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政治·名人

誰將在2027年之前宣布總統競選？

Market icon
政治·名人

誰將在2027年之前宣布總統競選？

$381,183 交易量

2026-12-31
Polymarket

$381,183 交易量

Polymarket
Market icon

唐·萊蒙

$6 交易量

95%

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馬克·凱利

$4,892 交易量

21%

Market icon

J.D. Vance

$0 交易量

17%

Market icon

史蒂夫·班農

$8,757 交易量

16%

Market icon

Pete Buttigieg

$4,760 交易量

16%

Market icon

布萊恩·坎普

$1,025 交易量

16%

Market icon

喬什·霍利

$3,257 交易量

15%

Market icon

約翰·費特曼

$4,059 交易量

15%

Market icon

羅恩·德桑蒂斯

$0 交易量

15%

Market icon

蘭德·保羅

$0 交易量

15%

Market icon

塔克·卡爾森

$0 交易量

14%

Market icon

J.B. Pritzker

$2,171 交易量

16%

Market icon

Candace Owens

$0 交易量

14%

Market icon

妮基·黑利

$1,634 交易量

14%

Market icon

安迪·比希爾

$4,402 交易量

13%

Market icon

賈里德·波利斯

$0 交易量

13%

Market icon

凱蒂·布里特

$0 交易量

13%

Market icon

安德魯·楊

$7,688 交易量

13%

Market icon

伊麗絲·斯特凡尼克

$1,747 交易量

13%

Market icon

克莉絲蒂·諾姆

$0 交易量

12%

Market icon

圖爾西·加巴德

$3,701 交易量

12%

Market icon

Rahm Emanuel

$0 交易量

12%

Market icon

韋斯·摩爾

$5,199 交易量

12%

Market icon

約翰·圖恩

$2,226 交易量

12%

Market icon

加文·紐森

$43,737 交易量

12%

Market icon

莎拉·哈卡比·桑德斯

$3,634 交易量

12%

Market icon

賀錦麗

$12,745 交易量

12%

Market icon

Cory Booker

$10,275 交易量

11%

Market icon

瑪喬麗·泰勒·格林

$13,623 交易量

11%

Market icon

泰德·克魯茲

$10,430 交易量

11%

Market icon

格倫·楊金

$0 交易量

11%

Market icon

亞歷山大·奧卡西奧-科爾特斯

$27,463 交易量

11%

Market icon

史蒂芬·A·史密斯

$14,194 交易量

11%

Market icon

喬恩·奧索夫

$1,277 交易量

11%

Market icon

吉娜·雷蒙多

$0 交易量

10%

Market icon

馬可·魯比歐

$3,785 交易量

10%

Market icon

羅伯特·F·甘迺迪（小）

$5,860 交易量

10%

Market icon

Vivek Ramaswamy

$6,126 交易量

10%

Market icon

貝托·奧羅克

$5,626 交易量

10%

Market icon

邁克·彭斯

$11,165 交易量

10%

Market icon

馬克·庫班

$1,146 交易量

10%

Market icon

拜倫·唐納茲

$5,385 交易量

10%

Market icon

唐納·川普二世

$0 交易量

9%

Market icon

巨石強森

$0 交易量

9%

Market icon

Greg Abbott

$1,726 交易量

9%

Market icon

喬治·克魯尼

$0 交易量

9%

Market icon

唐納·川普

$7,645 交易量

8%

Market icon

莉茲·切尼

$79 交易量

8%

Market icon

金·卡戴珊

$0 交易量

8%

Market icon

喬恩·斯圖爾特

$0 交易量

8%

Market icon

歐普拉·溫芙蕾

$0 交易量

8%

Market icon

切爾西·克林頓

$4,416 交易量

8%

Market icon

湯姆·布雷迪

$8,073 交易量

8%

Market icon

蒂姆·沃爾茲

$3,623 交易量

8%

Market icon

希拉蕊·柯林頓

$7,221 交易量

7%

Market icon

羅伊·庫珀

$3,405 交易量

7%

Market icon

伯尼·桑德斯

$2,204 交易量

7%

Market icon

拉斐爾·沃諾克

$1,702 交易量

7%

Market icon

Josh Shapiro

$4,957 交易量

7%

Market icon

馬特·蓋茨

$2,272 交易量

6%

Market icon

菲爾·墨菲

$0 交易量

12%

Market icon

伊隆·馬斯克

$7,236 交易量

6%

Market icon

Erika Kirk

$7,043 交易量

5%

Market icon

伊萬卡·川普

$12,840 交易量

5%

Market icon

杭特·拜登

$22,554 交易量

5%

Market icon

米歇爾·歐巴馬

$10,607 交易量

4%

Market icon

巴拉克·歐巴馬

$0 交易量

4%

Market icon

Zohran Mamdani

$21,441 交易量

3%

Market icon

MrBeast

$20,143 交易量

3%

Market icon

勒布朗·詹姆斯

$0 交易量

2%

Market icon

格雷琴·惠特默

$0 交易量

51%

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual announces that they are running for President in the 2028 United States presidential election by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement by the listed individual will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually filed a nomination to run, or whether they actually file a nomination to run in the future. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by the listed individual (ex: via speech, social media, etc.), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual officially announces that they are running for U.S. President in the 2028 United States presidential election by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement by the listed individual will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually filed a nomination to run, or whether they actually file a nomination to run in the future. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by the listed individual (ex: via speech, social media, etc.), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual announces that they are running for President in the 2028 United States presidential election by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement by the listed individual will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually filed a nomination to run, or whether they actually file a nomination to run in the future. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by the listed individual (ex: via speech, social media, etc.), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.As of early April 2026, no prominent politicians have officially announced presidential campaigns for the 2028 election, leaving the field wide open despite FEC filings from over 200 minor and independent candidates. Trader consensus reflects early positioning by potential contenders, including recent signals from Sen. Rand Paul on a possible bid emphasizing fiscal conservatism and free trade, Vice President JD Vance's memoir announcement fueling speculation, and Democratic figures like former Vice President Kamala Harris and California Gov. Gavin Newsom raising profiles via media and international forums such as the Munich Security Conference. The 2026 midterm elections, testing incumbents in battleground states and emerging leaders, represent the next major catalyst likely to prompt exploratory committees or formal declarations before the 2027 deadline.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual officially announces that they are running for U.S. President in the 2028 United States presidential election by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement by the listed individual will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually filed a nomination to run, or whether they actually file a nomination to run in the future.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by the listed individual (ex: via speech, social media, etc.), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$381,183
結束日期
2026-12-31
市場開放時間
Nov 19, 2025, 6:49 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual officially announces that they are running for U.S. President in the 2028 United States presidential election by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement by the listed individual will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually filed a nomination to run, or whether they actually file a nomination to run in the future. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by the listed individual (ex: via speech, social media, etc.), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual announces that they are running for President in the 2028 United States presidential election by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement by the listed individual will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually filed a nomination to run, or whether they actually file a nomination to run in the future. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by the listed individual (ex: via speech, social media, etc.), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual officially announces that they are running for U.S. President in the 2028 United States presidential election by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement by the listed individual will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually filed a nomination to run, or whether they actually file a nomination to run in the future. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by the listed individual (ex: via speech, social media, etc.), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual announces that they are running for President in the 2028 United States presidential election by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement by the listed individual will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually filed a nomination to run, or whether they actually file a nomination to run in the future. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by the listed individual (ex: via speech, social media, etc.), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.As of early April 2026, no prominent politicians have officially announced presidential campaigns for the 2028 election, leaving the field wide open despite FEC filings from over 200 minor and independent candidates. Trader consensus reflects early positioning by potential contenders, including recent signals from Sen. Rand Paul on a possible bid emphasizing fiscal conservatism and free trade, Vice President JD Vance's memoir announcement fueling speculation, and Democratic figures like former Vice President Kamala Harris and California Gov. Gavin Newsom raising profiles via media and international forums such as the Munich Security Conference. The 2026 midterm elections, testing incumbents in battleground states and emerging leaders, represent the next major catalyst likely to prompt exploratory committees or formal declarations before the 2027 deadline.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual officially announces that they are running for U.S. President in the 2028 United States presidential election by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement by the listed individual will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually filed a nomination to run, or whether they actually file a nomination to run in the future.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by the listed individual (ex: via speech, social media, etc.), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$381,183
結束日期
2026-12-31
市場開放時間
Nov 19, 2025, 6:49 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual officially announces that they are running for U.S. President in the 2028 United States presidential election by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement by the listed individual will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually filed a nomination to run, or whether they actually file a nomination to run in the future. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by the listed individual (ex: via speech, social media, etc.), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"誰將在2027年之前宣布總統競選？" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 71+ possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "格雷琴·惠特默" at 51%, followed by "唐·萊蒙" at 48%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 51¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 51% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "誰將在2027年之前宣布總統競選？" has generated $381.2K in total trading volume since the market launched on Nov 20, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "誰將在2027年之前宣布總統競選？," browse the 71+ available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "誰將在2027年之前宣布總統競選？" is "格雷琴·惠特默" at 51%, meaning the market assigns a 51% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "唐·萊蒙" at 48%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "誰將在2027年之前宣布總統競選？" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.