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政治·名人

誰將在2027年之前宣布總統競選？

Market icon
政治·名人

誰將在2027年之前宣布總統競選？

$281,688 交易量

Dec 31, 2026
Polymarket

$281,688 交易量

Polymarket
Market icon

馬克·凱利

$4,871 交易量

20%

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喬什·霍利

$3,257 交易量

19%

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J.D. Vance

$0 交易量

17%

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史蒂夫·班農

$8,614 交易量

16%

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Candace Owens

$0 交易量

16%

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Pete Buttigieg

$4,754 交易量

16%

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蘭德·保羅

$0 交易量

15%

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布萊恩·坎普

$1,000 交易量

15%

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約翰·費特曼

$4,059 交易量

15%

Market icon

塔克·卡爾森

$0 交易量

15%

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圖爾西·加巴德

$3,603 交易量

15%

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J.B. Pritzker

$2,171 交易量

16%

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羅恩·德桑蒂斯

$0 交易量

14%

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妮基·黑利

$1,627 交易量

14%

Market icon

賈里德·波利斯

$0 交易量

13%

Market icon

安德魯·楊

$7,688 交易量

13%

Market icon

凱蒂·布里特

$0 交易量

13%

Market icon

賀錦麗

$12,719 交易量

13%

Market icon

克莉絲蒂·諾姆

$0 交易量

12%

Market icon

安迪·比希爾

$4,402 交易量

12%

Market icon

Rahm Emanuel

$0 交易量

12%

Market icon

韋斯·摩爾

$5,180 交易量

12%

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伊麗絲·斯特凡尼克

$1,735 交易量

12%

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馬克·庫班

$884 交易量

12%

Market icon

加文·紐森

$43,470 交易量

12%

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莎拉·哈卡比·桑德斯

$0 交易量

12%

Market icon

Cory Booker

$0 交易量

11%

Market icon

瑪喬麗·泰勒·格林

$13,604 交易量

11%

Market icon

泰德·克魯茲

$10,418 交易量

11%

Market icon

約翰·圖恩

$2,136 交易量

11%

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格倫·楊金

$0 交易量

11%

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亞歷山大·奧卡西奧-科爾特斯

$27,284 交易量

11%

Market icon

史蒂芬·A·史密斯

$14,194 交易量

11%

Market icon

喬恩·奧索夫

$1,277 交易量

11%

Market icon

吉娜·雷蒙多

$0 交易量

10%

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馬可·魯比歐

$3,785 交易量

10%

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羅伯特·F·甘迺迪（小）

$5,847 交易量

10%

Market icon

Vivek Ramaswamy

$6,116 交易量

10%

Market icon

邁克·彭斯

$8,901 交易量

9%

Market icon

貝托·奧羅克

$0 交易量

9%

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唐納·川普二世

$0 交易量

9%

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巨石強森

$0 交易量

9%

Market icon

拜倫·唐納茲

$5,374 交易量

9%

Market icon

喬治·克魯尼

$0 交易量

9%

Market icon

唐納·川普

$7,635 交易量

8%

Market icon

金·卡戴珊

$0 交易量

8%

Market icon

喬恩·斯圖爾特

$0 交易量

8%

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歐普拉·溫芙蕾

$0 交易量

8%

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Greg Abbott

$0 交易量

8%

Market icon

蒂姆·沃爾茲

$3,316 交易量

8%

Market icon

莉茲·切尼

$0 交易量

8%

Market icon

希拉蕊·柯林頓

$0 交易量

7%

Market icon

羅伊·庫珀

$3,405 交易量

7%

Market icon

切爾西·克林頓

$0 交易量

7%

Market icon

湯姆·布雷迪

$0 交易量

7%

Market icon

伯尼·桑德斯

$0 交易量

7%

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拉斐爾·沃諾克

$0 交易量

7%

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Josh Shapiro

$0 交易量

7%

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馬特·蓋茨

$2,072 交易量

6%

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菲爾·墨菲

$0 交易量

12%

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Erika Kirk

$5,991 交易量

6%

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伊隆·馬斯克

$0 交易量

6%

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杭特·拜登

$20,069 交易量

5%

Market icon

伊萬卡·川普

$0 交易量

5%

Market icon

巴拉克·歐巴馬

$0 交易量

4%

Market icon

米歇爾·歐巴馬

$10,126 交易量

4%

Market icon

Zohran Mamdani

$0 交易量

4%

Market icon

MrBeast

$20,106 交易量

3%

Market icon

勒布朗·詹姆斯

$0 交易量

2%

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格雷琴·惠特默

$0 交易量

51%

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual officially announces that they are running for U.S. President in the 2028 United States presidential election by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement by the listed individual will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually filed a nomination to run, or whether they actually file a nomination to run in the future. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by the listed individual (ex: via speech, social media, etc.), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual announces that they are running for President in the 2028 United States presidential election by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement by the listed individual will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually filed a nomination to run, or whether they actually file a nomination to run in the future. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by the listed individual (ex: via speech, social media, etc.), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.As of late March 2026, no major-party contenders have officially announced 2028 presidential campaigns or filed with the FEC as noteworthy candidates, leaving trader sentiment focused on early positioning amid President Trump's term-limit ineligibility. Vice President J.D. Vance remains a perceived Republican frontrunner despite recent declines in implied probabilities on prediction platforms, while Senator Rand Paul floated a potential bid on March 16, contrasting Trump-era tariffs with free-market conservatism. Democrats like Governors Gavin Newsom and Josh Shapiro, former Vice President Kamala Harris, and Transportation Secretary Pete Buttigieg have boosted visibility via Munich Security Conference appearances and media tours. November 2026 midterms loom as pivotal, shaping congressional majorities and primary paths.

As of late March 2026, no major-party contenders have officially announced 2028 presidential campaigns or filed with the FEC as noteworthy candidates, leaving trader sentiment focused on early positioning amid President Trump's term-limit ineligibility. Vice President J.D. Vance remains a perceived Republican frontrunner despite recent declines in implied probabilities on prediction platforms, while Senator Rand Paul floated a potential bid on March 16, contrasting Trump-era tariffs with free-market conservatism. Democrats like Governors Gavin Newsom and Josh Shapiro, former Vice President Kamala Harris, and Transportation Secretary Pete Buttigieg have boosted visibility via Munich Security Conference appearances and media tours. November 2026 midterms loom as pivotal, shaping congressional majorities and primary paths.

基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual officially announces that they are running for U.S. President in the 2028 United States presidential election by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement by the listed individual will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually filed a nomination to run, or whether they actually file a nomination to run in the future. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by the listed individual (ex: via speech, social media, etc.), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual announces that they are running for President in the 2028 United States presidential election by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement by the listed individual will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually filed a nomination to run, or whether they actually file a nomination to run in the future. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by the listed individual (ex: via speech, social media, etc.), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.As of late March 2026, no major-party contenders have officially announced 2028 presidential campaigns or filed with the FEC as noteworthy candidates, leaving trader sentiment focused on early positioning amid President Trump's term-limit ineligibility. Vice President J.D. Vance remains a perceived Republican frontrunner despite recent declines in implied probabilities on prediction platforms, while Senator Rand Paul floated a potential bid on March 16, contrasting Trump-era tariffs with free-market conservatism. Democrats like Governors Gavin Newsom and Josh Shapiro, former Vice President Kamala Harris, and Transportation Secretary Pete Buttigieg have boosted visibility via Munich Security Conference appearances and media tours. November 2026 midterms loom as pivotal, shaping congressional majorities and primary paths.

As of late March 2026, no major-party contenders have officially announced 2028 presidential campaigns or filed with the FEC as noteworthy candidates, leaving trader sentiment focused on early positioning amid President Trump's term-limit ineligibility. Vice President J.D. Vance remains a perceived Republican frontrunner despite recent declines in implied probabilities on prediction platforms, while Senator Rand Paul floated a potential bid on March 16, contrasting Trump-era tariffs with free-market conservatism. Democrats like Governors Gavin Newsom and Josh Shapiro, former Vice President Kamala Harris, and Transportation Secretary Pete Buttigieg have boosted visibility via Munich Security Conference appearances and media tours. November 2026 midterms loom as pivotal, shaping congressional majorities and primary paths.

基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"誰將在2027年之前宣布總統競選？" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 70+ possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "格雷琴·惠特默" at 51%, followed by "馬克·凱利" at 20%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 51¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 51% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "誰將在2027年之前宣布總統競選？" has generated $281.7K in total trading volume since the market launched on Nov 20, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "誰將在2027年之前宣布總統競選？," browse the 70+ available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "誰將在2027年之前宣布總統競選？" is "格雷琴·惠特默" at 51%, meaning the market assigns a 51% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "馬克·凱利" at 20%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "誰將在2027年之前宣布總統競選？" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.