第1天下一部MrBeast影片的觀看次數？

第1天下一部MrBeast影片的觀看次數？

Ended: Mar 31

Mar 26

Ended: Mar 31

Mar 26

3,500–4,000 萬 100.0%

少於 2000 萬 <1%

2000–2500萬 <1%

2500–3000萬 <1%

$0.00 交易量

$0.00 交易量

Mar 31, 2026

少於 2000 萬

$0 交易量

否

2000–2500萬

$0 交易量

否

2500–3000萬

$0 交易量

否

3,000–3,500 萬

$0 交易量

否

3,500–4,000 萬

$0 交易量

是

4000–4500 萬

$0 交易量

否

4500–5000萬

$0 交易量

否

5,000 萬+

$0 交易量

否

3,500–4,000 萬 100.0%

少於 2000 萬 <1%

2000–2500萬 <1%

2500–3000萬 <1%

$0.00 交易量

$0.00 交易量

Mar 31, 2026

少於 2000 萬

$0 交易量

否

2000–2500萬

$0 交易量

否

2500–3000萬

$0 交易量

否

3,000–3,500 萬

$0 交易量

否

3,500–4,000 萬

$0 交易量

是

4000–4500 萬

$0 交易量

否

4500–5000萬

$0 交易量

否

5,000 萬+

$0 交易量

否

This market will resolve according to the number of views the next YouTube video posted by MrBeast gets in the first 24 hours after being posted. This market may not resolve until the 24 hours are complete, regardless of whether a strike is reached earlier. If MrBeast does not post a YouTube video by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source for this market is MrBeast's YouTube channel (https://www.youtube.com/@MrBeast), specifically the 'views' counter for the described video. Note: This market refers to MrBeast's next video to be posted. Shorts, previews, or other videos released other than the referenced video will not be considered.

已提議結果: 是

無爭議

最終結果: 是

Trader consensus overwhelmingly favors 35-40 million day-one views for MrBeast's next YouTube upload, driven by his consistent first-24-hour performance averaging 36-42 million across recent blockbusters like "$1 vs $500,000 Vacation" (38M) and "Last to Leave Their Circle Wins $500,000" (41M), fueled by his 320-million subscriber juggernaut and pre-release X hype cycles. Algorithmic boosts from viral thumbnails and challenge formats solidify this frontrunner status in the creator economy, where MrBeast sets viewership benchmarks. Realistic upsets hinge on a lackluster premise, botched SEO, major platform outage, or overshadowing news like a celebrity scandal, potentially dipping below 30M or surging past 50M with a record-breaking collab.

基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於 Mar 22, 2026, 7:46 PM UTC

警惕外部連結哦。

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"第1天下一部MrBeast影片的觀看次數？" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 8 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "3,500–4,000 萬" at 100%, followed by "少於 2000 萬" at 0%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 100¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"第1天下一部MrBeast影片的觀看次數？" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Mar 16, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "第1天下一部MrBeast影片的觀看次數？," browse the 8 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "第1天下一部MrBeast影片的觀看次數？" is "3,500–4,000 萬" at 100%, meaning the market assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "少於 2000 萬" at 0%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "第1天下一部MrBeast影片的觀看次數？" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.

Yes. You don't need to trade to stay informed. This page serves as a live tracker for "第1天下一部MrBeast影片的觀看次數？." The outcome probabilities update in real-time as new trades come in. You can bookmark this page and check the comments section to see what other traders are saying. You can also use the time-range filters on the chart to see how the odds have shifted over time. It's a free, real-time window into what the market expects to happen.

Polymarket odds are set by real traders putting real money behind their beliefs, which tends to surface accurate predictions. “第1天下一部MrBeast影片的觀看次數？” is still building its trading base, so the odds will become increasingly reliable as more participants enter the market. Prediction markets like Polymarket have a strong track record of accuracy, especially as events approach their resolution date. For example, Polymarket has a one month accuracy score of 94%. For the latest stats on Polymarket’s prediction accuracy, visit the accuracy page on Polymarket.

To place your first trade on "第1天下一部MrBeast影片的觀看次數？," sign up for a free Polymarket account and fund it using crypto, a credit or debit card, or a bank transfer. Once your account is funded, return to this page, select the outcome you want to trade, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If you're new to prediction markets, click the "How it works" link at the top of any Polymarket page for a quick step-by-step walkthrough of how trading works.

On Polymarket, the price of each outcome represents the market's implied probability. A price of 100¢ for "3,500–4,000 萬" in the "第1天下一部MrBeast影片的觀看次數？" market means traders collectively believe there is roughly a 100% chance that "3,500–4,000 萬" will be the correct result. If you buy "Yes" shares at 100¢ and the outcome is correct, you receive $1.00 per share — a profit of 0¢ per share. If incorrect, those shares are worth $0.

The "第1天下一部MrBeast影片的觀看次數？" market has been resolved. The final result has been determined and the market is no longer open for trading. You can still review the historical odds, outcome probabilities, and comments on this page to see how predictions evolved over time.

The "第1天下一部MrBeast影片的觀看次數？" market has an active community of 5,739 comments where traders share their analysis, debate outcomes, and discuss breaking developments. Scroll down to the comments section below to read what other participants think. You can also filter by "Top Holders" to see what the market's biggest traders are positioned on, or check the "Activity" tab for a real-time feed of trades.

Polymarket is the world's largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge of real-world events. Traders buy and sell shares on outcomes for topics ranging from politics and elections to crypto, finance, sports, tech, and culture, including markets like "第1天下一部MrBeast影片的觀看次數？." Prices reflect real-time, crowd-sourced probabilities backed by financial conviction, often providing faster and more accurate signals than polls, pundits, or traditional surveys.