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下一個詹姆斯邦德演員？

Market icon

下一個詹姆斯邦德演員？

尚未選出龐德 68%

Callum Turner 19%

雅各布·艾洛迪 3.4%

亞倫·泰勒-強森 2.8%

Polymarket

$1,595,670 交易量

尚未選出龐德 68%

Callum Turner 19%

雅各布·艾洛迪 3.4%

亞倫·泰勒-強森 2.8%

Polymarket

$1,595,670 交易量

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尚未選出龐德

$241,454 交易量

68%

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Callum Turner

$107,044 交易量

19%

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雅各布·艾洛迪

$215,541 交易量

3%

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亞倫·泰勒-強森

$93,625 交易量

3%

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亨利·卡維爾

$230,984 交易量

2%

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Paul Mescal

$86,570 交易量

2%

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詹姆斯·諾頓

$99,367 交易量

1%

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哈里斯·迪金森

$129,336 交易量

1%

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傑克·洛登

$63,531 交易量

1%

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Theo James

$16,781 交易量

1%

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皮爾斯·布洛斯南

$169,427 交易量

1%

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Josh O'Connor

$12,068 交易量

<1%

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湯姆·哈迪

$61,704 交易量

<1%

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湯姆·霍蘭德

$57,780 交易量

<1%

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羅伯特·詹姆斯-柯利爾

$10,457 交易量

<1%

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the above actor is officially announced as the next James Bond actor by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will resolve based on the first official announcement of who will be the next James Bond, regardless of any changes made thereafter. If no actor is announced as the next Bond within the timeframe, this market will resolve to "No Bond chosen". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Amazon MGM Studios. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors "No Bond chosen" at 67.5% implied probability, driven by the absence of any official casting announcement from Amazon MGM Studios despite persistent rumors, as insiders dismissed big-name speculation as "bullsh*t" in late February amid ongoing script development by Steven Knight for Denis Villeneuve's directorial debut. Callum Turner holds second place at 18.5% following a mid-March surge in betting odds—doubling on Polymarket after reports of him allegedly sharing the news with friends—bolstered by his rising profile from Masters of the Air and Berlin Film Festival buzz for Rosebush Pruning, though his evasive responses there underscore the early stage. Lower-tier contenders like Jacob Elordi and Aaron Taylor-Johnson reflect faded precursor momentum without fresh catalysts, with screen tests unlikely until script delivery later this year.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the above actor is officially announced as the next James Bond actor by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

This market will resolve based on the first official announcement of who will be the next James Bond, regardless of any changes made thereafter.

If no actor is announced as the next Bond within the timeframe, this market will resolve to "No Bond chosen".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Amazon MGM Studios. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$1,595,670
結束日期
2026-06-30
市場開放時間
Aug 4, 2025, 6:46 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the above actor is officially announced as the next James Bond actor by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will resolve based on the first official announcement of who will be the next James Bond, regardless of any changes made thereafter. If no actor is announced as the next Bond within the timeframe, this market will resolve to "No Bond chosen". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Amazon MGM Studios. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the above actor is officially announced as the next James Bond actor by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will resolve based on the first official announcement of who will be the next James Bond, regardless of any changes made thereafter. If no actor is announced as the next Bond within the timeframe, this market will resolve to "No Bond chosen". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Amazon MGM Studios. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors "No Bond chosen" at 67.5% implied probability, driven by the absence of any official casting announcement from Amazon MGM Studios despite persistent rumors, as insiders dismissed big-name speculation as "bullsh*t" in late February amid ongoing script development by Steven Knight for Denis Villeneuve's directorial debut. Callum Turner holds second place at 18.5% following a mid-March surge in betting odds—doubling on Polymarket after reports of him allegedly sharing the news with friends—bolstered by his rising profile from Masters of the Air and Berlin Film Festival buzz for Rosebush Pruning, though his evasive responses there underscore the early stage. Lower-tier contenders like Jacob Elordi and Aaron Taylor-Johnson reflect faded precursor momentum without fresh catalysts, with screen tests unlikely until script delivery later this year.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the above actor is officially announced as the next James Bond actor by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

This market will resolve based on the first official announcement of who will be the next James Bond, regardless of any changes made thereafter.

If no actor is announced as the next Bond within the timeframe, this market will resolve to "No Bond chosen".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Amazon MGM Studios. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$1,595,670
結束日期
2026-06-30
市場開放時間
Aug 4, 2025, 6:46 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the above actor is officially announced as the next James Bond actor by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will resolve based on the first official announcement of who will be the next James Bond, regardless of any changes made thereafter. If no actor is announced as the next Bond within the timeframe, this market will resolve to "No Bond chosen". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Amazon MGM Studios. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"下一個詹姆斯邦德演員？" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 15 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "尚未選出龐德" at 68%, followed by "Callum Turner" at 19%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 68¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 68% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "下一個詹姆斯邦德演員？" has generated $1.6 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Aug 4, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "下一個詹姆斯邦德演員？," browse the 15 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "下一個詹姆斯邦德演員？" is "尚未選出龐德" at 68%, meaning the market assigns a 68% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Callum Turner" at 19%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "下一個詹姆斯邦德演員？" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.