Michigan's commanding Final Four victory over No. 1 Arizona yesterday propelled trader consensus to 71.5% implied probability for the Wolverines to claim the 2026 NCAA Tournament title, capping a dominant March Madness run that included a 95-62 Elite Eight rout of Tennessee and consistent blowouts against top seeds as the No. 1 overall pick (35-3 record). UConn's 71-62 grind-out win over No. 3 Illinois advanced the No. 2 Huskies (34-5) to Monday's national championship matchup in Indianapolis—their third title game in four years amid dynasty talk—but traders view Michigan's superior depth, defensive efficiency, and peaking form as key edges on a neutral site. Eliminated Illinois and Arizona linger at 0.1% amid no realistic comeback paths.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于密歇根 72%
康涅狄格 28.1%
亚利桑那 <1%
伊利诺伊 <1%
$25,792,980 交易量
$25,792,980 交易量
2026-04-04
密歇根
72%
康涅狄格
28%
亚利桑那
<1%
伊利诺伊
<1%
密歇根 72%
康涅狄格 28.1%
亚利桑那 <1%
伊利诺伊 <1%
$25,792,980 交易量
$25,792,980 交易量
2026-04-04
密歇根
$1,625,095 交易量
72%
康涅狄格
$3,382,415 交易量
28%
亚利桑那
$2,077,415 交易量
<1%
伊利诺伊
$1,998,970 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2026 NCAA Men’s Basketball Tournament.
If it is impossible for a team to win the 2026 NCAA Men’s Basketball Tournament according to the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated) , the corresponding market will immediately resolve to “No”.
If for any reason no winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be information from the NCAA.Michigan's commanding Final Four victory over No. 1 Arizona yesterday propelled trader consensus to 71.5% implied probability for the Wolverines to claim the 2026 NCAA Tournament title, capping a dominant March Madness run that included a 95-62 Elite Eight rout of Tennessee and consistent blowouts against top seeds as the No. 1 overall pick (35-3 record). UConn's 71-62 grind-out win over No. 3 Illinois advanced the No. 2 Huskies (34-5) to Monday's national championship matchup in Indianapolis—their third title game in four years amid dynasty talk—but traders view Michigan's superior depth, defensive efficiency, and peaking form as key edges on a neutral site. Eliminated Illinois and Arizona linger at 0.1% amid no realistic comeback paths.
This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2026 NCAA Men’s Basketball Tournament.
If it is impossible for a team to win the 2026 NCAA Men’s Basketball Tournament according to the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated) , the corresponding market will immediately resolve to “No”.
If for any reason no winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be information from the NCAA.
If it is impossible for a team to win the 2026 NCAA Men’s Basketball Tournament according to the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated) , the corresponding market will immediately resolve to “No”.
If for any reason no winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be information from the NCAA.
市场开放时间： Oct 31, 2025, 7:31 PM ET
交易量
$25,792,980结束日期
2026-04-04市场开放时间
Oct 31, 2025, 7:31 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...已提议结果: 否
无争议
最终结果: 否
This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2026 NCAA Men’s Basketball Tournament.
If it is impossible for a team to win the 2026 NCAA Men’s Basketball Tournament according to the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated) , the corresponding market will immediately resolve to “No”.
If for any reason no winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be information from the NCAA.Michigan's commanding Final Four victory over No. 1 Arizona yesterday propelled trader consensus to 71.5% implied probability for the Wolverines to claim the 2026 NCAA Tournament title, capping a dominant March Madness run that included a 95-62 Elite Eight rout of Tennessee and consistent blowouts against top seeds as the No. 1 overall pick (35-3 record). UConn's 71-62 grind-out win over No. 3 Illinois advanced the No. 2 Huskies (34-5) to Monday's national championship matchup in Indianapolis—their third title game in four years amid dynasty talk—but traders view Michigan's superior depth, defensive efficiency, and peaking form as key edges on a neutral site. Eliminated Illinois and Arizona linger at 0.1% amid no realistic comeback paths.
This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2026 NCAA Men’s Basketball Tournament.
If it is impossible for a team to win the 2026 NCAA Men’s Basketball Tournament according to the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated) , the corresponding market will immediately resolve to “No”.
If for any reason no winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be information from the NCAA.
If it is impossible for a team to win the 2026 NCAA Men’s Basketball Tournament according to the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated) , the corresponding market will immediately resolve to “No”.
If for any reason no winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be information from the NCAA.
交易量
$25,792,980结束日期
2026-04-04市场开放时间
Oct 31, 2025, 7:31 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...已提议结果: 否
无争议
最终结果: 否
Michigan's commanding Final Four victory over No. 1 Arizona yesterday propelled trader consensus to 71.5% implied probability for the Wolverines to claim the 2026 NCAA Tournament title, capping a dominant March Madness run that included a 95-62 Elite Eight rout of Tennessee and consistent blowouts against top seeds as the No. 1 overall pick (35-3 record). UConn's 71-62 grind-out win over No. 3 Illinois advanced the No. 2 Huskies (34-5) to Monday's national championship matchup in Indianapolis—their third title game in four years amid dynasty talk—but traders view Michigan's superior depth, defensive efficiency, and peaking form as key edges on a neutral site. Eliminated Illinois and Arizona linger at 0.1% amid no realistic comeback paths.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
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警惕外部链接哦。
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