Slovenia's National Assembly uses proportional representation with a 4% threshold for 90 seats, making coalition negotiations essential for forming a government after the next parliamentary election, scheduled by April 2026 unless a no-confidence vote or dissolution triggers a snap election. The current minority centre-left coalition, led by Prime Minister Robert Golob's Freedom Movement (GS) and Social Democrats (SD), holds 52 seats following the Left party's withdrawal in June 2024 over disagreements on foreign policy toward Gaza. No major developments have occurred in the past 30 days, but recent polls show opposition Slovenian Democratic Party (SDS) leading at around 28%, trailed by GS at 22%, with trader sentiment focused on economic pressures, corruption investigations, and potential early election catalysts like upcoming budget votes.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於$82,582 交易量

Democrats (D)
88%

Social Democrats (SD)
87%

Freedom Movement (GS)
71%

The Left (Levica)
59%

Slovenian People’s Party (SLS)
57%

New Slovenia – Christian Democrats (NSi)
43%

Slovenian Democratic Party (SDS)
22%

Resni.ca (Res)
17%

Prerod (PVP)
3%

Party of Generations (SG)
3%

Pirate Party of Slovenia (PPS)
2%

Mi, socialisti! (Mi!)
2%

Our Country (ND)
1%

Slovenian National Party (SNS)
1%

Vesna – Green Party (Vesna)
53%
$82,582 交易量

Democrats (D)
88%

Social Democrats (SD)
87%

Freedom Movement (GS)
71%

The Left (Levica)
59%

Slovenian People’s Party (SLS)
57%

New Slovenia – Christian Democrats (NSi)
43%

Slovenian Democratic Party (SDS)
22%

Resni.ca (Res)
17%

Prerod (PVP)
3%

Party of Generations (SG)
3%

Pirate Party of Slovenia (PPS)
2%

Mi, socialisti! (Mi!)
2%

Our Country (ND)
1%

Slovenian National Party (SNS)
1%

Vesna – Green Party (Vesna)
53%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed political party is included in the first Slovenian government formed after the 2026 Slovenian parliamentary elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market may resolve once the first government is officially confirmed following a successful confirmation vote in the Slovenian National Assembly (Državni zbor), with ministers sworn in under non-caretaker circumstances.
A party will only be considered part of the coalition if it signs the coalition agreement and provides at least one cabinet minister. Parties that merely support the government (e.g., through confidence-and-supply arrangements, parliamentary support agreements, or similar) without signing the coalition agreement and holding a cabinet post will not qualify.
If no government is formed, or the results are not known definitively by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based on official information from the Government of Slovenia.
市場開放時間: Mar 13, 2026, 11:13 AM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Resolver
0x65070BE91...Slovenia's National Assembly uses proportional representation with a 4% threshold for 90 seats, making coalition negotiations essential for forming a government after the next parliamentary election, scheduled by April 2026 unless a no-confidence vote or dissolution triggers a snap election. The current minority centre-left coalition, led by Prime Minister Robert Golob's Freedom Movement (GS) and Social Democrats (SD), holds 52 seats following the Left party's withdrawal in June 2024 over disagreements on foreign policy toward Gaza. No major developments have occurred in the past 30 days, but recent polls show opposition Slovenian Democratic Party (SDS) leading at around 28%, trailed by GS at 22%, with trader sentiment focused on economic pressures, corruption investigations, and potential early election catalysts like upcoming budget votes.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
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