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体育·NCAA

2026年NCAA锦标赛冠军

Market icon
体育·NCAA

2026年NCAA锦标赛冠军

亚利桑那 35.3%

密歇根 35%

伊利诺伊 17.9%

康涅狄格 13.5%

Polymarket

$23,345,193 交易量

亚利桑那 35.3%

密歇根 35%

伊利诺伊 17.9%

康涅狄格 13.5%

Polymarket

$23,345,193 交易量

亚利桑那

$1,303,742 交易量

35%

密歇根

$1,201,939 交易量

35%

伊利诺伊

$1,452,922 交易量

18%

康涅狄格

$2,672,309 交易量

14%

This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2026 NCAA Men’s Basketball Tournament. If it is impossible for a team to win the 2026 NCAA Men’s Basketball Tournament according to the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated) , the corresponding market will immediately resolve to “No”. If for any reason no winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be information from the NCAA.Arizona and Michigan lead Polymarket's 2026 NCAA Tournament winner odds at 35.3% and 34.5% implied probabilities following their Elite Eight triumphs—Arizona's dominant second-half surge past Purdue for its first Final Four since 2001, and Michigan's decisive win over Tennessee—positioning the No. 1 seeds as trader favorites amid balanced Final Four matchups. Illinois (17.8%) advanced via a late rally against Big Ten rival Iowa, while UConn (13.6%) stunned top seed Duke on Braylon Mullins' buzzer-beater with 0.4 seconds left, injecting upset volatility. The razor-thin gap atop the market reflects the wisdom of crowds pricing equivalent paths, superior KenPom ratings for the leaders (Arizona No. 1, Michigan top 5), and March Madness history of Final Four parity where seeds and momentum converge unpredictably.

Arizona and Michigan lead Polymarket's 2026 NCAA Tournament winner odds at 35.3% and 34.5% implied probabilities following their Elite Eight triumphs—Arizona's dominant second-half surge past Purdue for its first Final Four since 2001, and Michigan's decisive win over Tennessee—positioning the No. 1 seeds as trader favorites amid balanced Final Four matchups. Illinois (17.8%) advanced via a late rally against Big Ten rival Iowa, while UConn (13.6%) stunned top seed Duke on Braylon Mullins' buzzer-beater with 0.4 seconds left, injecting upset volatility. The razor-thin gap atop the market reflects the wisdom of crowds pricing equivalent paths, superior KenPom ratings for the leaders (Arizona No. 1, Michigan top 5), and March Madness history of Final Four parity where seeds and momentum converge unpredictably.

基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2026 NCAA Men’s Basketball Tournament. If it is impossible for a team to win the 2026 NCAA Men’s Basketball Tournament according to the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated) , the corresponding market will immediately resolve to “No”. If for any reason no winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be information from the NCAA.Arizona and Michigan lead Polymarket's 2026 NCAA Tournament winner odds at 35.3% and 34.5% implied probabilities following their Elite Eight triumphs—Arizona's dominant second-half surge past Purdue for its first Final Four since 2001, and Michigan's decisive win over Tennessee—positioning the No. 1 seeds as trader favorites amid balanced Final Four matchups. Illinois (17.8%) advanced via a late rally against Big Ten rival Iowa, while UConn (13.6%) stunned top seed Duke on Braylon Mullins' buzzer-beater with 0.4 seconds left, injecting upset volatility. The razor-thin gap atop the market reflects the wisdom of crowds pricing equivalent paths, superior KenPom ratings for the leaders (Arizona No. 1, Michigan top 5), and March Madness history of Final Four parity where seeds and momentum converge unpredictably.

Arizona and Michigan lead Polymarket's 2026 NCAA Tournament winner odds at 35.3% and 34.5% implied probabilities following their Elite Eight triumphs—Arizona's dominant second-half surge past Purdue for its first Final Four since 2001, and Michigan's decisive win over Tennessee—positioning the No. 1 seeds as trader favorites amid balanced Final Four matchups. Illinois (17.8%) advanced via a late rally against Big Ten rival Iowa, while UConn (13.6%) stunned top seed Duke on Braylon Mullins' buzzer-beater with 0.4 seconds left, injecting upset volatility. The razor-thin gap atop the market reflects the wisdom of crowds pricing equivalent paths, superior KenPom ratings for the leaders (Arizona No. 1, Michigan top 5), and March Madness history of Final Four parity where seeds and momentum converge unpredictably.

基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于

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常见问题

"2026年NCAA锦标赛冠军"是 Polymarket 上一个拥有 70+ 个可能结果的预测市场，交易者根据自己的判断买卖份额。当前领先结果为"亚利桑那"，概率为 35%，其次是"密歇根"，概率为 35%。价格反映社区的实时概率。例如，价格为 35¢ 的份额意味着市场集体认为该结果的概率为 35%。这些赔率会随着交易者的反应而不断变化。正确结果的份额在市场结算时可兑换为每份 $1。

截至目前，"2026年NCAA锦标赛冠军"已产生 $23.3 million 的总交易量（自Oct 31, 2025市场上线以来）。这一活跃度反映了 Polymarket 社区的高度参与，并确保当前赔率由广泛的市场参与者共同形成。你可以直接在本页追踪实时价格变动并交易任何结果。

要在"2026年NCAA锦标赛冠军"上交易，浏览本页上列出的 70+ 个可用结果。每个结果显示一个代表市场隐含概率的当前价格。要建仓，选择你认为最可能的结果，选择"是"支持或"否"反对，输入金额并点击"交易"。如果你选择的结果在市场结算时正确，你的"是"份额每份支付 $1。如果不正确，支付 $0。你也可以在结算前随时卖出份额。

"2026年NCAA锦标赛冠军"的当前领先者是"亚利桑那"，概率为 35%，意味着市场对该结果的概率评估为 35%。紧随其后的结果是"密歇根"，概率为 35%。这些赔率随着交易者买卖份额而实时更新。请经常回来查看或将本页加入书签。

"2026年NCAA锦标赛冠军"的结算规则明确定义了每个结果被宣布为获胜者所需满足的条件——包括用于确定结果的官方数据来源。你可以在本页评论上方的"规则"部分查看完整的结算标准。我们建议在交易前仔细阅读规则，因为它们规定了精确的条件、特殊情况和数据来源。