State Street Corporation (STT) released first-quarter 2026 earnings on April 17, reporting GAAP diluted earnings per share (EPS) of $2.49, missing the Street consensus estimate of approximately $2.60 amid higher-than-expected expenses and notable items. While non-GAAP adjusted EPS of $2.84 exceeded forecasts and revenue hit a record $3.80 billion—up 16% year-over-year on robust fee income and net interest revenue—trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 100% implied probability of no GAAP beat, reflecting the market's strict resolution criteria tied to reported GAAP figures. This near-certain positioning underscores the wisdom-of-crowds efficiency in prediction markets, backed by real capital. Tail risks include potential consensus revisions or earnings restatements, though highly improbable post-release, with the earnings conference call later today offering final clarity.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於是
$15,675 交易量
$15,675 交易量
是
$15,675 交易量
$15,675 交易量
If State Street releases earnings without GAAP EPS, then the market will resolve according to the GAAP EPS figure reported by SeekingAlpha. If no such figure is published within 96h of market close (4:00:00pm ET) on the day earnings are announced, the market will resolve to “No”.
If the company does not release earnings within 45 calendar days of the estimated earnings date, this market will resolve to “No.”
Note: Subsequent restatements, corrections, or revisions made to the initially announced GAAP EPS figure will not qualify for resolution, except in the case of obvious and immediate mistakes (e.g., fat finger errors, as with Lyft's (LYFT) earnings release in February 2024).
Note: The strike prices used in these markets are derived from SeekingAlpha estimates, and reflect the consensus of sell-side analyst estimates for GAAP EPS.
Note: All figures will be rounded to the nearest cent using standard rounding.
Note: For the purposes of this market, IFRS EPS will be treated as GAAP EPS.
Note: For the purposes of this market, GAAP EPS refers to diluted GAAP EPS, unless this is not published, in which case it refers to basic GAAP EPS.
Note: All figures are expressed in USD, unless otherwise indicated.
Note: For primarily internationally listed companies, this market refers specifically to the shares traded in the United States on U.S. stock exchanges such as the NYSE or Nasdaq. In cases where the company trades in the U.S. through an American Depositary Receipt (ADR) or American Depositary Share (ADS), this market will refer to the ADR/ADS.
市場開放時間: Apr 6, 2026, 12:15 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
If State Street releases earnings without GAAP EPS, then the market will resolve according to the GAAP EPS figure reported by SeekingAlpha. If no such figure is published within 96h of market close (4:00:00pm ET) on the day earnings are announced, the market will resolve to “No”.
If the company does not release earnings within 45 calendar days of the estimated earnings date, this market will resolve to “No.”
Note: Subsequent restatements, corrections, or revisions made to the initially announced GAAP EPS figure will not qualify for resolution, except in the case of obvious and immediate mistakes (e.g., fat finger errors, as with Lyft's (LYFT) earnings release in February 2024).
Note: The strike prices used in these markets are derived from SeekingAlpha estimates, and reflect the consensus of sell-side analyst estimates for GAAP EPS.
Note: All figures will be rounded to the nearest cent using standard rounding.
Note: For the purposes of this market, IFRS EPS will be treated as GAAP EPS.
Note: For the purposes of this market, GAAP EPS refers to diluted GAAP EPS, unless this is not published, in which case it refers to basic GAAP EPS.
Note: All figures are expressed in USD, unless otherwise indicated.
Note: For primarily internationally listed companies, this market refers specifically to the shares traded in the United States on U.S. stock exchanges such as the NYSE or Nasdaq. In cases where the company trades in the U.S. through an American Depositary Receipt (ADR) or American Depositary Share (ADS), this market will refer to the ADR/ADS.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
State Street Corporation (STT) released first-quarter 2026 earnings on April 17, reporting GAAP diluted earnings per share (EPS) of $2.49, missing the Street consensus estimate of approximately $2.60 amid higher-than-expected expenses and notable items. While non-GAAP adjusted EPS of $2.84 exceeded forecasts and revenue hit a record $3.80 billion—up 16% year-over-year on robust fee income and net interest revenue—trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 100% implied probability of no GAAP beat, reflecting the market's strict resolution criteria tied to reported GAAP figures. This near-certain positioning underscores the wisdom-of-crowds efficiency in prediction markets, backed by real capital. Tail risks include potential consensus revisions or earnings restatements, though highly improbable post-release, with the earnings conference call later today offering final clarity.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions