Trader consensus on Polymarket favors 80-90 million week-one YouTube views at 46% implied probability for MrBeast's freshly released "50 Streamers Fight for $1,000,000," reflecting caution after his prior upload, "Trapped On An Island Until I Build A Boat," garnered just 83 million views in its first week despite 36 million on day one—sparking "falling off" chatter amid perceived audience fatigue and algorithm shifts. The 90-100M bracket trails at 26.5%, buoyed by hype around this record streamer lineup (including Ludwig, Ironmouse, and ex-FaZe talent) promising cross-fanbase promotion from 50 creator audiences, which MrBeast touted as his "best video ever." Lower tiers like 70-80M (13.5%) account for risks from recent softening trends, with resolution hinging on streaming metrics and viral traction through April 11.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於# of views of next MrBeast video on week 1?
# of views of next MrBeast video on week 1?
80-90M 46%
90-100M 27%
100-110M 12%
70-80M 10.6%
$187,884 交易量
$187,884 交易量
<60M
<1%
60-70M
2%
70-80M
11%
80-90M
46%
90-100M
27%
100-110M
12%
110M+
3%
80-90M 46%
90-100M 27%
100-110M 12%
70-80M 10.6%
$187,884 交易量
$187,884 交易量
<60M
<1%
60-70M
2%
70-80M
11%
80-90M
46%
90-100M
27%
100-110M
12%
110M+
3%
If MrBeast does not post a YouTube video by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this is MrBeast's YouTube channel (https://www.youtube.com/@MrBeast), specifically the 'views' counter for the described video.
Note: This market refers to MrBeast's next video posted. Shorts, previews, or other videos released other than the referenced video will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Mar 30, 2026, 11:30 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...If MrBeast does not post a YouTube video by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this is MrBeast's YouTube channel (https://www.youtube.com/@MrBeast), specifically the 'views' counter for the described video.
Note: This market refers to MrBeast's next video posted. Shorts, previews, or other videos released other than the referenced video will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket favors 80-90 million week-one YouTube views at 46% implied probability for MrBeast's freshly released "50 Streamers Fight for $1,000,000," reflecting caution after his prior upload, "Trapped On An Island Until I Build A Boat," garnered just 83 million views in its first week despite 36 million on day one—sparking "falling off" chatter amid perceived audience fatigue and algorithm shifts. The 90-100M bracket trails at 26.5%, buoyed by hype around this record streamer lineup (including Ludwig, Ironmouse, and ex-FaZe talent) promising cross-fanbase promotion from 50 creator audiences, which MrBeast touted as his "best video ever." Lower tiers like 70-80M (13.5%) account for risks from recent softening trends, with resolution hinging on streaming metrics and viral traction through April 11.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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