 2024-25 form will sharpen these way-too-early futures.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
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