google_one_tap

US-geo promotional popup. Variant sets the initial state (expanded vs minimized).

us_popup

Improved notification preferences and types.

notifications_v2

authenticated_book_ws

Improved in-game view for sports markets.

mobile_sports_overlay_v2

async_order_submission

Enable updates from the sports websocket.

sports_websocket

Show/hide language selector in navigation

language_selector

Auto-detect and redirect based on browser language

auto_locale_detection

Show BTC 15-minute up/down market in 3rd slot on homepage.

homepage_btc_15m_slot

signup_prompt

Show personalized Picked for You shelf on homepage

picked_for_you

Auto-redeem prompt for closed market positions

auto_redeem

Kill switch — when enabled, hides sponsor and cancel-sponsorship UI

disable_sponsor_markets

Route /search to the search ranking service

search_ranking

Route navbar search to the search ranking service

search_ranking_autocomplete

Route /search and navbar search to Shaped-backed /search-v3 (vs Typesense /search-v2).

search_v3

Enables the new contracts (PMCT) migration: post-migration modal, USDCe→pUSD wrap UI, new allowance reads/approvals, balance upgrade prompts, and the cancelled-orders portfolio tab.

enable_pmct_migration

Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Extended FDV above $300M one day after launch?

Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?

Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?

Will Trump say "Hottest" at the Kennedy Center Honors event?

Will Netflix say "Gaming" during earnings call?

Will Starmer say "War" during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?

Will Trump say "North Carolina" during the State of the Union address?

Will Trump say "Hormuz" during Address to the Nation?

Will Tyson Foods (TSN) beat quarterly earnings?

Will Trump say "Egg" or "Beef" during the McDonald's Summit on November 17?

Will International Business Machines (IBM) beat quarterly earnings?

Ethereum Up or Down - December 7, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET

Will Trump say "Million" or "Billion" or "Trillion" 12+ times during Pennsylvania events on December 9?

Will Donald Trump say "eighth war" or "eight wars" during Ukraine President events on December 28?

Will Trump say "Iowa" during Wisconsin events?

Will Starmer say "Hundred" or "Thousand" 5+ times during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?

Will Trump say "Frack" or "Fracking" during Pennsylvania events on December 9?

Will Kinder Morgan (KMI) beat quarterly earnings?

Will Chewy say "SmartEquine" during earnings call?

Will MrBeast say "Sponsor" or "Sponsored" during his next video?

Will Tesla say "Regulator" or "Regulation" or "Regulatory" during earnings call?

Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during the McDonald's Summit on November 17?

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 5, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET

Will PagerDuty (PD) beat quarterly earnings?

Will Powell say "Tariff" 13+ times during December press conference?

Will Donald Trump say "Bibi" 3+ times during Israel President events on December 29?

Will "Free Solo" be said 5+ times during the Taipei 101 climb?

Will Trump say "NATO" during WEF Address on January 21?

Will Trump say "Job" 20+ times during Pennsylvania events on December 9?

zippa

Will "M5" be said during the NYC Apple event on March 4?

Will Leavitt say "State of the Union" during the next White House Press Briefing?

Will Mamdani say "Rent" or "Landlord" during the next NYC Mayor's Office announcement?

Will "Massacre" be said during the Valorant Masters Grand Finals?

Will JD Vance say "Iran" or "Ukraine" during the fundraiser?

Will JD Vance say "Ass" or "Crazy" during the fundraiser?

Will Trump say "Karoline Leavitt" during Women's History Month event?

Will Coca-Cola say "Bacardi" during earnings call?

動態

授權代幣交易支出

部署智慧合約錢包以啟用交易

簽署訊息以生成您的 API 金鑰

啟用交易

資金已啟用

你的帳戶需要遷移到新錢包才能繼續交易。先部署新的存款錢包，然後把資金轉過去。

升級你的帳戶

請先啟用你的資金

遷移完成

錢包仍在部署中

轉帳未完成，請重試。

根據你的預測買“是”或“否”份額。賠率會隨著其他交易者的交易即時變動。

1. 選一個預測盤口

1.逛逛我們的預測盤口

用加密貨幣、簽帳金融卡或銀行轉賬給賬號充值，然後就可以開始交易。

2. 進行交易

隨時賣掉你的“是”或“否”份額，或者等盤口封盤後，憑贏利的份額兌換 1 美元/份。註冊賬號，幾分鐘就能完成第一筆交易。

3.兌付

排行榜

你的會話需要重置才能進行交易。請登出然後重新登入。

連線問題

，並聲明你 (i) 不是美國人；(ii) 不在美國、法國或其他受限管轄區；(iii) 未使用 VPN 或其他方式規避限制。如果你不遵守這些條款，Polymarket 保留將你的錢包設為僅限關倉模式的權利。

在 Polymarket 上交易

，證明你不是美國居民，且不位於美國或任何受限地區。

如需繼續使用本網站的交易功能，請填寫

需要自我認證

，包括如果你認為收到此訊息是錯誤的。

由於可能違反我們的服務條款，你的帳戶已被設為僅限關倉模式。你可以關閉現有持倉，但無法開新倉。如需了解更多資訊，請聯繫

交易已暫停

以下地區無法進行交易。禁止使用任何手段規避或試圖規避這些限制。

僅查看模式

{total} 個訂單中有 {failed} 個取消失敗，請重試。

{count} 個訂單

贏了之後，獎金自動到賬。不需要手動操作。

自動兌換已關閉

自動兌換已開啟

自動兌換失敗

重新啟用自動兌換

自動兌換獎金

立即收款

出了點問題

你可以平掉這些已結算的持倉，確認最終虧損金額。

虧損的預測盤口

兌換失敗

此操作會合並所有符合條件的盤口持倉。

合併 ${amount} 持倉

您的獎金已準備就緒，繼續交易吧！

我剛在 @Polymarket 贏了 ${amount}！

快來和我一起，把你的預判變成真金白銀：

你的 Polymarket 錢包地址

我剛在 @Polymarket 建立了一筆組合交易。

來做反向交易：

我剛在 @Polymarket 上交易了。

來跟我交易：

來看看我在 @Polymarket 上的盈虧吧。

來看看我在 @Polymarket 上的資料吧。

來看看 @Polymarket 上的這筆交易。

組合已更新

報價在成交前已過期。你的倉位沒有變化，請再試一次以取得最新報價。

未能完成賣出

組合交易失敗

將多項預測合併成一筆交易，獲得更高的潛在收益

組合訂單

把 1 份“是”和 1 份“否”合併成 1 USDC。不想持倉時，這麼做能省成本。

合併份額

訂單簿

重大價格滑點

把 1 USDC 拆成 1 份“是”和 1  份“否”。這麼做能省成本，方法是先都買了，再賣掉另一邊就行

拆分份額

交易即表示你同意本使用條款，包括你不是 (i) 美國人且 (ii) 不在美國、法國或其他受限地區。

若要開始使用升級後的系統交易,請在錢包中核准遷移。這是一次性操作。

完成遷移

你的 USDC.e 將以 1:1 比例轉換為 pUSD。零手續費,涵蓋所有持倉,可全額贖回。

餘額遷移

請登入你的帳戶,讓我們遷移你的餘額並核准新合約。

請登入以繼續

你的餘額與持倉已完成遷移。一切就緒。

我們在底層做了一些調整,讓交易更穩定可靠。