Elena Rybakina's Australian Open title win over Aryna Sabalenka in late January positions her as the only player eligible for a women's Calendar Grand Slam in 2026, yet trader consensus heavily favors "None" at 97.9% implied probability due to the feat's extreme rarity—no woman has achieved it in the Open Era since Steffi Graf in 1988. The challenge demands flawless mastery across diverse surfaces: upcoming French Open clay (not Rybakina's strongest), Wimbledon grass (where she triumphed in 2022), and US Open hardcourts, amid WTA depth from No. 1 Sabalenka, Coco Gauff, and Iga Swiatek. Her strong 21-5 record through early April, including recent Masters 1000 finals, supports her slim 2.1% odds, but injury risks or clay struggles could end her bid prematurely.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於$1,560,665 交易量
$1,560,665 交易量
無
98%
伊蓮娜·雷巴金娜
2%
$1,560,665 交易量
$1,560,665 交易量
無
98%
伊蓮娜·雷巴金娜
2%
This market resolves to the single woman player who wins the Women's Singles titles at all four Grand Slam tournaments in 2026. The relevant 2026 Grand Slams are the Women's Singles tournaments in the 2026 Australian Open, French Open, U.S. Open, and Wimbledon.
For the purpose of this market, a tournament victory is valid regardless of whether the final was won via a walkover, a mid-match retirement, or a standard completed match.
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to achieve a Calendar Grand Slam in 2026 (e.g. Sabalenka does not win the 2026 Australian Open) this market will resolve immediately to "No".
If at any point it becomes impossible for any listed player to achieve a Calendar Grand Slam in 2026 (e.g. Sabalenka wins the 2026 Australian Open but loses in the first round of 2026 French Open) this market will resolve immediately to "None".
Otherwise, this market will resolve when the results of the final 2026 Grand Slam are official.
If any of the 2026 Grand Slam Women' Singles Tournaments are cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “None”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the organizers of the Grand Slam tournaments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市場開放時間: Jan 6, 2026, 7:09 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market resolves to the single woman player who wins the Women's Singles titles at all four Grand Slam tournaments in 2026. The relevant 2026 Grand Slams are the Women's Singles tournaments in the 2026 Australian Open, French Open, U.S. Open, and Wimbledon.
For the purpose of this market, a tournament victory is valid regardless of whether the final was won via a walkover, a mid-match retirement, or a standard completed match.
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to achieve a Calendar Grand Slam in 2026 (e.g. Sabalenka does not win the 2026 Australian Open) this market will resolve immediately to "No".
If at any point it becomes impossible for any listed player to achieve a Calendar Grand Slam in 2026 (e.g. Sabalenka wins the 2026 Australian Open but loses in the first round of 2026 French Open) this market will resolve immediately to "None".
Otherwise, this market will resolve when the results of the final 2026 Grand Slam are official.
If any of the 2026 Grand Slam Women' Singles Tournaments are cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “None”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the organizers of the Grand Slam tournaments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Elena Rybakina's Australian Open title win over Aryna Sabalenka in late January positions her as the only player eligible for a women's Calendar Grand Slam in 2026, yet trader consensus heavily favors "None" at 97.9% implied probability due to the feat's extreme rarity—no woman has achieved it in the Open Era since Steffi Graf in 1988. The challenge demands flawless mastery across diverse surfaces: upcoming French Open clay (not Rybakina's strongest), Wimbledon grass (where she triumphed in 2022), and US Open hardcourts, amid WTA depth from No. 1 Sabalenka, Coco Gauff, and Iga Swiatek. Her strong 21-5 record through early April, including recent Masters 1000 finals, supports her slim 2.1% odds, but injury risks or clay struggles could end her bid prematurely.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
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