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下一個詹姆斯邦德演員?

Market icon

下一個詹姆斯邦德演員?

尚未選出龐德 68%

Callum Turner 22%

雅各布·艾洛迪 2.9%

亞倫·泰勒-強森 2.6%

Polymarket

$1,610,425 交易量

尚未選出龐德 68%

Callum Turner 22%

雅各布·艾洛迪 2.9%

亞倫·泰勒-強森 2.6%

Polymarket

$1,610,425 交易量

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尚未選出龐德

$242,594 交易量

68%

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Callum Turner

$107,923 交易量

22%

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雅各布·艾洛迪

$216,574 交易量

3%

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亞倫·泰勒-強森

$94,114 交易量

3%

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亨利·卡維爾

$231,760 交易量

2%

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Paul Mescal

$87,096 交易量

1%

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Josh O'Connor

$13,138 交易量

1%

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傑克·洛登

$64,055 交易量

1%

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詹姆斯·諾頓

$100,171 交易量

1%

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哈里斯·迪金森

$129,759 交易量

1%

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湯姆·哈迪

$62,681 交易量

<1%

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湯姆·霍蘭德

$59,727 交易量

<1%

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Theo James

$17,459 交易量

<1%

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皮爾斯·布洛斯南

$169,932 交易量

<1%

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羅伯特·詹姆斯-柯利爾

$13,524 交易量

<1%

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the above actor is officially announced as the next James Bond actor by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will resolve based on the first official announcement of who will be the next James Bond, regardless of any changes made thereafter. If no actor is announced as the next Bond within the timeframe, this market will resolve to "No Bond chosen". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Amazon MGM Studios. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors "No Bond chosen" at a 67.5% implied probability, driven by Amazon MGM Studios' focus on finalizing Steven Knight's script for James Bond 26 before launching official casting, with insiders dismissing big-name rumors as "bullsh*t" in late February reports. Callum Turner's frontrunner status at 22% stems from a March surge in betting odds, sparked by viral social media buzz and his rising profile in prestige projects like Masters of Air, though the actor himself deflected questions at the Berlin Film Festival, calling it "very early." Lower probabilities for Jacob Elordi (2.9%), Aaron Taylor-Johnson (2.6%), and Henry Cavill (2.1%) reflect faded or unverified speculation amid no confirmed precursors like auditions or guild signals, with casting eyed for later in 2026 ahead of a potential 2028 release.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the above actor is officially announced as the next James Bond actor by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

This market will resolve based on the first official announcement of who will be the next James Bond, regardless of any changes made thereafter.

If no actor is announced as the next Bond within the timeframe, this market will resolve to "No Bond chosen".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Amazon MGM Studios. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$1,610,425
結束日期
2026-06-30
市場開放時間
Aug 4, 2025, 6:46 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the above actor is officially announced as the next James Bond actor by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will resolve based on the first official announcement of who will be the next James Bond, regardless of any changes made thereafter. If no actor is announced as the next Bond within the timeframe, this market will resolve to "No Bond chosen". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Amazon MGM Studios. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the above actor is officially announced as the next James Bond actor by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will resolve based on the first official announcement of who will be the next James Bond, regardless of any changes made thereafter. If no actor is announced as the next Bond within the timeframe, this market will resolve to "No Bond chosen". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Amazon MGM Studios. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors "No Bond chosen" at a 67.5% implied probability, driven by Amazon MGM Studios' focus on finalizing Steven Knight's script for James Bond 26 before launching official casting, with insiders dismissing big-name rumors as "bullsh*t" in late February reports. Callum Turner's frontrunner status at 22% stems from a March surge in betting odds, sparked by viral social media buzz and his rising profile in prestige projects like Masters of Air, though the actor himself deflected questions at the Berlin Film Festival, calling it "very early." Lower probabilities for Jacob Elordi (2.9%), Aaron Taylor-Johnson (2.6%), and Henry Cavill (2.1%) reflect faded or unverified speculation amid no confirmed precursors like auditions or guild signals, with casting eyed for later in 2026 ahead of a potential 2028 release.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the above actor is officially announced as the next James Bond actor by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

This market will resolve based on the first official announcement of who will be the next James Bond, regardless of any changes made thereafter.

If no actor is announced as the next Bond within the timeframe, this market will resolve to "No Bond chosen".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Amazon MGM Studios. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$1,610,425
結束日期
2026-06-30
市場開放時間
Aug 4, 2025, 6:46 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the above actor is officially announced as the next James Bond actor by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will resolve based on the first official announcement of who will be the next James Bond, regardless of any changes made thereafter. If no actor is announced as the next Bond within the timeframe, this market will resolve to "No Bond chosen". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Amazon MGM Studios. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"下一個詹姆斯邦德演員?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 15 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "尚未選出龐德" at 68%, followed by "Callum Turner" at 22%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 68¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 68% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "下一個詹姆斯邦德演員?" has generated $1.6 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Aug 4, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "下一個詹姆斯邦德演員?," browse the 15 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "下一個詹姆斯邦德演員?" is "尚未選出龐德" at 68%, meaning the market assigns a 68% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Callum Turner" at 22%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "下一個詹姆斯邦德演員?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.