Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects high uncertainty for Conor McGregor's welterweight return, targeted for International Fight Week on July 11 amid no signed contract, keeping implied probabilities tightly bunched atop Ian Garry (48.5%), Nate Diaz (46.5%), and Michael Chandler (46.0%). Dana White's recent presser slip referencing a potential Ireland-linked UFC card with McGregor and Garry—despite past sparring and stylistic welterweight intrigue—has elevated the rising contender, while persistent trilogy hype clings to Diaz despite his May MVP booking versus Mike Perry. Chandler's bout was scrapped from the June White House card per UFC pivot, yet promised slot lingers; Oliveira's UFC 326 BMF win over Holloway adds unlisted options, underscoring volatile sentiment driven by McGregor's agreement to all proposals.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於Michael Chandler 48%
Nate Diaz 46%
Ian Garry 44%
Max Holloway 26%
Max Holloway
26%
Jorge Masvidal
14%
Nate Diaz
46%
Michael Chandler
48%
Ian Garry
44%
Michael Chandler 48%
Nate Diaz 46%
Ian Garry 44%
Max Holloway 26%
Max Holloway
26%
Jorge Masvidal
14%
Nate Diaz
46%
Michael Chandler
48%
Ian Garry
44%
Resolution for this market will be based on the next UFC fighter that Conor McGregor is officially announced to fight, regardless of whether the fight ends up taking place.
Only official announcements from the UFC, which include a scheduled date for the bout, will count. Announcements with no date or which do not confirm that the fight is official, speculation, or other unofficial announcements will not count.
If Conor McGregor is officially announced to fight any non-listed fighter or no qualifying announcement is made by March 1, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
市場開放時間: Mar 27, 2026, 5:45 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution for this market will be based on the next UFC fighter that Conor McGregor is officially announced to fight, regardless of whether the fight ends up taking place.
Only official announcements from the UFC, which include a scheduled date for the bout, will count. Announcements with no date or which do not confirm that the fight is official, speculation, or other unofficial announcements will not count.
If Conor McGregor is officially announced to fight any non-listed fighter or no qualifying announcement is made by March 1, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects high uncertainty for Conor McGregor's welterweight return, targeted for International Fight Week on July 11 amid no signed contract, keeping implied probabilities tightly bunched atop Ian Garry (48.5%), Nate Diaz (46.5%), and Michael Chandler (46.0%). Dana White's recent presser slip referencing a potential Ireland-linked UFC card with McGregor and Garry—despite past sparring and stylistic welterweight intrigue—has elevated the rising contender, while persistent trilogy hype clings to Diaz despite his May MVP booking versus Mike Perry. Chandler's bout was scrapped from the June White House card per UFC pivot, yet promised slot lingers; Oliveira's UFC 326 BMF win over Holloway adds unlisted options, underscoring volatile sentiment driven by McGregor's agreement to all proposals.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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