Market icon
經濟艙·房地產·

Asked by

Parcl image

Parcl

4月1日美國的房屋價值中位數是多少？

Market icon
經濟艙·房地產·

Asked by

Parcl image

Parcl

4月1日美國的房屋價值中位數是多少？

低於42萬 31.1%

427.5 - 430千 12.0%

422.5 - 425千 11%

43萬至43.25萬 3.4%

Polymarket

$13,829 交易量

低於42萬 31.1%

427.5 - 430千 12.0%

422.5 - 425千 11%

43萬至43.25萬 3.4%

Polymarket

$13,829 交易量

低於42萬

$0 交易量

31%

42萬至42.25萬

$0 交易量

22%

422.5 - 425千

$6,356 交易量

13%

42.5萬 - 42.75萬

$7,473 交易量

41%

427.5 - 430千

$0 交易量

18%

43萬至43.25萬

$0 交易量

3%

432.5 - 435千

$0 交易量

1%

>435k

$0 交易量

3%

This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the United States on April 1, 2026. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the United States (Parcl_ID: 5826765). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 2000, which is the median square footage for homes in the US. Parcl is set to publish this data on April 1, 2026. If no data for April 1 is released by April 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/17)Polymarket traders assign a 48% implied probability to US median home value landing in the $425,000–$427,500 range on April 1, reflecting consensus for modest appreciation amid tight inventory and stabilizing demand. The National Association of Realtors' February report showed median existing-home sales price at $417,300, up 3.8% year-over-year, even as inventory rose 15.6% YoY to 1.37 million units—still historically low. Mortgage rates eased slightly to 6.76% for 30-year fixed, boosting affordability per Freddie Mac, while Redfin data indicates metro-level price growth resuming at 3–5%. Downside risks from <420k (31%) stem from potential buyer hesitation if rates hold firm, with March NAR release as the key pre-resolution catalyst.

This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the United States on April 1, 2026.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the United States (Parcl_ID: 5826765). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 2000, which is the median square footage for homes in the US. Parcl is set to publish this data on April 1, 2026. If no data for April 1 is released by April 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/17)
交易量
$13,829
結束日期
Apr 1, 2026
市場開放時間
Feb 27, 2026, 6:12 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the United States on April 1, 2026. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the United States (Parcl_ID: 5826765). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 2000, which is the median square footage for homes in the US. Parcl is set to publish this data on April 1, 2026. If no data for April 1 is released by April 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/17)Polymarket traders assign a 48% implied probability to US median home value landing in the $425,000–$427,500 range on April 1, reflecting consensus for modest appreciation amid tight inventory and stabilizing demand. The National Association of Realtors' February report showed median existing-home sales price at $417,300, up 3.8% year-over-year, even as inventory rose 15.6% YoY to 1.37 million units—still historically low. Mortgage rates eased slightly to 6.76% for 30-year fixed, boosting affordability per Freddie Mac, while Redfin data indicates metro-level price growth resuming at 3–5%. Downside risks from <420k (31%) stem from potential buyer hesitation if rates hold firm, with March NAR release as the key pre-resolution catalyst.

Polymarket traders assign a 48% implied probability to US median home value landing in the $425,000–$427,500 range on April 1, reflecting consensus for modest appreciation amid tight inventory and stabilizing demand. The National Association of Realtors' February report showed median existing-home sales price at $417,300, up 3.8% year-over-year, even as inventory rose 15.6% YoY to 1.37 million units—still historically low. Mortgage rates eased slightly to 6.76% for 30-year fixed, boosting affordability per Freddie Mac, while Redfin data indicates metro-level price growth resuming at 3–5%. Downside risks from <420k (31%) stem from potential buyer hesitation if rates hold firm, with March NAR release as the key pre-resolution catalyst.

基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"4月1日美國的房屋價值中位數是多少？" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 8 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "42.5萬 - 42.75萬" at 41%, followed by "低於42萬" at 31%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 41¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 41% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "4月1日美國的房屋價值中位數是多少？" has generated $13.8K in total trading volume since the market launched on Feb 28, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "4月1日美國的房屋價值中位數是多少？," browse the 8 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "4月1日美國的房屋價值中位數是多少？" is "42.5萬 - 42.75萬" at 41%, meaning the market assigns a 41% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "低於42萬" at 31%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "4月1日美國的房屋價值中位數是多少？" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.