longdated-poli

加入时间 4月 2024·274 浏览量

$10.3K

持仓价值

$593.55

最高赢利

3,587

交易过的市场

总盈亏: -$54.9K
总交易量: 7M

盈亏

-$199.24

过去 24 小时

盘口

均价

Will Russia capture Svitle by October 31?

No 90.7¢

893.4 份额

90.7¢

88.9¢

$794.71-$15.61 (-1.93%)

Will Russia capture Svitle by October 31?

No 90.7¢

893.4 份额

$794.71-$15.61 (-1.93%)

Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 31, 2026?

Yes 89.3¢

891.9 份额

89.3¢

85.1¢

$758.54-$38.08 (-4.78%)

Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 31, 2026?

Yes 89.3¢

891.9 份额

$758.54-$38.08 (-4.78%)

Will the next Claude Haiku model (4.6+) debut at a score of at least 1400 by June 30, 2027?

Yes 93.2¢

831.9 份额

93.2¢

90¢

$748.69-$26.48 (-3.42%)

Will the next Claude Haiku model (4.6+) debut at a score of at least 1400 by June 30, 2027?

Yes 93.2¢

831.9 份额

$748.69-$26.48 (-3.42%)

Will Anduril's valuation hit (LOW) $75B by December 31?

No 92.3¢

808.3 份额

92.3¢

84.5¢

$683.00-$62.65 (-8.4%)

Will Anduril's valuation hit (LOW) $75B by December 31?

No 92.3¢

808.3 份额

$683.00-$62.65 (-8.4%)

Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?

No 77¢

657.2 份额

77¢

73.5¢

$483.02-$23.00 (-4.55%)

Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?

No 77¢

657.2 份额

$483.02-$23.00 (-4.55%)

Will Brad Bradford win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election?

No 76¢

649.5 份额

76¢

73.5¢

$477.40-$16.24 (-3.29%)

Will Brad Bradford win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election?

No 76¢

649.5 份额

$477.40-$16.24 (-3.29%)

Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.5T and $1.75T at market close on IPO day?

No 92.2¢

498.9 份额

92.2¢

89.9¢

$448.23-$11.84 (-2.57%)

Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.5T and $1.75T at market close on IPO day?

No 92.2¢

498.9 份额

$448.23-$11.84 (-2.57%)

Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1480?

Yes 93.4¢

1,070.4 份额

93.4¢

40.8¢

$436.21-$563.78 (-56.38%)

Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1480?

Yes 93.4¢

1,070.4 份额

$436.21-$563.78 (-56.38%)

Will the Ornn B200 Index hit $5.50 (LOW) by December 31, 2026?

Yes 91.7¢

839.8 份额

91.7¢

51.3¢

$430.83-$339.05 (-44.04%)

Will the Ornn B200 Index hit $5.50 (LOW) by December 31, 2026?

Yes 91.7¢

839.8 份额

$430.83-$339.05 (-44.04%)

Will Olivia Chow win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election?

Yes 76¢

525.3 份额

76¢

73.5¢

$386.09-$13.13 (-3.29%)

Will Olivia Chow win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election?

Yes 76¢

525.3 份额

$386.09-$13.13 (-3.29%)

Will Gemini Argon debut with a Humanity's Last Exam score of 45% or higher?

Yes 92.1¢

454.9 份额

92.1¢

84.5¢

$384.38-$34.63 (-8.27%)

Will Gemini Argon debut with a Humanity's Last Exam score of 45% or higher?

Yes 92.1¢

454.9 份额

$384.38-$34.63 (-8.27%)

Will $ANSEM dip to $0.08 before 2027?

Yes 91¢

616.4 份额

91¢

60.1¢

$370.15-$190.88 (-34.02%)

Will $ANSEM dip to $0.08 before 2027?

Yes 91¢

616.4 份额

$370.15-$190.88 (-34.02%)

Will OpenAI launch a new consumer hardware product by December 31, 2026?

No 82.5¢

403.8 份额

82.5¢

80.5¢

$325.03-$8.12 (-2.44%)

Will OpenAI launch a new consumer hardware product by December 31, 2026?

No 82.5¢

403.8 份额

$325.03-$8.12 (-2.44%)

Will Big Walk win Best Independent Game at the 2026 Game Awards?

No 82.7¢

479.8 份额

82.7¢

61.3¢

$293.86-$102.85 (-25.93%)

Will Big Walk win Best Independent Game at the 2026 Game Awards?

No 82.7¢

479.8 份额

$293.86-$102.85 (-25.93%)

Houthis enter Aden by November 30, 2026?

No 86¢

297.0 份额

86¢

83.5¢

$247.98-$7.42 (-2.91%)

Houthis enter Aden by November 30, 2026?

No 86¢

297.0 份额

$247.98-$7.42 (-2.91%)

Situational Awareness raises new capital by October 31?

No 93¢

242.9 份额

93¢

91.5¢

$222.23-$3.64 (-1.61%)

Situational Awareness raises new capital by October 31?

No 93¢

242.9 份额

$222.23-$3.64 (-1.61%)

Will the Republican Party win the NY-21 House seat?

Yes 79.2¢

297.6 份额

79.2¢

73¢

$217.22-$18.56 (-7.87%)

Will the Republican Party win the NY-21 House seat?

Yes 79.2¢

297.6 份额

$217.22-$18.56 (-7.87%)

Will Kuomintang (KMT) win the most head of local government elections in the 2026 Taiwan local elections?

Yes 84.7¢

264.6 份额

84.7¢

81¢

$214.34-$9.67 (-4.32%)

Will Kuomintang (KMT) win the most head of local government elections in the 2026 Taiwan local elections?

Yes 84.7¢

264.6 份额

$214.34-$9.67 (-4.32%)

Will the Ornn B200 Index hit $5.00 (LOW) by December 31, 2026?

Yes 84.5¢

429.3 份额

84.5¢

48.5¢

$208.23-$154.59 (-42.61%)

Will the Ornn B200 Index hit $5.00 (LOW) by December 31, 2026?

Yes 84.5¢

429.3 份额

$208.23-$154.59 (-42.61%)

Will the DFM Real Estate Index dip to 10,000 in 2026?

No 87.7¢

258.4 份额

87.7¢

75.5¢

$195.10-$31.62 (-13.94%)

Will the DFM Real Estate Index dip to 10,000 in 2026?

No 87.7¢

258.4 份额

$195.10-$31.62 (-13.94%)