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Will $ETH flip $BTC in market cap in 2022?

Market icon

Will $ETH flip $BTC in market cap in 2022?

Ended: Jan 1, 2023

12PM

12PM Mar 30

12PM Mar 31

12PM Apr 1

Ended: Jan 1, 2023

12PM

12PM Mar 30

12PM Mar 31

12PM Apr 1

This is a market on whether the USD-denominated market capitalization of $ETH (Ethereum) will surpass that of $BTC (Bitcoin) at any time by December 31st, 2022, 11:59 PM ET, according to CoinGecko. The resolution source for this market will be the “Market Cap” statistic and historical data section on each of the respective cryptocurrency’s CoinGecko listings currently available at https://www.coingecko.com/en/coins/bitcoin and https://www.coingecko.com/en/coins/ethereum. This market will resolve to "Yes" if at any point in 2022 the market cap of $ETH is greater than that of $BTC, often dubbed “The Flippening”. If, by the resolution date, the market cap of $ETH was never greater than that of $BTC at any given state of time, according to CoinGecko, then this market will resolve to “No”. If the links to the sources change, the new changed link sources will be used. In the event that CoinGecko becomes permanently disabled or unavailable, CoinMarketCap will instead be referenced as the resolution source.

This is a market on whether the USD-denominated market capitalization of $ETH (Ethereum) will surpass that of $BTC (Bitcoin) at any time by December 31st, 2022, 11:59 PM ET, according to CoinGecko. The resolution source for this market will be the “Market Cap” statistic and historical data section on each of the respective cryptocurrency’s CoinGecko listings currently available at https://www.coingecko.com/en/coins/bitcoin and https://www.coingecko.com/en/coins/ethereum. This market will resolve to "Yes" if at any point in 2022 the market cap of $ETH is greater than that of $BTC, often dubbed “The Flippening”. If, by the resolution date, the market cap of $ETH was never greater than that of $BTC at any given state of time, according to CoinGecko, then this market will resolve to “No”. If the links to the sources change, the new changed link sources will be used. In the event that CoinGecko becomes permanently disabled or unavailable, CoinMarketCap will instead be referenced as the resolution source.

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"Will $ETH flip $BTC in market cap in 2022?" is a prediction market on Polymarket where traders buy and sell "Yes" or "No" shares based on whether they believe this event will happen. The current crowd-sourced probability is 0% for "Yes." For example, if "Yes" is priced at 0¢, the market collectively assigns a 0% chance that this event will occur. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Will $ETH flip $BTC in market cap in 2022?" has generated $55.8K in total trading volume since the market launched on Jan 11, 2022. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Will $ETH flip $BTC in market cap in 2022?," simply choose whether you believe the answer is "Yes" or "No." Each side has a current price that reflects the market's implied probability. Enter your amount and click "Trade." If you buy "Yes" shares and the outcome resolves as "Yes," each share pays out $1. If it resolves as "No," your "Yes" shares pay $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current probability for "Will $ETH flip $BTC in market cap in 2022?" is 0% for "Yes." This means the Polymarket crowd currently believes there is a 0% chance that this event will occur. These odds update in real-time based on actual trades, providing a continuously updated signal of what the market expects to happen.

The resolution rules for "Will $ETH flip $BTC in market cap in 2022?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.