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誰將在2026年底成為UFC飛量級冠軍?

Market icon

誰將在2026年底成為UFC飛量級冠軍?

約書亞·范 37%

亞歷山大·潘托亞 32%

平良達郎 21%

馬內爾·卡佩 11%

Polymarket
最新

約書亞·范 37%

亞歷山大·潘托亞 32%

平良達郎 21%

馬內爾·卡佩 11%

Polymarket
最新

約書亞·范

$1,838 交易量

37%

亞歷山大·潘托亞

$2,063 交易量

32%

平良達郎

$368 交易量

21%

馬內爾·卡佩

$597 交易量

11%

堀口恭司

$244 交易量

4%

提姆·艾略特

$228 交易量

1%

阿米爾·阿爾巴齊

$239 交易量

1%

阿蘇·阿爾馬巴耶夫

$190 交易量

1%

史蒂夫·埃爾塞格

$190 交易量

1%

布蘭登·莫雷諾

$170 交易量

<1%

Brandon Royval

$180 交易量

<1%

This market will resolve according to the official UFC Flyweight division champion on December 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET. Only official UFC division champions will count. Interim champions will not count. If the relevant belt is vacant at this market’s check time, or there is otherwise no champion in the specified division, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/athletes).Trader consensus prices Joshua Van as a slim 36% favorite to remain UFC Flyweight champion through 2026, reflecting his rapid rise after dethroning Alexandre Pantoja via first-round injury stoppage at UFC 323 in December 2025, but tempered by his untested status ahead of a pivotal first title defense against #3-ranked Tatsuro Taira on April 11 at UFC 327. Pantoja sits close at 34.5%, buoyed by his prior four successful defenses and ongoing recovery from the arm dislocation without surgery, positioning him as a likely rematch threat mid-year. Taira's 22.5% implied probability underscores his unbeaten streak and grappling dominance, while Manel Kape's recent first-round TKO of Brandon Royval elevates him to 13.5% amid title contention murmurs, keeping the division's end-of-year outcome highly competitive with multiple credible paths to gold.

This market will resolve according to the official UFC Flyweight division champion on December 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET.

Only official UFC division champions will count. Interim champions will not count.

If the relevant belt is vacant at this market’s check time, or there is otherwise no champion in the specified division, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/athletes).
交易量
$6,307
結束日期
2026-12-31
市場開放時間
Jan 2, 2026, 5:45 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the official UFC Flyweight division champion on December 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET. Only official UFC division champions will count. Interim champions will not count. If the relevant belt is vacant at this market’s check time, or there is otherwise no champion in the specified division, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/athletes).
This market will resolve according to the official UFC Flyweight division champion on December 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET. Only official UFC division champions will count. Interim champions will not count. If the relevant belt is vacant at this market’s check time, or there is otherwise no champion in the specified division, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/athletes).Trader consensus prices Joshua Van as a slim 36% favorite to remain UFC Flyweight champion through 2026, reflecting his rapid rise after dethroning Alexandre Pantoja via first-round injury stoppage at UFC 323 in December 2025, but tempered by his untested status ahead of a pivotal first title defense against #3-ranked Tatsuro Taira on April 11 at UFC 327. Pantoja sits close at 34.5%, buoyed by his prior four successful defenses and ongoing recovery from the arm dislocation without surgery, positioning him as a likely rematch threat mid-year. Taira's 22.5% implied probability underscores his unbeaten streak and grappling dominance, while Manel Kape's recent first-round TKO of Brandon Royval elevates him to 13.5% amid title contention murmurs, keeping the division's end-of-year outcome highly competitive with multiple credible paths to gold.

This market will resolve according to the official UFC Flyweight division champion on December 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET.

Only official UFC division champions will count. Interim champions will not count.

If the relevant belt is vacant at this market’s check time, or there is otherwise no champion in the specified division, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/athletes).
交易量
$6,307
結束日期
2026-12-31
市場開放時間
Jan 2, 2026, 5:45 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the official UFC Flyweight division champion on December 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET. Only official UFC division champions will count. Interim champions will not count. If the relevant belt is vacant at this market’s check time, or there is otherwise no champion in the specified division, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/athletes).

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"誰將在2026年底成為UFC飛量級冠軍?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 11 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "約書亞·范" at 37%, followed by "亞歷山大·潘托亞" at 32%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 37¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 37% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"誰將在2026年底成為UFC飛量級冠軍?" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Jan 2, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "誰將在2026年底成為UFC飛量級冠軍?," browse the 11 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "誰將在2026年底成為UFC飛量級冠軍?" is "約書亞·范" at 37%, meaning the market assigns a 37% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "亞歷山大·潘托亞" at 32%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "誰將在2026年底成為UFC飛量級冠軍?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.