Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors 80-90 million week-one YouTube views for MrBeast's next main channel video (99.9% implied probability), driven by his consistent high-velocity performance on viral challenge content amid a 473 million subscriber base. Recent precedent includes "Survive 30 Days Stranded With Your Ex, Win $250,000," which amassed 105 million views within two weeks, reflecting typical first-week surges fueled by algorithmic promotion, teaser hype across platforms, and evergreen appeal of massive cash prizes. This positioning holds despite minor controversies, as no recent developments signal a dip. Realistic upsets could stem from production delays shifting to Beast Games promo, intensified backlash, or suboptimal thumbnails/title eroding initial click-through rates ahead of the upload.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於# of views of next MrBeast video on week 1?
# of views of next MrBeast video on week 1?
80-90M 99.9%
<40M <1%
40-50M <1%
50-60M <1%
$1,453,138 交易量
$1,453,138 交易量
<40M
<1%
40-50M
<1%
50-60M
<1%
60-70M
<1%
70-80M
<1%
80-90M
100%
90M+
<1%
80-90M 99.9%
<40M <1%
40-50M <1%
50-60M <1%
$1,453,138 交易量
$1,453,138 交易量
<40M
<1%
40-50M
<1%
50-60M
<1%
60-70M
<1%
70-80M
<1%
80-90M
100%
90M+
<1%
If MrBeast does not post a YouTube video by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this is MrBeast's YouTube channel (https://www.youtube.com/@MrBeast), specifically the 'views' counter for the described video.
Note: This market refers to MrBeast's next video posted. Shorts, previews, or other videos released other than the referenced video will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Mar 16, 2026, 5:04 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...If MrBeast does not post a YouTube video by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this is MrBeast's YouTube channel (https://www.youtube.com/@MrBeast), specifically the 'views' counter for the described video.
Note: This market refers to MrBeast's next video posted. Shorts, previews, or other videos released other than the referenced video will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors 80-90 million week-one YouTube views for MrBeast's next main channel video (99.9% implied probability), driven by his consistent high-velocity performance on viral challenge content amid a 473 million subscriber base. Recent precedent includes "Survive 30 Days Stranded With Your Ex, Win $250,000," which amassed 105 million views within two weeks, reflecting typical first-week surges fueled by algorithmic promotion, teaser hype across platforms, and evergreen appeal of massive cash prizes. This positioning holds despite minor controversies, as no recent developments signal a dip. Realistic upsets could stem from production delays shifting to Beast Games promo, intensified backlash, or suboptimal thumbnails/title eroding initial click-through rates ahead of the upload.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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