Gold prices have plunged nearly 11% in late March to around $4,430 per ounce, reflecting trader consensus on a stronger U.S. dollar index near 100 and climbing 10-year Treasury yields at 4.42%, which diminished rate-cut bets after the Federal Reserve held the federal funds rate steady at 3.50%-3.75% on March 18. February's CPI rose 2.4% year-over-year, steady but insufficient to spur easing expectations amid resilient economic data. Long-term bullish drivers persist via central bank purchases forecasted at 850 tonnes for 2026 and geopolitical risks in the Middle East. Key catalysts include March CPI on April 10 and the April 28-29 FOMC meeting, which could recalibrate real yield dynamics and gold's trajectory toward year-end GC levels.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於到12月底，黃金(GC)將達到__什麼？
到12月底，黃金(GC)將達到__什麼？
$172,650 交易量
Dec 31, 2026
↑ $15,000
5%
↑ 12,000美元
7%
↑ $10,000
12%
↑ $8,000
11%
↑ 7,000美元
23%
↑ 6,000美元
48%
$172,650 交易量
↑ $15,000
$17,411 交易量
5%
↑ 12,000美元
$33,998 交易量
7%
↑ $10,000
$14,990 交易量
12%
↑ $8,000
$9,543 交易量
11%
↑ 7,000美元
$22,510 交易量
23%
↑ 6,000美元
$74,197 交易量
48%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, on any trading day, the official CME settlement price for the Active Month (front month) of Gold (GC) futures is equal to or above the listed price by the final trading day of December 2026. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
For CME Gold (GC) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (February, April, June, August, October, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month changes automatically on the contract's First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Gold (GC) futures.Gold prices have plunged nearly 11% in late March to around $4,430 per ounce, reflecting trader consensus on a stronger U.S. dollar index near 100 and climbing 10-year Treasury yields at 4.42%, which diminished rate-cut bets after the Federal Reserve held the federal funds rate steady at 3.50%-3.75% on March 18. February's CPI rose 2.4% year-over-year, steady but insufficient to spur easing expectations amid resilient economic data. Long-term bullish drivers persist via central bank purchases forecasted at 850 tonnes for 2026 and geopolitical risks in the Middle East. Key catalysts include March CPI on April 10 and the April 28-29 FOMC meeting, which could recalibrate real yield dynamics and gold's trajectory toward year-end GC levels.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, on any trading day, the official CME settlement price for the Active Month (front month) of Gold (GC) futures is equal to or above the listed price by the final trading day of December 2026. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
For CME Gold (GC) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (February, April, June, August, October, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month changes automatically on the contract's First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Gold (GC) futures.
For CME Gold (GC) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (February, April, June, August, October, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month changes automatically on the contract's First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Gold (GC) futures.
市場開放時間： Jan 29, 2026, 3:47 PM ET
交易量
$172,650結束日期
Dec 31, 2026市場開放時間
Jan 29, 2026, 3:47 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if, on any trading day, the official CME settlement price for the Active Month (front month) of Gold (GC) futures is equal to or above the listed price by the final trading day of December 2026. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
For CME Gold (GC) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (February, April, June, August, October, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month changes automatically on the contract's First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Gold (GC) futures.Gold prices have plunged nearly 11% in late March to around $4,430 per ounce, reflecting trader consensus on a stronger U.S. dollar index near 100 and climbing 10-year Treasury yields at 4.42%, which diminished rate-cut bets after the Federal Reserve held the federal funds rate steady at 3.50%-3.75% on March 18. February's CPI rose 2.4% year-over-year, steady but insufficient to spur easing expectations amid resilient economic data. Long-term bullish drivers persist via central bank purchases forecasted at 850 tonnes for 2026 and geopolitical risks in the Middle East. Key catalysts include March CPI on April 10 and the April 28-29 FOMC meeting, which could recalibrate real yield dynamics and gold's trajectory toward year-end GC levels.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, on any trading day, the official CME settlement price for the Active Month (front month) of Gold (GC) futures is equal to or above the listed price by the final trading day of December 2026. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
For CME Gold (GC) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (February, April, June, August, October, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month changes automatically on the contract's First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Gold (GC) futures.
For CME Gold (GC) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (February, April, June, August, October, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month changes automatically on the contract's First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Gold (GC) futures.
交易量
$172,650結束日期
Dec 31, 2026市場開放時間
Jan 29, 2026, 3:47 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Gold prices have plunged nearly 11% in late March to around $4,430 per ounce, reflecting trader consensus on a stronger U.S. dollar index near 100 and climbing 10-year Treasury yields at 4.42%, which diminished rate-cut bets after the Federal Reserve held the federal funds rate steady at 3.50%-3.75% on March 18. February's CPI rose 2.4% year-over-year, steady but insufficient to spur easing expectations amid resilient economic data. Long-term bullish drivers persist via central bank purchases forecasted at 850 tonnes for 2026 and geopolitical risks in the Middle East. Key catalysts include March CPI on April 10 and the April 28-29 FOMC meeting, which could recalibrate real yield dynamics and gold's trajectory toward year-end GC levels.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
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