With early April 2026 precipitation in Seoul accumulating modestly at around 10-20mm from recent frontal rain events on April 3-5 per Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) observations, trader consensus reflects high uncertainty across outcomes, as evidenced by tightly clustered market-implied probabilities near 25-26% for 55-60mm and 75mm+. Historical April climatology averages 75mm over 8 rainy days from baroclinic systems, but current model ensembles diverge on the frequency and intensity of remaining spring showers amid neutral ENSO conditions. Key differentiators include steering patterns from mid-latitude cyclones versus high-pressure blocking; watch KMA mid-term forecast updates for shifts in rainy day projections through month-end.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於Precipitation in Seoul in April?
Precipitation in Seoul in April?
75毫米以上 34%
55-60毫米 26%
40-45毫米 21%
65-70毫米 19%
少於40毫米
20%
40-45毫米
21%
45-50毫米
17%
50-55毫米
18%
55-60毫米
26%
60-65毫米
14%
65-70毫米
19%
70-75毫米
10%
75毫米以上
27%
75毫米以上 34%
55-60毫米 26%
40-45毫米 21%
65-70毫米 19%
少於40毫米
20%
40-45毫米
21%
45-50毫米
17%
50-55毫米
18%
55-60毫米
26%
60-65毫米
14%
65-70毫米
19%
70-75毫米
10%
75毫米以上
27%
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be the Korea Meteorological Administration, specifically the figure for monthly precipitation in mm when the classification is set for "ground", the region/branch is set for "Seoul", the element is set for "precipitation", and the period is set for the month of April at the https://data.kma.go.kr/climate/RankState/selectRankStatisticsDivisionList.do link once the figure is finalized for the whole month of April 2026.
If the relevant data is not available by June 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 1 decimal place (e.g., 1.5), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間: Mar 24, 2026, 6:26 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be the Korea Meteorological Administration, specifically the figure for monthly precipitation in mm when the classification is set for "ground", the region/branch is set for "Seoul", the element is set for "precipitation", and the period is set for the month of April at the https://data.kma.go.kr/climate/RankState/selectRankStatisticsDivisionList.do link once the figure is finalized for the whole month of April 2026.
If the relevant data is not available by June 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 1 decimal place (e.g., 1.5), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...With early April 2026 precipitation in Seoul accumulating modestly at around 10-20mm from recent frontal rain events on April 3-5 per Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) observations, trader consensus reflects high uncertainty across outcomes, as evidenced by tightly clustered market-implied probabilities near 25-26% for 55-60mm and 75mm+. Historical April climatology averages 75mm over 8 rainy days from baroclinic systems, but current model ensembles diverge on the frequency and intensity of remaining spring showers amid neutral ENSO conditions. Key differentiators include steering patterns from mid-latitude cyclones versus high-pressure blocking; watch KMA mid-term forecast updates for shifts in rainy day projections through month-end.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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