Trader consensus heavily favors Conor McGregor at 51.5% implied probability for Max Holloway's next bout, driven by recent reports from Ariel Helwani and Jon Anik naming Holloway the frontrunner opposite McGregor's anticipated UFC return at International Fight Week on July 11, following McGregor's confirmation of return rumors. This stems from Holloway's post-UFC 326 callout after a unanimous decision loss of the BMF title to Charles Oliveira on March 7, reigniting demand for their 2013 rematch where McGregor previously triumphed. Mateusz Gamrot's 20% reflects his strong lightweight contender status and recent finishes positioning him as a potential title eliminator, while Dan Hooker's 15.5% nods to their shared history and his resurgence. Arman Tsarukyan and Maurício Ruffy trail with upset potential via grappling edges and knockout power, amid Holloway's stated plans for a pre-year-end return.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於康納·麥格雷戈 58%
Mateusz Gamrot 16%
丹·胡克 11%
亞爾曼·沙魯基揚 10%
$48,295 交易量
$48,295 交易量
康納·麥格雷戈
60%
Mateusz Gamrot
13%
丹·胡克
9%
亞爾曼·沙魯基揚
10%
帕迪·平布列特
7%
貝努瓦·聖丹尼斯
5%
Maurício Ruffy
12%
賈斯汀·蓋奇
2%
Ilia Topuria
<1%
伊斯蘭·馬哈切夫
<1%
Alexander Volkanovski
<1%
康納·麥格雷戈 58%
Mateusz Gamrot 16%
丹·胡克 11%
亞爾曼·沙魯基揚 10%
$48,295 交易量
$48,295 交易量
康納·麥格雷戈
60%
Mateusz Gamrot
13%
丹·胡克
9%
亞爾曼·沙魯基揚
10%
帕迪·平布列特
7%
貝努瓦·聖丹尼斯
5%
Maurício Ruffy
12%
賈斯汀·蓋奇
2%
Ilia Topuria
<1%
伊斯蘭·馬哈切夫
<1%
Alexander Volkanovski
<1%
Resolution for this market will be based on the next UFC fighter that Max Holloway is officially announced to fight, regardless of whether the fight ends up taking place.
Only official announcements from the UFC, which include a scheduled date for the bout, will count. Announcements with no date or which do not confirm that the fight is official, speculation, or other unofficial announcements will not count.
If Max Holloway is officially announced to fight any non-listed fighter or no qualifying announcement is made by February 28, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
市場開放時間: Mar 6, 2026, 7:30 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution for this market will be based on the next UFC fighter that Max Holloway is officially announced to fight, regardless of whether the fight ends up taking place.
Only official announcements from the UFC, which include a scheduled date for the bout, will count. Announcements with no date or which do not confirm that the fight is official, speculation, or other unofficial announcements will not count.
If Max Holloway is officially announced to fight any non-listed fighter or no qualifying announcement is made by February 28, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus heavily favors Conor McGregor at 51.5% implied probability for Max Holloway's next bout, driven by recent reports from Ariel Helwani and Jon Anik naming Holloway the frontrunner opposite McGregor's anticipated UFC return at International Fight Week on July 11, following McGregor's confirmation of return rumors. This stems from Holloway's post-UFC 326 callout after a unanimous decision loss of the BMF title to Charles Oliveira on March 7, reigniting demand for their 2013 rematch where McGregor previously triumphed. Mateusz Gamrot's 20% reflects his strong lightweight contender status and recent finishes positioning him as a potential title eliminator, while Dan Hooker's 15.5% nods to their shared history and his resurgence. Arman Tsarukyan and Maurício Ruffy trail with upset potential via grappling edges and knockout power, amid Holloway's stated plans for a pre-year-end return.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions