Trader consensus prices Joshua Van as a slim 36% favorite to remain UFC Flyweight champion through 2026, reflecting his rapid rise after dethroning Alexandre Pantoja via first-round injury stoppage at UFC 323 in December 2025, but tempered by his untested status ahead of a pivotal first title defense against #3-ranked Tatsuro Taira on April 11 at UFC 327. Pantoja sits close at 34.5%, buoyed by his prior four successful defenses and ongoing recovery from the arm dislocation without surgery, positioning him as a likely rematch threat mid-year. Taira's 22.5% implied probability underscores his unbeaten streak and grappling dominance, while Manel Kape's recent first-round TKO of Brandon Royval elevates him to 13.5% amid title contention murmurs, keeping the division's end-of-year outcome highly competitive with multiple credible paths to gold.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於約書亞·范 37%
亞歷山大·潘托亞 32%
平良達郎 21%
馬內爾·卡佩 11%
約書亞·范
37%
亞歷山大·潘托亞
32%
平良達郎
21%
馬內爾·卡佩
11%
堀口恭司
4%
提姆·艾略特
1%
阿米爾·阿爾巴齊
1%
阿蘇·阿爾馬巴耶夫
1%
史蒂夫·埃爾塞格
1%
布蘭登·莫雷諾
<1%
Brandon Royval
<1%
約書亞·范 37%
亞歷山大·潘托亞 32%
平良達郎 21%
馬內爾·卡佩 11%
約書亞·范
37%
亞歷山大·潘托亞
32%
平良達郎
21%
馬內爾·卡佩
11%
堀口恭司
4%
提姆·艾略特
1%
阿米爾·阿爾巴齊
1%
阿蘇·阿爾馬巴耶夫
1%
史蒂夫·埃爾塞格
1%
布蘭登·莫雷諾
<1%
Brandon Royval
<1%
Only official UFC division champions will count. Interim champions will not count.
If the relevant belt is vacant at this market’s check time, or there is otherwise no champion in the specified division, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/athletes).
市場開放時間: Jan 2, 2026, 5:45 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Only official UFC division champions will count. Interim champions will not count.
If the relevant belt is vacant at this market’s check time, or there is otherwise no champion in the specified division, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/athletes).
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus prices Joshua Van as a slim 36% favorite to remain UFC Flyweight champion through 2026, reflecting his rapid rise after dethroning Alexandre Pantoja via first-round injury stoppage at UFC 323 in December 2025, but tempered by his untested status ahead of a pivotal first title defense against #3-ranked Tatsuro Taira on April 11 at UFC 327. Pantoja sits close at 34.5%, buoyed by his prior four successful defenses and ongoing recovery from the arm dislocation without surgery, positioning him as a likely rematch threat mid-year. Taira's 22.5% implied probability underscores his unbeaten streak and grappling dominance, while Manel Kape's recent first-round TKO of Brandon Royval elevates him to 13.5% amid title contention murmurs, keeping the division's end-of-year outcome highly competitive with multiple credible paths to gold.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions