No. 1 seeds Arizona, Michigan, and Duke have surged into the Elite Eight after dominant or clutch Sweet 16 wins on March 27, fueling trader consensus on their tight clustering at 27.2%, 23.5%, and 23.0% implied probabilities for the NCAA Tournament title. Arizona routed No. 4 Arkansas 109-88—their first Elite Eight since 2015—bolstered by interior scoring and 47% three-point shooting in the tournament. Michigan powered past No. 4 Alabama behind Yaxel Lendeborg's triple-double threat, while Duke rallied from a halftime deficit against No. 5 St. John's, keyed by Caleb Foster's improbable return from a foot fracture. Today's Elite Eight clashes—Arizona vs. Purdue, Michigan vs. Tennessee, Duke vs. UConn—present balanced paths amid Illinois' upset momentum and lingering injury uncertainties, keeping the Final Four race wide open per skin-in-the-game pricing.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于亚利桑那 27.2%
密歇根 24%
杜克 23%
伊利诺伊 11.9%
$21,979,724 交易量
$21,979,724 交易量
亚利桑那
27%
密歇根
24%
杜克
23%
伊利诺伊
12%
康涅狄格
5%
普渡大学
5%
田纳西
3%
爱荷华
2%
密歇根州立大学
<1%
爱荷华州立大学
<1%
亚利桑那 27.2%
密歇根 24%
杜克 23%
伊利诺伊 11.9%
$21,979,724 交易量
$21,979,724 交易量
亚利桑那
27%
密歇根
24%
杜克
23%
伊利诺伊
12%
康涅狄格
5%
普渡大学
5%
田纳西
3%
爱荷华
2%
密歇根州立大学
<1%
爱荷华州立大学
<1%
If it is impossible for a team to win the 2026 NCAA Men’s Basketball Tournament according to the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated) , the corresponding market will immediately resolve to “No”.
If for any reason no winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be information from the NCAA.
市场开放时间: Oct 31, 2025, 7:31 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...已提议结果: 否
无争议
最终结果: 否
If it is impossible for a team to win the 2026 NCAA Men’s Basketball Tournament according to the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated) , the corresponding market will immediately resolve to “No”.
If for any reason no winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be information from the NCAA.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...已提议结果: 否
无争议
最终结果: 否
No. 1 seeds Arizona, Michigan, and Duke have surged into the Elite Eight after dominant or clutch Sweet 16 wins on March 27, fueling trader consensus on their tight clustering at 27.2%, 23.5%, and 23.0% implied probabilities for the NCAA Tournament title. Arizona routed No. 4 Arkansas 109-88—their first Elite Eight since 2015—bolstered by interior scoring and 47% three-point shooting in the tournament. Michigan powered past No. 4 Alabama behind Yaxel Lendeborg's triple-double threat, while Duke rallied from a halftime deficit against No. 5 St. John's, keyed by Caleb Foster's improbable return from a foot fracture. Today's Elite Eight clashes—Arizona vs. Purdue, Michigan vs. Tennessee, Duke vs. UConn—present balanced paths amid Illinois' upset momentum and lingering injury uncertainties, keeping the Final Four race wide open per skin-in-the-game pricing.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
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警惕外部链接哦。
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