Market icon
金融·商務

2027年之前的紐約證券交易所全線斷路器？

Market icon
金融·商務

2027年之前的紐約證券交易所全線斷路器？

是

26% 機率
Polymarket

$41,258 交易量

是

26% 機率
Polymarket

$41,258 交易量

This market will resolve to "Yes" if a marketwide circuit breaker is triggered on the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) at any time between November 7, 2025, and December 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A marketwide circuit breaker is defined as a trading halt that is initiated due to significant declines in the S&P 500 Index, specifically a Level 1, Level 2, or Level 3 halt as per NYSE rules. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the NYSE, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 74.5% implied probability for no NYSE marketwide circuit breaker before 2027, driven by the S&P 500's resilience amid a 7.5% year-to-date decline as of early April 2026, with no single-day 7% drop triggering Level 1 halts despite VIX volatility spiking to 30 in late March before easing to 24.5. Recent pressures from sticky inflation, geopolitical tensions elevating oil above $100 per barrel, private credit liquidity strains, and Magnificent Seven underperformance have fueled correction fears, yet robust economic growth and Federal Reserve policy buffers have contained downside risks. Key catalysts include upcoming April CPI data and May FOMC meeting, where persistent inflation could reignite volatility, though historical precedents post-2020 underscore low crash odds absent a black swan event.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if a marketwide circuit breaker is triggered on the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) at any time between November 7, 2025, and December 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

A marketwide circuit breaker is defined as a trading halt that is initiated due to significant declines in the S&P 500 Index, specifically a Level 1, Level 2, or Level 3 halt as per NYSE rules.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the NYSE, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
交易量
$41,258
結束日期
2026-12-31
市場開放時間
Nov 7, 2025, 4:20 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a marketwide circuit breaker is triggered on the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) at any time between November 7, 2025, and December 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A marketwide circuit breaker is defined as a trading halt that is initiated due to significant declines in the S&P 500 Index, specifically a Level 1, Level 2, or Level 3 halt as per NYSE rules. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the NYSE, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a marketwide circuit breaker is triggered on the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) at any time between November 7, 2025, and December 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A marketwide circuit breaker is defined as a trading halt that is initiated due to significant declines in the S&P 500 Index, specifically a Level 1, Level 2, or Level 3 halt as per NYSE rules. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the NYSE, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 74.5% implied probability for no NYSE marketwide circuit breaker before 2027, driven by the S&P 500's resilience amid a 7.5% year-to-date decline as of early April 2026, with no single-day 7% drop triggering Level 1 halts despite VIX volatility spiking to 30 in late March before easing to 24.5. Recent pressures from sticky inflation, geopolitical tensions elevating oil above $100 per barrel, private credit liquidity strains, and Magnificent Seven underperformance have fueled correction fears, yet robust economic growth and Federal Reserve policy buffers have contained downside risks. Key catalysts include upcoming April CPI data and May FOMC meeting, where persistent inflation could reignite volatility, though historical precedents post-2020 underscore low crash odds absent a black swan event.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if a marketwide circuit breaker is triggered on the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) at any time between November 7, 2025, and December 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

A marketwide circuit breaker is defined as a trading halt that is initiated due to significant declines in the S&P 500 Index, specifically a Level 1, Level 2, or Level 3 halt as per NYSE rules.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the NYSE, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
交易量
$41,258
結束日期
2026-12-31
市場開放時間
Nov 7, 2025, 4:20 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a marketwide circuit breaker is triggered on the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) at any time between November 7, 2025, and December 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A marketwide circuit breaker is defined as a trading halt that is initiated due to significant declines in the S&P 500 Index, specifically a Level 1, Level 2, or Level 3 halt as per NYSE rules. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the NYSE, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"2027年之前的紐約證券交易所全線斷路器？" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 2 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "2027 年前紐約證券交易所全市場斷路器？" at 26%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 26¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 26% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "2027年之前的紐約證券交易所全線斷路器？" has generated $41.3K in total trading volume since the market launched on Nov 7, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "2027年之前的紐約證券交易所全線斷路器？," browse the 2 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "2027年之前的紐約證券交易所全線斷路器？" is "2027 年前紐約證券交易所全市場斷路器？" at 26%, meaning the market assigns a 26% chance to that outcome. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "2027年之前的紐約證券交易所全線斷路器？" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.