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体育·NCAA

2026年NCAA锦标赛冠军

Market icon
体育·NCAA

2026年NCAA锦标赛冠军

亚利桑那 36.4%

密歇根 22%

杜克 20%

伊利诺伊 14.2%

Polymarket

$22,675,033 交易量

亚利桑那 36.4%

密歇根 22%

杜克 20%

伊利诺伊 14.2%

Polymarket

$22,675,033 交易量

亚利桑那

$1,220,374 交易量

36%

密歇根

$1,077,451 交易量

22%

杜克

$967,410 交易量

20%

伊利诺伊

$1,375,618 交易量

14%

康涅狄格

$2,455,877 交易量

6%

田纳西

$1,107,680 交易量

2%

普渡大学

$3,393,968 交易量

<1%

This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2026 NCAA Men’s Basketball Tournament. If it is impossible for a team to win the 2026 NCAA Men’s Basketball Tournament according to the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated) , the corresponding market will immediately resolve to “No”. If for any reason no winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be information from the NCAA.Arizona leads trader consensus to win the 2026 NCAA Tournament at 36.4% implied probability, bolstered by a 35-2 record, No. 3 NET ranking, elite defense, and superior health entering the Elite Eight versus Purdue after navigating the West bracket unscathed, including a Big 12 Tournament title marred only by Jaden Bradley's brief injury in the final. Michigan follows at 21.5% with a 34-3 mark and No. 2 NET efficiency, though injury concerns linger post-Sweet 16 dominance, positioning them as Midwest No. 1 seeds against Tennessee in the Elite Eight. Duke's 19.5% reflects their top-ranked AP Poll status and 35-2 ledger but tempers after a gritty Sweet 16 rally past St. John's amid absences like Ngongba and Foster, while Illinois' 14.2% stems from Big Ten strength without comparable upside. Lower probabilities for UConn, Tennessee, Purdue, and Iowa signal tougher paths or recent stumbles in March Madness.

Arizona leads trader consensus to win the 2026 NCAA Tournament at 36.4% implied probability, bolstered by a 35-2 record, No. 3 NET ranking, elite defense, and superior health entering the Elite Eight versus Purdue after navigating the West bracket unscathed, including a Big 12 Tournament title marred only by Jaden Bradley's brief injury in the final. Michigan follows at 21.5% with a 34-3 mark and No. 2 NET efficiency, though injury concerns linger post-Sweet 16 dominance, positioning them as Midwest No. 1 seeds against Tennessee in the Elite Eight. Duke's 19.5% reflects their top-ranked AP Poll status and 35-2 ledger but tempers after a gritty Sweet 16 rally past St. John's amid absences like Ngongba and Foster, while Illinois' 14.2% stems from Big Ten strength without comparable upside. Lower probabilities for UConn, Tennessee, Purdue, and Iowa signal tougher paths or recent stumbles in March Madness.

基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2026 NCAA Men’s Basketball Tournament. If it is impossible for a team to win the 2026 NCAA Men’s Basketball Tournament according to the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated) , the corresponding market will immediately resolve to “No”. If for any reason no winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be information from the NCAA.Arizona leads trader consensus to win the 2026 NCAA Tournament at 36.4% implied probability, bolstered by a 35-2 record, No. 3 NET ranking, elite defense, and superior health entering the Elite Eight versus Purdue after navigating the West bracket unscathed, including a Big 12 Tournament title marred only by Jaden Bradley's brief injury in the final. Michigan follows at 21.5% with a 34-3 mark and No. 2 NET efficiency, though injury concerns linger post-Sweet 16 dominance, positioning them as Midwest No. 1 seeds against Tennessee in the Elite Eight. Duke's 19.5% reflects their top-ranked AP Poll status and 35-2 ledger but tempers after a gritty Sweet 16 rally past St. John's amid absences like Ngongba and Foster, while Illinois' 14.2% stems from Big Ten strength without comparable upside. Lower probabilities for UConn, Tennessee, Purdue, and Iowa signal tougher paths or recent stumbles in March Madness.

Arizona leads trader consensus to win the 2026 NCAA Tournament at 36.4% implied probability, bolstered by a 35-2 record, No. 3 NET ranking, elite defense, and superior health entering the Elite Eight versus Purdue after navigating the West bracket unscathed, including a Big 12 Tournament title marred only by Jaden Bradley's brief injury in the final. Michigan follows at 21.5% with a 34-3 mark and No. 2 NET efficiency, though injury concerns linger post-Sweet 16 dominance, positioning them as Midwest No. 1 seeds against Tennessee in the Elite Eight. Duke's 19.5% reflects their top-ranked AP Poll status and 35-2 ledger but tempers after a gritty Sweet 16 rally past St. John's amid absences like Ngongba and Foster, while Illinois' 14.2% stems from Big Ten strength without comparable upside. Lower probabilities for UConn, Tennessee, Purdue, and Iowa signal tougher paths or recent stumbles in March Madness.

基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于

警惕外部链接哦。

常见问题

"2026年NCAA锦标赛冠军"是 Polymarket 上一个拥有 70+ 个可能结果的预测市场，交易者根据自己的判断买卖份额。当前领先结果为"亚利桑那"，概率为 36%，其次是"密歇根"，概率为 22%。价格反映社区的实时概率。例如，价格为 36¢ 的份额意味着市场集体认为该结果的概率为 36%。这些赔率会随着交易者的反应而不断变化。正确结果的份额在市场结算时可兑换为每份 $1。

截至目前，"2026年NCAA锦标赛冠军"已产生 $22.7 million 的总交易量（自Oct 31, 2025市场上线以来）。这一活跃度反映了 Polymarket 社区的高度参与，并确保当前赔率由广泛的市场参与者共同形成。你可以直接在本页追踪实时价格变动并交易任何结果。

要在"2026年NCAA锦标赛冠军"上交易，浏览本页上列出的 70+ 个可用结果。每个结果显示一个代表市场隐含概率的当前价格。要建仓，选择你认为最可能的结果，选择"是"支持或"否"反对，输入金额并点击"交易"。如果你选择的结果在市场结算时正确，你的"是"份额每份支付 $1。如果不正确，支付 $0。你也可以在结算前随时卖出份额。

"2026年NCAA锦标赛冠军"的当前领先者是"亚利桑那"，概率为 36%，意味着市场对该结果的概率评估为 36%。紧随其后的结果是"密歇根"，概率为 22%。这些赔率随着交易者买卖份额而实时更新。请经常回来查看或将本页加入书签。

"2026年NCAA锦标赛冠军"的结算规则明确定义了每个结果被宣布为获胜者所需满足的条件——包括用于确定结果的官方数据来源。你可以在本页评论上方的"规则"部分查看完整的结算标准。我们建议在交易前仔细阅读规则，因为它们规定了精确的条件、特殊情况和数据来源。