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体育·国际象棋

2026 FIDE Candidates Tournament: Winner

Market icon
体育·国际象棋

2026 FIDE Candidates Tournament: Winner

Fabiano Caruana 28%

Hikaru Nakamura 22%

Javokhir Sindarov 15%

Praggnanandhaa R 15%

Polymarket

$1,390,321 交易量

Fabiano Caruana 28%

Hikaru Nakamura 22%

Javokhir Sindarov 15%

Praggnanandhaa R 15%

Polymarket

$1,390,321 交易量

Fabiano Caruana

$113,385 交易量

28%

Hikaru Nakamura

$139,403 交易量

22%

Javokhir Sindarov

$105,378 交易量

15%

Praggnanandhaa R

$94,455 交易量

15%

Wei Yi

$217,388 交易量

12%

Anish Giri

$102,537 交易量

7%

Andrey Esipenko

$473,092 交易量

3%

Matthias Bluebaum

$144,689 交易量

3%

This market will resolve to the player that wins the 2026 FIDE Candidates Tournament scheduled for March 29 - April 16, 2026. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 FIDE Candidates Tournament per the rules of the FIDE, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”. If the 2026 FIDE Candidates Tournament is cancelled, or postponed after April 30, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source will be official information from FIDE; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus prices Fabiano Caruana as a slim favorite at 27% implied probability to win the 2026 FIDE Candidates Tournament, edging Hikaru Nakamura's 22% on Caruana's proven classical pedigree as 2024 FIDE Circuit winner and recent runner-up finishes despite late stumbles in Saint Louis Masters. Nakamura holds the top FIDE rating at 2810, but his rapid/blitz dominance tempers enthusiasm for the double round-robin format. Rising stars Praggnanandhaa R (15%, 2025 FIDE Circuit topper) and Javokhir Sindarov (14.5%, 2025 World Cup champion) keep the field bunched, fueled by strong qualification paths and recent online surges like Sindarov's multiple Titled Tuesday victories. With Round 1 underway in Cyprus—Caruana-Nakamura headline—the parity in ratings (2698-2810) and mixed pre-event form underscores a tightly contested race absent a dominant force like past Magnus Carlsen cycles.

Trader consensus prices Fabiano Caruana as a slim favorite at 27% implied probability to win the 2026 FIDE Candidates Tournament, edging Hikaru Nakamura's 22% on Caruana's proven classical pedigree as 2024 FIDE Circuit winner and recent runner-up finishes despite late stumbles in Saint Louis Masters. Nakamura holds the top FIDE rating at 2810, but his rapid/blitz dominance tempers enthusiasm for the double round-robin format. Rising stars Praggnanandhaa R (15%, 2025 FIDE Circuit topper) and Javokhir Sindarov (14.5%, 2025 World Cup champion) keep the field bunched, fueled by strong qualification paths and recent online surges like Sindarov's multiple Titled Tuesday victories. With Round 1 underway in Cyprus—Caruana-Nakamura headline—the parity in ratings (2698-2810) and mixed pre-event form underscores a tightly contested race absent a dominant force like past Magnus Carlsen cycles.

基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
This market will resolve to the player that wins the 2026 FIDE Candidates Tournament scheduled for March 29 - April 16, 2026. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 FIDE Candidates Tournament per the rules of the FIDE, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”. If the 2026 FIDE Candidates Tournament is cancelled, or postponed after April 30, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source will be official information from FIDE; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus prices Fabiano Caruana as a slim favorite at 27% implied probability to win the 2026 FIDE Candidates Tournament, edging Hikaru Nakamura's 22% on Caruana's proven classical pedigree as 2024 FIDE Circuit winner and recent runner-up finishes despite late stumbles in Saint Louis Masters. Nakamura holds the top FIDE rating at 2810, but his rapid/blitz dominance tempers enthusiasm for the double round-robin format. Rising stars Praggnanandhaa R (15%, 2025 FIDE Circuit topper) and Javokhir Sindarov (14.5%, 2025 World Cup champion) keep the field bunched, fueled by strong qualification paths and recent online surges like Sindarov's multiple Titled Tuesday victories. With Round 1 underway in Cyprus—Caruana-Nakamura headline—the parity in ratings (2698-2810) and mixed pre-event form underscores a tightly contested race absent a dominant force like past Magnus Carlsen cycles.

Trader consensus prices Fabiano Caruana as a slim favorite at 27% implied probability to win the 2026 FIDE Candidates Tournament, edging Hikaru Nakamura's 22% on Caruana's proven classical pedigree as 2024 FIDE Circuit winner and recent runner-up finishes despite late stumbles in Saint Louis Masters. Nakamura holds the top FIDE rating at 2810, but his rapid/blitz dominance tempers enthusiasm for the double round-robin format. Rising stars Praggnanandhaa R (15%, 2025 FIDE Circuit topper) and Javokhir Sindarov (14.5%, 2025 World Cup champion) keep the field bunched, fueled by strong qualification paths and recent online surges like Sindarov's multiple Titled Tuesday victories. With Round 1 underway in Cyprus—Caruana-Nakamura headline—the parity in ratings (2698-2810) and mixed pre-event form underscores a tightly contested race absent a dominant force like past Magnus Carlsen cycles.

基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于

警惕外部链接哦。

常见问题

"2026 FIDE Candidates Tournament: Winner"是 Polymarket 上一个拥有 8 个可能结果的预测市场，交易者根据自己的判断买卖份额。当前领先结果为"Fabiano Caruana"，概率为 28%，其次是"Hikaru Nakamura"，概率为 22%。价格反映社区的实时概率。例如，价格为 28¢ 的份额意味着市场集体认为该结果的概率为 28%。这些赔率会随着交易者的反应而不断变化。正确结果的份额在市场结算时可兑换为每份 $1。

截至目前，"2026 FIDE Candidates Tournament: Winner"已产生 $1.4 million 的总交易量（自Mar 18, 2026市场上线以来）。这一活跃度反映了 Polymarket 社区的高度参与，并确保当前赔率由广泛的市场参与者共同形成。你可以直接在本页追踪实时价格变动并交易任何结果。

要在"2026 FIDE Candidates Tournament: Winner"上交易，浏览本页上列出的 8 个可用结果。每个结果显示一个代表市场隐含概率的当前价格。要建仓，选择你认为最可能的结果，选择"是"支持或"否"反对，输入金额并点击"交易"。如果你选择的结果在市场结算时正确，你的"是"份额每份支付 $1。如果不正确，支付 $0。你也可以在结算前随时卖出份额。

"2026 FIDE Candidates Tournament: Winner"的当前领先者是"Fabiano Caruana"，概率为 28%，意味着市场对该结果的概率评估为 28%。紧随其后的结果是"Hikaru Nakamura"，概率为 22%。这些赔率随着交易者买卖份额而实时更新。请经常回来查看或将本页加入书签。

"2026 FIDE Candidates Tournament: Winner"的结算规则明确定义了每个结果被宣布为获胜者所需满足的条件——包括用于确定结果的官方数据来源。你可以在本页评论上方的"规则"部分查看完整的结算标准。我们建议在交易前仔细阅读规则，因为它们规定了精确的条件、特殊情况和数据来源。