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政治·Kash Patel

Which Trump picks will be confirmed?

Market icon
政治·Kash Patel

Which Trump picks will be confirmed?

$23,042,537 交易量

Jun 30, 2025
Polymarket

$23,042,537 交易量

Polymarket
Market icon

Pete Hegseth

$3,251,258 交易量

Yes

Market icon

Tulsi Gabbard

$5,257,374 交易量

Yes

Market icon

RFK Jr.

$3,605,358 交易量

Yes

Market icon

Mehmet Oz

$237,197 交易量

Yes

Market icon

Kash Patel

$2,746,033 交易量

Yes

Market icon

Matt Gaetz

$3,227,787 交易量

No

Market icon

Lori Chavez-DeRemer

$1,203,871 交易量

Yes

Market icon

Brooke Rollins

$125,910 交易量

Yes

Market icon

John Ratcliffe

$78,381 交易量

Yes

Market icon

Mike Huckabee

$763,816 交易量

Yes

Market icon

Elise Stefanik

$1,207,022 交易量

No

Market icon

Lee Zeldin

$65,914 交易量

Yes

Market icon

Kristi Noem

$131,062 交易量

Yes

Market icon

Doug Collins

$57,185 交易量

Yes

Market icon

Sean Duffy

$84,260 交易量

Yes

Market icon

Chris Wright

$306,304 交易量

Yes

Market icon

Pam Bondi

$161,796 交易量

Yes

Market icon

Scott Bessent

$148,611 交易量

Yes

Market icon

Doug Burgum

$189,044 交易量

Yes

Market icon

Russell Vought

$91,686 交易量

Yes

Market icon

Marco Rubio

$46,383 交易量

Yes

Market icon

Scott Turner

$56,284 交易量

Yes

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Pete Hegseth is confirmed as Secretary of Defense by June 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. If Hegseth’s nomination is formally withdrawn, or if the Senate rejects his nomination this market will immediately resolve to “No”. The Senate must confirm this nominee for this market to resolve to "Yes". Recess appointments without Senate confirmation will not count toward a "Yes" resolution. The resolution source for this market is information from the U.S. Senate (see: https://www.senate.gov/legislative/NominationsRejectedorWithdrawn.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. This market will resolve to “Yes” if Tulsi Gabbard is confirmed as Director of National Intelligence by June 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. If Gabbard's nomination is formally withdrawn or if the Senate rejects his nomination this market will immediately resolve to “No”. The Senate must to confirm this nominee for this market to resolve to "Yes". Recess appointments without Senate confirmation will not count toward a "Yes" resolution. The resolution source for this market is information from the U.S. Senate (see: https://www.senate.gov/legislative/NominationsRejectedorWithdrawn.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to “Yes” if Robert F. Kennedy, Jr. is confirmed as Secretary of Health and Human Services by June 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. If RFK's nomination is formally withdrawn or if the Senate rejects his nomination this market will immediately resolve to “No”. The Senate must to confirm this nominee for this market to resolve to "Yes". Recess appointments without Senate confirmation will not count toward a "Yes" resolution. The resolution source for this market is information from the U.S. Senate (see: https://www.senate.gov/legislative/NominationsRejectedorWithdrawn.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to “Yes” if Mehmet Oz is confirmed as Administrator of Medicare and Medicaid by June 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. If Oz's nomination is formally withdrawn, or if the Senate rejects their nomination this market will immediately resolve to “No”. The Senate must confirm this nominee for this market to resolve to "Yes". Recess appointments without Senate confirmation will not count toward a "Yes" resolution. The resolution source for this market is information from the U.S. Senate (see: https://www.senate.gov/legislative/NominationsRejectedorWithdrawn.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. This market will resolve to “Yes” if Kash Patel is confirmed as Director of the Federal Bureau of Investigation by June 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. If Patel's nomination is formally withdrawn, or if the Senate rejects his nomination this market will immediately resolve to “No”. The Senate must confirm this nominee for this market to resolve to "Yes". Recess appointments without Senate confirmation will not count toward a "Yes" resolution. The resolution source for this market is information from the U.S. Senate (see: https://www.senate.gov/legislative/NominationsRejectedorWithdrawn.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. This market will resolve to “Yes” if Matt Gaetz is confirmed as Attorney General by June 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. If Gaetz's nomination is formally withdrawn or if the Senate rejects his nomination this market will immediately resolve to “No”. The Senate must confirm this nominee for this market to resolve to "Yes". Recess appointments without Senate confirmation will not count toward a "Yes" resolution. The resolution source for this market is information from the U.S. Senate (see: https://www.senate.gov/legislative/NominationsRejectedorWithdrawn.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to “Yes” if Lori Chavez-DeRemer is confirmed as Labor Secretary by June 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. If Chavez-DeRemer's nomination is formally withdrawn, or if the Senate rejects her nomination this market will immediately resolve to “No”. The Senate must confirm this nominee for this market to resolve to "Yes". Recess appointments without Senate confirmation will not count toward a "Yes" resolution. The resolution source for this market is information from the U.S. Senate (see: https://www.senate.gov/legislative/NominationsRejectedorWithdrawn.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. This market will resolve to “Yes” if Brooke Rollins is confirmed as Agriculture Secretary by June 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. If Rollins's nomination is formally withdrawn, or if the Senate rejects her nomination this market will immediately resolve to “No”. The Senate must confirm this nominee for this market to resolve to "Yes". Recess appointments without Senate confirmation will not count toward a "Yes" resolution. The resolution source for this market is information from the U.S. Senate (see: https://www.senate.gov/legislative/NominationsRejectedorWithdrawn.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. This market will resolve to “Yes” if John Ratcliffe is confirmed as director of the CIA by June 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. If Ratcliffe's nomination is formally withdrawn, or if the Senate rejects his nomination this market will immediately resolve to “No”. The Senate must confirm this nominee for this market to resolve to "Yes". Recess appointments without Senate confirmation will not count toward a "Yes" resolution. The resolution source for this market is information from the U.S. Senate (see: https://www.senate.gov/legislative/NominationsRejectedorWithdrawn.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. This market will resolve to “Yes” if Mike Huckabee is confirmed as the U.S. ambassador to Israel by June 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. If Huckabee's nomination is formally withdrawn, or if the Senate rejects his nomination this market will immediately resolve to “No”. The Senate must confirm this nominee for this market to resolve to "Yes". Recess appointments without Senate confirmation will not count toward a "Yes" resolution. The resolution source for this market is information from the U.S. Senate (see: https://www.senate.gov/legislative/NominationsRejectedorWithdrawn.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. This market will resolve to “Yes” if Elise Stefanik is confirmed as United Nations ambassador by June 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. If Stefanik's nomination is formally withdrawn, or if the Senate rejects her nomination this market will immediately resolve to “No”. The Senate must confirm this nominee for this market to resolve to "Yes". Recess appointments without Senate confirmation will not count toward a "Yes" resolution. The resolution source for this market is information from the U.S. Senate (see: https://www.senate.gov/legislative/NominationsRejectedorWithdrawn.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. This market will resolve to “Yes” if Lee Zeldin is confirmed as Administrator of the Environmental Protection Agency by June 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. If Zeldin's nomination is formally withdrawn, or if the Senate rejects his nomination this market will immediately resolve to “No”. The Senate must confirm this nominee for this market to resolve to "Yes". Recess appointments without Senate confirmation will not count toward a "Yes" resolution. The resolution source for this market is information from the U.S. Senate (see: https://www.senate.gov/legislative/NominationsRejectedorWithdrawn.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. This market will resolve to “Yes” if Kristi Noem is confirmed as Secretary of Homeland Security by June 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. If Noem’s nomination is formally withdrawn, or if the Senate rejects her nomination this market will immediately resolve to “No”. The Senate must confirm this nominee for this market to resolve to "Yes". Recess appointments without Senate confirmation will not count toward a "Yes" resolution. The resolution source for this market is information from the U.S. Senate (see: https://www.senate.gov/legislative/NominationsRejectedorWithdrawn.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. This market will resolve to “Yes” if Doug Collins is confirmed as Secretary of Veterans Affairs by June 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. If Collins's nomination is formally withdrawn, or if the Senate rejects her nomination this market will immediately resolve to “No”. The Senate must confirm this nominee for this market to resolve to "Yes". Recess appointments without Senate confirmation will not count toward a "Yes" resolution. The resolution source for this market is information from the U.S. Senate (see: https://www.senate.gov/legislative/NominationsRejectedorWithdrawn.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. This market will resolve to “Yes” if Sean Duffy is confirmed as Secretary of Transportation by June 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. If Duffy's nomination is formally withdrawn, or if the Senate rejects her nomination this market will immediately resolve to “No”. The Senate must confirm this nominee for this market to resolve to "Yes". Recess appointments without Senate confirmation will not count toward a "Yes" resolution. The resolution source for this market is information from the U.S. Senate (see: https://www.senate.gov/legislative/NominationsRejectedorWithdrawn.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. This market will resolve to “Yes” if Chris Wright is confirmed as Secretary of Energy by June 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. If Wright's nomination is formally withdrawn, or if the Senate rejects her nomination this market will immediately resolve to “No”. The Senate must confirm this nominee for this market to resolve to "Yes". Recess appointments without Senate confirmation will not count toward a "Yes" resolution. The resolution source for this market is information from the U.S. Senate (see: https://www.senate.gov/legislative/NominationsRejectedorWithdrawn.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. This market will resolve to “Yes” if Pam Bondi is confirmed as Attorney General by June 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. If Bondi's nomination is formally withdrawn, or if the Senate rejects her nomination this market will immediately resolve to “No”. The Senate must confirm this nominee for this market to resolve to "Yes". Recess appointments without Senate confirmation will not count toward a "Yes" resolution. The resolution source for this market is information from the U.S. Senate (see: https://www.senate.gov/legislative/NominationsRejectedorWithdrawn.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. This market will resolve to “Yes” if Scott Bessent is confirmed as Treasury Secretary by June 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. If Bessent's nomination is formally withdrawn, or if the Senate rejects her nomination this market will immediately resolve to “No”. The Senate must confirm this nominee for this market to resolve to "Yes". Recess appointments without Senate confirmation will not count toward a "Yes" resolution. The resolution source for this market is information from the U.S. Senate (see: https://www.senate.gov/legislative/NominationsRejectedorWithdrawn.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. This market will resolve to “Yes” if Doug Burgum is confirmed as Secretary of Interior by June 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. If Burgum's nomination is formally withdrawn, or if the Senate rejects her nomination this market will immediately resolve to “No”. The Senate must confirm this nominee for this market to resolve to "Yes". Recess appointments without Senate confirmation will not count toward a "Yes" resolution. The resolution source for this market is information from the U.S. Senate (see: https://www.senate.gov/legislative/NominationsRejectedorWithdrawn.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. This market will resolve to “Yes” if Russell Vought is confirmed as director of the Office of Management and Budget by June 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. If Vought's nomination is formally withdrawn, or if the Senate rejects their nomination this market will immediately resolve to “No”. The Senate must confirm this nominee for this market to resolve to "Yes". Recess appointments without Senate confirmation will not count toward a "Yes" resolution. The resolution source for this market is information from the U.S. Senate (see: https://www.senate.gov/legislative/NominationsRejectedorWithdrawn.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. This market will resolve to “Yes” if Marco Rubio is confirmed as Secretary of State by June 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. If Rubio's nomination is formally withdrawn, or if the Senate rejects their nomination this market will immediately resolve to “No”. The Senate must confirm this nominee for this market to resolve to "Yes". Recess appointments without Senate confirmation will not count toward a "Yes" resolution. The resolution source for this market is information from the U.S. Senate (see: https://www.senate.gov/legislative/NominationsRejectedorWithdrawn.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. This market will resolve to “Yes” if Scott Turner is confirmed as Secretary of Housing and Urban Development by June 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. If Turner's nomination is formally withdrawn, or if the Senate rejects their nomination this market will immediately resolve to “No”. The Senate must confirm this nominee for this market to resolve to "Yes". Recess appointments without Senate confirmation will not count toward a "Yes" resolution. The resolution source for this market is information from the U.S. Senate (see: https://www.senate.gov/legislative/NominationsRejectedorWithdrawn.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Pete Hegseth is confirmed as Secretary of Defense by June 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

If Hegseth’s nomination is formally withdrawn, or if the Senate rejects his nomination this market will immediately resolve to “No”.

The Senate must confirm this nominee for this market to resolve to "Yes". Recess appointments without Senate confirmation will not count toward a "Yes" resolution.

The resolution source for this market is information from the U.S. Senate (see: https://www.senate.gov/legislative/NominationsRejectedorWithdrawn.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$23,042,537
結束日期
Jun 30, 2025
市場開放時間
Nov 18, 2024, 5:13 PM ET

Resolver

0x6A9D22261...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Pete Hegseth is confirmed as Secretary of Defense by June 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. If Hegseth’s nomination is formally withdrawn, or if the Senate rejects his nomination this market will immediately resolve to “No”. The Senate must confirm this nominee for this market to resolve to "Yes". Recess appointments without Senate confirmation will not count toward a "Yes" resolution. The resolution source for this market is information from the U.S. Senate (see: https://www.senate.gov/legislative/NominationsRejectedorWithdrawn.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

已提議結果: Yes

無爭議

最終結果: Yes

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Pete Hegseth is confirmed as Secretary of Defense by June 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. If Hegseth’s nomination is formally withdrawn, or if the Senate rejects his nomination this market will immediately resolve to “No”. The Senate must confirm this nominee for this market to resolve to "Yes". Recess appointments without Senate confirmation will not count toward a "Yes" resolution. The resolution source for this market is information from the U.S. Senate (see: https://www.senate.gov/legislative/NominationsRejectedorWithdrawn.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. This market will resolve to “Yes” if Tulsi Gabbard is confirmed as Director of National Intelligence by June 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. If Gabbard's nomination is formally withdrawn or if the Senate rejects his nomination this market will immediately resolve to “No”. The Senate must to confirm this nominee for this market to resolve to "Yes". Recess appointments without Senate confirmation will not count toward a "Yes" resolution. The resolution source for this market is information from the U.S. Senate (see: https://www.senate.gov/legislative/NominationsRejectedorWithdrawn.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to “Yes” if Robert F. Kennedy, Jr. is confirmed as Secretary of Health and Human Services by June 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. If RFK's nomination is formally withdrawn or if the Senate rejects his nomination this market will immediately resolve to “No”. The Senate must to confirm this nominee for this market to resolve to "Yes". Recess appointments without Senate confirmation will not count toward a "Yes" resolution. The resolution source for this market is information from the U.S. Senate (see: https://www.senate.gov/legislative/NominationsRejectedorWithdrawn.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to “Yes” if Mehmet Oz is confirmed as Administrator of Medicare and Medicaid by June 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. If Oz's nomination is formally withdrawn, or if the Senate rejects their nomination this market will immediately resolve to “No”. The Senate must confirm this nominee for this market to resolve to "Yes". Recess appointments without Senate confirmation will not count toward a "Yes" resolution. The resolution source for this market is information from the U.S. Senate (see: https://www.senate.gov/legislative/NominationsRejectedorWithdrawn.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. This market will resolve to “Yes” if Kash Patel is confirmed as Director of the Federal Bureau of Investigation by June 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. If Patel's nomination is formally withdrawn, or if the Senate rejects his nomination this market will immediately resolve to “No”. The Senate must confirm this nominee for this market to resolve to "Yes". Recess appointments without Senate confirmation will not count toward a "Yes" resolution. The resolution source for this market is information from the U.S. Senate (see: https://www.senate.gov/legislative/NominationsRejectedorWithdrawn.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. This market will resolve to “Yes” if Matt Gaetz is confirmed as Attorney General by June 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. If Gaetz's nomination is formally withdrawn or if the Senate rejects his nomination this market will immediately resolve to “No”. The Senate must confirm this nominee for this market to resolve to "Yes". Recess appointments without Senate confirmation will not count toward a "Yes" resolution. The resolution source for this market is information from the U.S. Senate (see: https://www.senate.gov/legislative/NominationsRejectedorWithdrawn.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to “Yes” if Lori Chavez-DeRemer is confirmed as Labor Secretary by June 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. If Chavez-DeRemer's nomination is formally withdrawn, or if the Senate rejects her nomination this market will immediately resolve to “No”. The Senate must confirm this nominee for this market to resolve to "Yes". Recess appointments without Senate confirmation will not count toward a "Yes" resolution. The resolution source for this market is information from the U.S. Senate (see: https://www.senate.gov/legislative/NominationsRejectedorWithdrawn.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. This market will resolve to “Yes” if Brooke Rollins is confirmed as Agriculture Secretary by June 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. If Rollins's nomination is formally withdrawn, or if the Senate rejects her nomination this market will immediately resolve to “No”. The Senate must confirm this nominee for this market to resolve to "Yes". Recess appointments without Senate confirmation will not count toward a "Yes" resolution. The resolution source for this market is information from the U.S. Senate (see: https://www.senate.gov/legislative/NominationsRejectedorWithdrawn.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. This market will resolve to “Yes” if John Ratcliffe is confirmed as director of the CIA by June 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. If Ratcliffe's nomination is formally withdrawn, or if the Senate rejects his nomination this market will immediately resolve to “No”. The Senate must confirm this nominee for this market to resolve to "Yes". Recess appointments without Senate confirmation will not count toward a "Yes" resolution. The resolution source for this market is information from the U.S. Senate (see: https://www.senate.gov/legislative/NominationsRejectedorWithdrawn.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. This market will resolve to “Yes” if Mike Huckabee is confirmed as the U.S. ambassador to Israel by June 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. If Huckabee's nomination is formally withdrawn, or if the Senate rejects his nomination this market will immediately resolve to “No”. The Senate must confirm this nominee for this market to resolve to "Yes". Recess appointments without Senate confirmation will not count toward a "Yes" resolution. The resolution source for this market is information from the U.S. Senate (see: https://www.senate.gov/legislative/NominationsRejectedorWithdrawn.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. This market will resolve to “Yes” if Elise Stefanik is confirmed as United Nations ambassador by June 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. If Stefanik's nomination is formally withdrawn, or if the Senate rejects her nomination this market will immediately resolve to “No”. The Senate must confirm this nominee for this market to resolve to "Yes". Recess appointments without Senate confirmation will not count toward a "Yes" resolution. The resolution source for this market is information from the U.S. Senate (see: https://www.senate.gov/legislative/NominationsRejectedorWithdrawn.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. This market will resolve to “Yes” if Lee Zeldin is confirmed as Administrator of the Environmental Protection Agency by June 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. If Zeldin's nomination is formally withdrawn, or if the Senate rejects his nomination this market will immediately resolve to “No”. The Senate must confirm this nominee for this market to resolve to "Yes". Recess appointments without Senate confirmation will not count toward a "Yes" resolution. The resolution source for this market is information from the U.S. Senate (see: https://www.senate.gov/legislative/NominationsRejectedorWithdrawn.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. This market will resolve to “Yes” if Kristi Noem is confirmed as Secretary of Homeland Security by June 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. If Noem’s nomination is formally withdrawn, or if the Senate rejects her nomination this market will immediately resolve to “No”. The Senate must confirm this nominee for this market to resolve to "Yes". Recess appointments without Senate confirmation will not count toward a "Yes" resolution. The resolution source for this market is information from the U.S. Senate (see: https://www.senate.gov/legislative/NominationsRejectedorWithdrawn.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. This market will resolve to “Yes” if Doug Collins is confirmed as Secretary of Veterans Affairs by June 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. If Collins's nomination is formally withdrawn, or if the Senate rejects her nomination this market will immediately resolve to “No”. The Senate must confirm this nominee for this market to resolve to "Yes". Recess appointments without Senate confirmation will not count toward a "Yes" resolution. The resolution source for this market is information from the U.S. Senate (see: https://www.senate.gov/legislative/NominationsRejectedorWithdrawn.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. This market will resolve to “Yes” if Sean Duffy is confirmed as Secretary of Transportation by June 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. If Duffy's nomination is formally withdrawn, or if the Senate rejects her nomination this market will immediately resolve to “No”. The Senate must confirm this nominee for this market to resolve to "Yes". Recess appointments without Senate confirmation will not count toward a "Yes" resolution. The resolution source for this market is information from the U.S. Senate (see: https://www.senate.gov/legislative/NominationsRejectedorWithdrawn.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. This market will resolve to “Yes” if Chris Wright is confirmed as Secretary of Energy by June 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. If Wright's nomination is formally withdrawn, or if the Senate rejects her nomination this market will immediately resolve to “No”. The Senate must confirm this nominee for this market to resolve to "Yes". Recess appointments without Senate confirmation will not count toward a "Yes" resolution. The resolution source for this market is information from the U.S. Senate (see: https://www.senate.gov/legislative/NominationsRejectedorWithdrawn.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. This market will resolve to “Yes” if Pam Bondi is confirmed as Attorney General by June 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. If Bondi's nomination is formally withdrawn, or if the Senate rejects her nomination this market will immediately resolve to “No”. The Senate must confirm this nominee for this market to resolve to "Yes". Recess appointments without Senate confirmation will not count toward a "Yes" resolution. The resolution source for this market is information from the U.S. Senate (see: https://www.senate.gov/legislative/NominationsRejectedorWithdrawn.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. This market will resolve to “Yes” if Scott Bessent is confirmed as Treasury Secretary by June 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. If Bessent's nomination is formally withdrawn, or if the Senate rejects her nomination this market will immediately resolve to “No”. The Senate must confirm this nominee for this market to resolve to "Yes". Recess appointments without Senate confirmation will not count toward a "Yes" resolution. The resolution source for this market is information from the U.S. Senate (see: https://www.senate.gov/legislative/NominationsRejectedorWithdrawn.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. This market will resolve to “Yes” if Doug Burgum is confirmed as Secretary of Interior by June 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. If Burgum's nomination is formally withdrawn, or if the Senate rejects her nomination this market will immediately resolve to “No”. The Senate must confirm this nominee for this market to resolve to "Yes". Recess appointments without Senate confirmation will not count toward a "Yes" resolution. The resolution source for this market is information from the U.S. Senate (see: https://www.senate.gov/legislative/NominationsRejectedorWithdrawn.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. This market will resolve to “Yes” if Russell Vought is confirmed as director of the Office of Management and Budget by June 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. If Vought's nomination is formally withdrawn, or if the Senate rejects their nomination this market will immediately resolve to “No”. The Senate must confirm this nominee for this market to resolve to "Yes". Recess appointments without Senate confirmation will not count toward a "Yes" resolution. The resolution source for this market is information from the U.S. Senate (see: https://www.senate.gov/legislative/NominationsRejectedorWithdrawn.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. This market will resolve to “Yes” if Marco Rubio is confirmed as Secretary of State by June 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. If Rubio's nomination is formally withdrawn, or if the Senate rejects their nomination this market will immediately resolve to “No”. The Senate must confirm this nominee for this market to resolve to "Yes". Recess appointments without Senate confirmation will not count toward a "Yes" resolution. The resolution source for this market is information from the U.S. Senate (see: https://www.senate.gov/legislative/NominationsRejectedorWithdrawn.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. This market will resolve to “Yes” if Scott Turner is confirmed as Secretary of Housing and Urban Development by June 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. If Turner's nomination is formally withdrawn, or if the Senate rejects their nomination this market will immediately resolve to “No”. The Senate must confirm this nominee for this market to resolve to "Yes". Recess appointments without Senate confirmation will not count toward a "Yes" resolution. The resolution source for this market is information from the U.S. Senate (see: https://www.senate.gov/legislative/NominationsRejectedorWithdrawn.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"Which Trump picks will be confirmed?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 22 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Pete Hegseth" at 100%, followed by "Tulsi Gabbard" at 100%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 100¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Which Trump picks will be confirmed?" has generated $23 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Nov 18, 2024. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Which Trump picks will be confirmed?," browse the 22 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Which Trump picks will be confirmed?" is "Pete Hegseth" at 100%, meaning the market assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Tulsi Gabbard" at 100%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Which Trump picks will be confirmed?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.