Trader consensus on Polymarket prices in modest odds for a Trump cabinet secretary exiting by early 2025, driven by the administration's history of rapid turnover—over 70% of top roles changed in his first term—and current nominee controversies. Recent reports detail sexual misconduct allegations against Defense pick Pete Hegseth from former colleagues and Fox News sources, alongside scrutiny of Robert F. Kennedy Jr.'s HHS nomination over vaccine skepticism, fueling speculation of withdrawals or post-confirmation ousters. No confirmed secretaries have departed as Senate confirmation hearings commence in January 2025, with potential recess appointments or bipartisan pushback as key catalysts ahead.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於$0.00 交易量
Dec 31, 2026
2026年3月31日
是
2026年6月30日
是
2026年12月31日
是
$0.00 交易量
2026年3月31日
$0 交易量
是
2026年6月30日
$0 交易量
是
2026年12月31日
$0 交易量
是
This market will resolve to "Yes" if at least one cabinet-level Donald Trump appointee from his second term leaves their position between market creation and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Voluntary resignations, removals, retirements, or departures for any reason will count.
Announcements alone will not qualify toward this market's resolution. An individual must actually have left their cabinet-level position.
For the purpose of this market, a Cabinet level position is defined as the heads of the 15 executive departments, Administrator of the EPA, President’s Chief of Staff, Director of National Intelligence, Director of OMB, Director of CIA, United States Trade Representative, Ambassador to the UN, Chair of the Council of Economic Advisers, Administrator of the SBA, and Director of OSTP or any position listed on https://www.whitehouse.gov/administration/the-cabinet.
Temporary or acting officials will not count toward this market's resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if at least one cabinet-level Donald Trump appointee from his second term leaves their position between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Voluntary resignations, removals, retirements, or departures for any reason will count.
Announcements alone will not qualify toward this market's resolution. An individual must actually have left their cabinet-level position.
For the purpose of this market, a Cabinet level position is defined as the heads of the 15 executive departments, Administrator of the EPA, President’s Chief of Staff, Director of National Intelligence, Director of OMB, Director of CIA, United States Trade Representative, Ambassador to the UN, Chair of the Council of Economic Advisers, Administrator of the SBA, and Director of OSTP or any position listed on https://www.whitehouse.gov/administration/the-cabinet.
Temporary or acting officials will not count toward this market's resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if at least one cabinet-level Donald Trump appointee from his second term leaves their position between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Voluntary resignations, removals, retirements, or departures for any reason will count.
Announcements alone will not qualify toward this market's resolution. An individual must actually have left their cabinet-level position.
For the purpose of this market, a Cabinet level position is defined as the heads of the 15 executive departments, Administrator of the EPA, President’s Chief of Staff, Director of National Intelligence, Director of OMB, Director of CIA, United States Trade Representative, Ambassador to the UN, Chair of the Council of Economic Advisers, Administrator of the SBA, and Director of OSTP or any position listed on https://www.whitehouse.gov/administration/the-cabinet.
Temporary or acting officials will not count toward this market's resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices in modest odds for a Trump cabinet secretary exiting by early 2025, driven by the administration's history of rapid turnover—over 70% of top roles changed in his first term—and current nominee controversies. Recent reports detail sexual misconduct allegations against Defense pick Pete Hegseth from former colleagues and Fox News sources, alongside scrutiny of Robert F. Kennedy Jr.'s HHS nomination over vaccine skepticism, fueling speculation of withdrawals or post-confirmation ousters. No confirmed secretaries have departed as Senate confirmation hearings commence in January 2025, with potential recess appointments or bipartisan pushback as key catalysts ahead.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if at least one cabinet-level Donald Trump appointee from his second term leaves their position between market creation and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Voluntary resignations, removals, retirements, or departures for any reason will count.
Announcements alone will not qualify toward this market's resolution. An individual must actually have left their cabinet-level position.
For the purpose of this market, a Cabinet level position is defined as the heads of the 15 executive departments, Administrator of the EPA, President’s Chief of Staff, Director of National Intelligence, Director of OMB, Director of CIA, United States Trade Representative, Ambassador to the UN, Chair of the Council of Economic Advisers, Administrator of the SBA, and Director of OSTP or any position listed on https://www.whitehouse.gov/administration/the-cabinet.
Temporary or acting officials will not count toward this market's resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Voluntary resignations, removals, retirements, or departures for any reason will count.
Announcements alone will not qualify toward this market's resolution. An individual must actually have left their cabinet-level position.
For the purpose of this market, a Cabinet level position is defined as the heads of the 15 executive departments, Administrator of the EPA, President’s Chief of Staff, Director of National Intelligence, Director of OMB, Director of CIA, United States Trade Representative, Ambassador to the UN, Chair of the Council of Economic Advisers, Administrator of the SBA, and Director of OSTP or any position listed on https://www.whitehouse.gov/administration/the-cabinet.
Temporary or acting officials will not count toward this market's resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
市場開放時間： Feb 4, 2026, 2:20 PM ET
交易量
$0結束日期
Dec 31, 2026市場開放時間
Feb 4, 2026, 2:20 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...已提議結果: 是
無爭議
最終結果: 是
This market will resolve to "Yes" if at least one cabinet-level Donald Trump appointee from his second term leaves their position between market creation and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Voluntary resignations, removals, retirements, or departures for any reason will count.
Announcements alone will not qualify toward this market's resolution. An individual must actually have left their cabinet-level position.
For the purpose of this market, a Cabinet level position is defined as the heads of the 15 executive departments, Administrator of the EPA, President’s Chief of Staff, Director of National Intelligence, Director of OMB, Director of CIA, United States Trade Representative, Ambassador to the UN, Chair of the Council of Economic Advisers, Administrator of the SBA, and Director of OSTP or any position listed on https://www.whitehouse.gov/administration/the-cabinet.
Temporary or acting officials will not count toward this market's resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if at least one cabinet-level Donald Trump appointee from his second term leaves their position between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Voluntary resignations, removals, retirements, or departures for any reason will count.
Announcements alone will not qualify toward this market's resolution. An individual must actually have left their cabinet-level position.
For the purpose of this market, a Cabinet level position is defined as the heads of the 15 executive departments, Administrator of the EPA, President’s Chief of Staff, Director of National Intelligence, Director of OMB, Director of CIA, United States Trade Representative, Ambassador to the UN, Chair of the Council of Economic Advisers, Administrator of the SBA, and Director of OSTP or any position listed on https://www.whitehouse.gov/administration/the-cabinet.
Temporary or acting officials will not count toward this market's resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if at least one cabinet-level Donald Trump appointee from his second term leaves their position between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Voluntary resignations, removals, retirements, or departures for any reason will count.
Announcements alone will not qualify toward this market's resolution. An individual must actually have left their cabinet-level position.
For the purpose of this market, a Cabinet level position is defined as the heads of the 15 executive departments, Administrator of the EPA, President’s Chief of Staff, Director of National Intelligence, Director of OMB, Director of CIA, United States Trade Representative, Ambassador to the UN, Chair of the Council of Economic Advisers, Administrator of the SBA, and Director of OSTP or any position listed on https://www.whitehouse.gov/administration/the-cabinet.
Temporary or acting officials will not count toward this market's resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices in modest odds for a Trump cabinet secretary exiting by early 2025, driven by the administration's history of rapid turnover—over 70% of top roles changed in his first term—and current nominee controversies. Recent reports detail sexual misconduct allegations against Defense pick Pete Hegseth from former colleagues and Fox News sources, alongside scrutiny of Robert F. Kennedy Jr.'s HHS nomination over vaccine skepticism, fueling speculation of withdrawals or post-confirmation ousters. No confirmed secretaries have departed as Senate confirmation hearings commence in January 2025, with potential recess appointments or bipartisan pushback as key catalysts ahead.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if at least one cabinet-level Donald Trump appointee from his second term leaves their position between market creation and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Voluntary resignations, removals, retirements, or departures for any reason will count.
Announcements alone will not qualify toward this market's resolution. An individual must actually have left their cabinet-level position.
For the purpose of this market, a Cabinet level position is defined as the heads of the 15 executive departments, Administrator of the EPA, President’s Chief of Staff, Director of National Intelligence, Director of OMB, Director of CIA, United States Trade Representative, Ambassador to the UN, Chair of the Council of Economic Advisers, Administrator of the SBA, and Director of OSTP or any position listed on https://www.whitehouse.gov/administration/the-cabinet.
Temporary or acting officials will not count toward this market's resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Voluntary resignations, removals, retirements, or departures for any reason will count.
Announcements alone will not qualify toward this market's resolution. An individual must actually have left their cabinet-level position.
For the purpose of this market, a Cabinet level position is defined as the heads of the 15 executive departments, Administrator of the EPA, President’s Chief of Staff, Director of National Intelligence, Director of OMB, Director of CIA, United States Trade Representative, Ambassador to the UN, Chair of the Council of Economic Advisers, Administrator of the SBA, and Director of OSTP or any position listed on https://www.whitehouse.gov/administration/the-cabinet.
Temporary or acting officials will not count toward this market's resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
交易量
$0結束日期
Dec 31, 2026市場開放時間
Feb 4, 2026, 2:20 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...已提議結果: 是
無爭議
最終結果: 是
Trader consensus on Polymarket prices in modest odds for a Trump cabinet secretary exiting by early 2025, driven by the administration's history of rapid turnover—over 70% of top roles changed in his first term—and current nominee controversies. Recent reports detail sexual misconduct allegations against Defense pick Pete Hegseth from former colleagues and Fox News sources, alongside scrutiny of Robert F. Kennedy Jr.'s HHS nomination over vaccine skepticism, fueling speculation of withdrawals or post-confirmation ousters. No confirmed secretaries have departed as Senate confirmation hearings commence in January 2025, with potential recess appointments or bipartisan pushback as key catalysts ahead.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
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