Trader consensus on gold (GC) futures pricing reflects caution after the Federal Reserve's March 18 FOMC decision to hold rates steady while projecting only one cut in 2026, amid sticky inflation data that has strengthened the dollar and capped upside momentum. Spot gold stabilized near $4,500 per ounce following a one-month low last week, supported by safe-haven flows from escalating Middle East tensions, including the Iran conflict entering its fifth week, offsetting earlier volatility from CME margin hikes and profit-taking off January record highs above $5,600. Upcoming April CPI release, nonfarm payrolls, and May FOMC meeting loom as pivotal, alongside central bank buying trends and 10-year Treasury yield shifts influencing the market-implied path to December.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於到12月底，黃金(GC)將達到__什麼？
到12月底，黃金(GC)將達到__什麼？
$174,289 交易量
Dec 31, 2026
↑ $15,000
5%
↑ 12,000美元
8%
↑ $10,000
10%
↑ $8,000
16%
↑ 7,000美元
24%
↑ 6,000美元
43%
$174,289 交易量
↑ $15,000
$17,511 交易量
5%
↑ 12,000美元
$34,012 交易量
8%
↑ $10,000
$15,306 交易量
10%
↑ $8,000
$10,138 交易量
16%
↑ 7,000美元
$22,723 交易量
24%
↑ 6,000美元
$74,598 交易量
43%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, on any trading day, the official CME settlement price for the Active Month (front month) of Gold (GC) futures is equal to or above the listed price by the final trading day of December 2026. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
For CME Gold (GC) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (February, April, June, August, October, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month changes automatically on the contract's First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Gold (GC) futures.Trader consensus on gold (GC) futures pricing reflects caution after the Federal Reserve's March 18 FOMC decision to hold rates steady while projecting only one cut in 2026, amid sticky inflation data that has strengthened the dollar and capped upside momentum. Spot gold stabilized near $4,500 per ounce following a one-month low last week, supported by safe-haven flows from escalating Middle East tensions, including the Iran conflict entering its fifth week, offsetting earlier volatility from CME margin hikes and profit-taking off January record highs above $5,600. Upcoming April CPI release, nonfarm payrolls, and May FOMC meeting loom as pivotal, alongside central bank buying trends and 10-year Treasury yield shifts influencing the market-implied path to December.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, on any trading day, the official CME settlement price for the Active Month (front month) of Gold (GC) futures is equal to or above the listed price by the final trading day of December 2026. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
For CME Gold (GC) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (February, April, June, August, October, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month changes automatically on the contract's First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Gold (GC) futures.
For CME Gold (GC) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (February, April, June, August, October, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month changes automatically on the contract's First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Gold (GC) futures.
市場開放時間： Jan 29, 2026, 3:47 PM ET
交易量
$174,289結束日期
Dec 31, 2026市場開放時間
Jan 29, 2026, 3:47 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if, on any trading day, the official CME settlement price for the Active Month (front month) of Gold (GC) futures is equal to or above the listed price by the final trading day of December 2026. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
For CME Gold (GC) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (February, April, June, August, October, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month changes automatically on the contract's First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Gold (GC) futures.Trader consensus on gold (GC) futures pricing reflects caution after the Federal Reserve's March 18 FOMC decision to hold rates steady while projecting only one cut in 2026, amid sticky inflation data that has strengthened the dollar and capped upside momentum. Spot gold stabilized near $4,500 per ounce following a one-month low last week, supported by safe-haven flows from escalating Middle East tensions, including the Iran conflict entering its fifth week, offsetting earlier volatility from CME margin hikes and profit-taking off January record highs above $5,600. Upcoming April CPI release, nonfarm payrolls, and May FOMC meeting loom as pivotal, alongside central bank buying trends and 10-year Treasury yield shifts influencing the market-implied path to December.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, on any trading day, the official CME settlement price for the Active Month (front month) of Gold (GC) futures is equal to or above the listed price by the final trading day of December 2026. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
For CME Gold (GC) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (February, April, June, August, October, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month changes automatically on the contract's First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Gold (GC) futures.
For CME Gold (GC) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (February, April, June, August, October, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month changes automatically on the contract's First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Gold (GC) futures.
交易量
$174,289結束日期
Dec 31, 2026市場開放時間
Jan 29, 2026, 3:47 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus on gold (GC) futures pricing reflects caution after the Federal Reserve's March 18 FOMC decision to hold rates steady while projecting only one cut in 2026, amid sticky inflation data that has strengthened the dollar and capped upside momentum. Spot gold stabilized near $4,500 per ounce following a one-month low last week, supported by safe-haven flows from escalating Middle East tensions, including the Iran conflict entering its fifth week, offsetting earlier volatility from CME margin hikes and profit-taking off January record highs above $5,600. Upcoming April CPI release, nonfarm payrolls, and May FOMC meeting loom as pivotal, alongside central bank buying trends and 10-year Treasury yield shifts influencing the market-implied path to December.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
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