Trader sentiment on Polymarket for silver's (SI) June settlement price shows a fragmented consensus, with the >$115 bucket leading at 17% implied probability amid closely bunched odds across ranges, reflecting competing bullish and bearish forces. Primary drivers include surging industrial demand from solar panels and electronics—bolstered by China's stimulus measures—pushing against headwinds from a strengthening USD and potential Fed policy shifts post-rate cuts. Recent spot prices hovering near $31.50/oz underscore uncertainty, with green energy tailwinds favoring upside scenarios while recession risks cap gains below $80. Key differentiators ahead: November CPI data and December FOMC projections, where softer inflation could validate higher trader consensus on elevated ranges.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於>$115 15%
低於50美元 13%
60-70美元 12.4%
70至80美元 12.3%
$375,998 交易量
$375,998 交易量
低於50美元
13%
$50-$60
12%
60-70美元
12%
70至80美元
12%
80至90美元
11%
$90-$100
11%
100至115美元
12%
>$115
15%
>$115 15%
低於50美元 13%
60-70美元 12.4%
70至80美元 12.3%
$375,998 交易量
$375,998 交易量
低於50美元
13%
$50-$60
12%
60-70美元
12%
70至80美元
12%
80至90美元
11%
$90-$100
11%
100至115美元
12%
>$115
15%
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official settlement price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no settlement price is published for that session, the market will use the most recent published settlement for the Active Month during June.
For CME Silver (SI) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (March, May, July, September, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month becomes a non-active month effective on its First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for the relevant trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Silver (SI) futures.
市場開放時間: Dec 26, 2025, 6:31 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader sentiment on Polymarket for silver's (SI) June settlement price shows a fragmented consensus, with the >$115 bucket leading at 17% implied probability amid closely bunched odds across ranges, reflecting competing bullish and bearish forces. Primary drivers include surging industrial demand from solar panels and electronics—bolstered by China's stimulus measures—pushing against headwinds from a strengthening USD and potential Fed policy shifts post-rate cuts. Recent spot prices hovering near $31.50/oz underscore uncertainty, with green energy tailwinds favoring upside scenarios while recession risks cap gains below $80. Key differentiators ahead: November CPI data and December FOMC projections, where softer inflation could validate higher trader consensus on elevated ranges.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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