Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns an 81% implied probability to Silver futures (SI) hitting $100 per ounce by June 30, 2026, with lower odds for surpassing $110 (21%) or $120 (20%), reflecting skin-in-the-game optimism amid the Silver Institute's forecast of a sixth consecutive annual supply deficit—1.05 billion ounces produced versus surging industrial demand from solar panels, electric vehicles, and electronics. Current SI trades near $70/oz following a 2.7% rally to a weekly high of $74.61, buoyed by geopolitical tensions weakening the U.S. dollar and J.P. Morgan's $81/oz average price target for 2026. Key catalysts include March CPI on April 10, April 28-29 FOMC meeting, and May 12 CPI release, which could recalibrate rate cut expectations and silver's monetary policy sensitivity.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於$3,196,816 交易量
Jun 30, 2026
↑ $250
3%
↑ $230
3%
↑ $210
3%
↑ 200美元
3%
↑ $170
4%
↑ $150
8%
↑ 130美元
11%
↑ $120
19%
↓ $65
77%
↓ 60美元
59%
↓ $55
38%
↓ 45美元
20%
↓ $35
7%
$3,196,816 交易量
↑ $250
$188,062 交易量
3%
↑ $230
$51,703 交易量
3%
↑ $210
$205,435 交易量
3%
↑ 200美元
$409,833 交易量
3%
↑ $170
$148,277 交易量
4%
↑ $150
$296,633 交易量
8%
↑ 130美元
$151,812 交易量
11%
↑ $120
$818,888 交易量
19%
↓ $65
$155,628 交易量
77%
↓ 60美元
$146,588 交易量
59%
↓ $55
$126,819 交易量
38%
↓ 45美元
$89,520 交易量
20%
↓ $35
$55,218 交易量
7%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, on any trading day, the official CME settlement price for the Active Month (front month) of Silver (SI) futures is equal to or above the listed price by the final trading day of June 2026. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
For CME Silver (SI) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (March, May, July, September, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month becomes a non-active month effective on its First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Silver (SI) futures.This market will resolve to "Yes" if, on any trading day, the official CME settlement price for the Active Month (front month) of Silver (SI) futures is equal to or below the listed price by the final trading day of June 2026. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
For CME Silver (SI) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (March, May, July, September, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month becomes a non-active month effective on its First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Silver (SI) futures.Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns an 81% implied probability to Silver futures (SI) hitting $100 per ounce by June 30, 2026, with lower odds for surpassing $110 (21%) or $120 (20%), reflecting skin-in-the-game optimism amid the Silver Institute's forecast of a sixth consecutive annual supply deficit—1.05 billion ounces produced versus surging industrial demand from solar panels, electric vehicles, and electronics. Current SI trades near $70/oz following a 2.7% rally to a weekly high of $74.61, buoyed by geopolitical tensions weakening the U.S. dollar and J.P. Morgan's $81/oz average price target for 2026. Key catalysts include March CPI on April 10, April 28-29 FOMC meeting, and May 12 CPI release, which could recalibrate rate cut expectations and silver's monetary policy sensitivity.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, on any trading day, the official CME settlement price for the Active Month (front month) of Silver (SI) futures is equal to or above the listed price by the final trading day of June 2026. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
For CME Silver (SI) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (March, May, July, September, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month becomes a non-active month effective on its First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Silver (SI) futures.
For CME Silver (SI) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (March, May, July, September, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month becomes a non-active month effective on its First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Silver (SI) futures.
市場開放時間： Jan 26, 2026, 1:58 PM ET
交易量
$3,196,816結束日期
Jun 30, 2026市場開放時間
Jan 26, 2026, 1:58 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if, on any trading day, the official CME settlement price for the Active Month (front month) of Silver (SI) futures is equal to or above the listed price by the final trading day of June 2026. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
For CME Silver (SI) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (March, May, July, September, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month becomes a non-active month effective on its First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Silver (SI) futures.This market will resolve to "Yes" if, on any trading day, the official CME settlement price for the Active Month (front month) of Silver (SI) futures is equal to or below the listed price by the final trading day of June 2026. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
For CME Silver (SI) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (March, May, July, September, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month becomes a non-active month effective on its First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Silver (SI) futures.Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns an 81% implied probability to Silver futures (SI) hitting $100 per ounce by June 30, 2026, with lower odds for surpassing $110 (21%) or $120 (20%), reflecting skin-in-the-game optimism amid the Silver Institute's forecast of a sixth consecutive annual supply deficit—1.05 billion ounces produced versus surging industrial demand from solar panels, electric vehicles, and electronics. Current SI trades near $70/oz following a 2.7% rally to a weekly high of $74.61, buoyed by geopolitical tensions weakening the U.S. dollar and J.P. Morgan's $81/oz average price target for 2026. Key catalysts include March CPI on April 10, April 28-29 FOMC meeting, and May 12 CPI release, which could recalibrate rate cut expectations and silver's monetary policy sensitivity.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, on any trading day, the official CME settlement price for the Active Month (front month) of Silver (SI) futures is equal to or above the listed price by the final trading day of June 2026. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
For CME Silver (SI) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (March, May, July, September, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month becomes a non-active month effective on its First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Silver (SI) futures.
For CME Silver (SI) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (March, May, July, September, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month becomes a non-active month effective on its First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Silver (SI) futures.
交易量
$3,196,816結束日期
Jun 30, 2026市場開放時間
Jan 26, 2026, 1:58 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns an 81% implied probability to Silver futures (SI) hitting $100 per ounce by June 30, 2026, with lower odds for surpassing $110 (21%) or $120 (20%), reflecting skin-in-the-game optimism amid the Silver Institute's forecast of a sixth consecutive annual supply deficit—1.05 billion ounces produced versus surging industrial demand from solar panels, electric vehicles, and electronics. Current SI trades near $70/oz following a 2.7% rally to a weekly high of $74.61, buoyed by geopolitical tensions weakening the U.S. dollar and J.P. Morgan's $81/oz average price target for 2026. Key catalysts include March CPI on April 10, April 28-29 FOMC meeting, and May 12 CPI release, which could recalibrate rate cut expectations and silver's monetary policy sensitivity.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
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