Will Hamas agree to disarm by...?
全球·Politics

Will Hamas agree to disarm by...?

24%

June 30, 2026

$1M 交易量

$22.7K Liq.

155

Ends in 4 months

What will be the #2 global Netflix movie this week?
全球·Movies

What will be the #2 global Netflix movie this week?

86%

Louis Theroux: Inside The Manosphere

$105K 交易量

$20.0K Liq.

Ends in 2 days

What will be the #2 global Netflix show this week?
全球·Movies

What will be the #2 global Netflix show this week?

53%

Love is Blind: The Reunion

$19.9K 交易量

$13.0K Liq.

Ends in 2 days

What will be the top global Netflix show this week?
全球·Movies

What will be the top global Netflix show this week?

65%

One Piece: Season 2

$56.8K 交易量

$20.3K Liq.

Ends in 2 days

What will be the top global Netflix movie this week?
全球·Movies

What will be the top global Netflix movie this week?

98%

War Machine

$27.2K 交易量

$19.9K Liq.

Ends in 2 days

Valorant: T1 Academy vs Gen.G Global Academy (BO3) - VCL Korea: Regular Season
全球·Sports

Valorant: T1 Academy vs Gen.G Global Academy (BO3) - VCL Korea: Regular Season

75%

T1 Academy

$7 交易量

$678 Liq.

Ends in 4 days

Counter-Strike: MOUZ NXT vs Nuclear TigeRES (BO3) - IEM Atlanta: Global Open Qualifier Playoffs
全球·Sports

Counter-Strike: MOUZ NXT vs Nuclear TigeRES (BO3) - IEM Atlanta: Global Open Qualifier Playoffs

Nuclear TigeRES

$7.1K 交易量

$0 Liq.

Where will 2026 rank among the hottest years on record?
全球·Science

Where will 2026 rank among the hottest years on record?

42%

2

$2M 交易量

$110K Liq.

19

Ends in 10 months

March 2026 Temperature Increase (ºC)
全球·Science

March 2026 Temperature Increase (ºC)

29%

1.20–1.24ºC

$98.5K 交易量

$28.6K Liq.

Ends in 26 days

2026 March 1st, 2nd, 3rd hottest on record?
全球·Science

2026 March 1st, 2nd, 3rd hottest on record?

97%

4th or lower

$117K 交易量

$19.2K Liq.

Ends in 26 days

Will any month of 2026 be the hottest on record?
全球·Science

Will any month of 2026 be the hottest on record?

73%

$65.6K 交易量

$3.2K Liq.

4

Ends in 10 months

Iran Nuke before 2027?
全球·Politics

Iran Nuke before 2027?

15%

$356K 交易量

$38.0K Liq.

Ends in 10 months

Which companies added to S&P 500 in Q1 2026?
全球·Finance

Which companies added to S&P 500 in Q1 2026?

3%

Affirm Holdings (AFRM)

$675K 交易量

$23.7K Liq.

Ends in 16 days

Which artists will have #1 hits in April?
全球·Music

Which artists will have #1 hits in April?

70%

Bruno Mars

$19.0K 交易量

$5.8K Liq.

Ends in about 2 months

Major volcano eruption (VEI ≥6) in 2026?
全球·Science

Major volcano eruption (VEI ≥6) in 2026?

11%

$35.8K 交易量

$18.4K Liq.

8

Ends in about 1 year

How many large volcano eruptions (VEI ≥4) in 2026?
全球·Science

How many large volcano eruptions (VEI ≥4) in 2026?

48%

1

$564K 交易量

$15.3K Liq.

9

Ends in about 1 year

100% tariff on Canada in effect by June 30?
全球·Politics

100% tariff on Canada in effect by June 30?

8%

$34.4K 交易量

$14.2K Liq.

4

Ends in 4 months

Tariff increase on Canada in effect by June 30?
全球·Politics

Tariff increase on Canada in effect by June 30?

13%

$28.9K 交易量

$7.6K Liq.

4

Ends in 4 months

Coinbase (COIN) Up or Down on March 16?
全球·Finance

Coinbase (COIN) Up or Down on March 16?

47%

Up

$0 交易量

$319 Liq.

Ends in 2 days

Will Faker win a Finals MVP Award at an international event in 2026?
全球·Sports

Will Faker win a Finals MVP Award at an international event in 2026?

13%

$0 交易量

$5.1K Liq.

2

Ends in 10 months

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like 全球.

Polymarket currently hosts 312 active markets for 全球 that lets you track or trade on predictions like “Will Hamas agree to disarm by...?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $5.3M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “Will any month of 2026 be the hottest on record?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “Where will 2026 rank among the hottest years on record?,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “Where will 2026 rank among the hottest years on record?,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 42% chance to 2. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on 全球 predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.