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氣候與科學·降水

三月份西雅圖的降水量？

Market icon
氣候與科學·降水

三月份西雅圖的降水量？

Mar 31

Apr 30

Mar 31

Apr 30

5-6英吋 91.0%

6-7英吋 4.4%

>8英吋 1.8%

7-8英吋 1.7%

Polymarket

$286,343 交易量

5-6英吋 91.0%

6-7英吋 4.4%

>8英吋 1.8%

7-8英吋 1.7%

Polymarket

$286,343 交易量

<3英吋

$45,962 交易量

<1%

3-4英吋

$158,285 交易量

<1%

4-5英吋

$29,616 交易量

<1%

5-6英吋

$13,454 交易量

91%

6-7英吋

$19,196 交易量

4%

7-8英吋

$10,865 交易量

2%

>8英吋

$8,967 交易量

2%

This market will resolve according to the total precipitation in inches in Seattle between March 1 and March 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET according to the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA). The resolution source for this market will be NOAA, specifically the figure for March 2026 when the "Monthly summarized data" for "Seattle City Area" is selected with the variable set to "Precipitation" at the https://www.weather.gov/wrh/climate?wfo=sew link once that figure is finalized for the whole month of March 2026. If the reported data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket. The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 2 decimal places (e.g., 1.54), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly backs 5-6 inches of precipitation at Seattle-Tacoma International Airport (Sea-Tac) for March 2026 (91% implied probability), driven by National Weather Service observations showing cumulative rainfall near 6 inches through March 27—well above the 3.7-inch climatological average—fueled by repeated atmospheric river events around March 11 (over 1 inch), 13, and 24. High-resolution forecast models from NOAA now project dry conditions through March 31 under a persistent high-pressure ridge, minimizing additional accumulation and supporting the 5-6 inch bucket. Realistic challenges include an unforeseen late-month Pacific front delivering 0.5+ inches, though current ensemble guidance shows low likelihood; final NWS monthly climate summary expected post-March 31.

Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly backs 5-6 inches of precipitation at Seattle-Tacoma International Airport (Sea-Tac) for March 2026 (91% implied probability), driven by National Weather Service observations showing cumulative rainfall near 6 inches through March 27—well above the 3.7-inch climatological average—fueled by repeated atmospheric river events around March 11 (over 1 inch), 13, and 24. High-resolution forecast models from NOAA now project dry conditions through March 31 under a persistent high-pressure ridge, minimizing additional accumulation and supporting the 5-6 inch bucket. Realistic challenges include an unforeseen late-month Pacific front delivering 0.5+ inches, though current ensemble guidance shows low likelihood; final NWS monthly climate summary expected post-March 31.

基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
This market will resolve according to the total precipitation in inches in Seattle between March 1 and March 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET according to the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA). The resolution source for this market will be NOAA, specifically the figure for March 2026 when the "Monthly summarized data" for "Seattle City Area" is selected with the variable set to "Precipitation" at the https://www.weather.gov/wrh/climate?wfo=sew link once that figure is finalized for the whole month of March 2026. If the reported data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket. The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 2 decimal places (e.g., 1.54), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly backs 5-6 inches of precipitation at Seattle-Tacoma International Airport (Sea-Tac) for March 2026 (91% implied probability), driven by National Weather Service observations showing cumulative rainfall near 6 inches through March 27—well above the 3.7-inch climatological average—fueled by repeated atmospheric river events around March 11 (over 1 inch), 13, and 24. High-resolution forecast models from NOAA now project dry conditions through March 31 under a persistent high-pressure ridge, minimizing additional accumulation and supporting the 5-6 inch bucket. Realistic challenges include an unforeseen late-month Pacific front delivering 0.5+ inches, though current ensemble guidance shows low likelihood; final NWS monthly climate summary expected post-March 31.

Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly backs 5-6 inches of precipitation at Seattle-Tacoma International Airport (Sea-Tac) for March 2026 (91% implied probability), driven by National Weather Service observations showing cumulative rainfall near 6 inches through March 27—well above the 3.7-inch climatological average—fueled by repeated atmospheric river events around March 11 (over 1 inch), 13, and 24. High-resolution forecast models from NOAA now project dry conditions through March 31 under a persistent high-pressure ridge, minimizing additional accumulation and supporting the 5-6 inch bucket. Realistic challenges include an unforeseen late-month Pacific front delivering 0.5+ inches, though current ensemble guidance shows low likelihood; final NWS monthly climate summary expected post-March 31.

基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"三月份西雅圖的降水量？" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 7 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "5-6英吋" at 91%, followed by "6-7英吋" at 4%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 91¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 91% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "三月份西雅圖的降水量？" has generated $286.3K in total trading volume since the market launched on Feb 26, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "三月份西雅圖的降水量？," browse the 7 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "三月份西雅圖的降水量？" is "5-6英吋" at 91%, meaning the market assigns a 91% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "6-7英吋" at 4%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "三月份西雅圖的降水量？" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.