Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors "No Bond chosen" at a 67.5% implied probability, driven by Amazon MGM Studios' focus on finalizing Steven Knight's script for James Bond 26 before launching official casting, with insiders dismissing big-name rumors as "bullsh*t" in late February reports. Callum Turner's frontrunner status at 22% stems from a March surge in betting odds, sparked by viral social media buzz and his rising profile in prestige projects like Masters of Air, though the actor himself deflected questions at the Berlin Film Festival, calling it "very early." Lower probabilities for Jacob Elordi (2.9%), Aaron Taylor-Johnson (2.6%), and Henry Cavill (2.1%) reflect faded or unverified speculation amid no confirmed precursors like auditions or guild signals, with casting eyed for later in 2026 ahead of a potential 2028 release.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於下一個詹姆斯邦德演員?
下一個詹姆斯邦德演員?
尚未選出龐德 68%
Callum Turner 22%
雅各布·艾洛迪 2.9%
亞倫·泰勒-強森 2.6%
$1,610,425 交易量
$1,610,425 交易量

尚未選出龐德
68%

Callum Turner
22%

雅各布·艾洛迪
3%

亞倫·泰勒-強森
3%

亨利·卡維爾
2%

Paul Mescal
1%

Josh O'Connor
1%

傑克·洛登
1%

詹姆斯·諾頓
1%

哈里斯·迪金森
1%

湯姆·哈迪
<1%

湯姆·霍蘭德
<1%

Theo James
<1%

皮爾斯·布洛斯南
<1%

羅伯特·詹姆斯-柯利爾
<1%
尚未選出龐德 68%
Callum Turner 22%
雅各布·艾洛迪 2.9%
亞倫·泰勒-強森 2.6%
$1,610,425 交易量
$1,610,425 交易量

尚未選出龐德
68%

Callum Turner
22%

雅各布·艾洛迪
3%

亞倫·泰勒-強森
3%

亨利·卡維爾
2%

Paul Mescal
1%

Josh O'Connor
1%

傑克·洛登
1%

詹姆斯·諾頓
1%

哈里斯·迪金森
1%

湯姆·哈迪
<1%

湯姆·霍蘭德
<1%

Theo James
<1%

皮爾斯·布洛斯南
<1%

羅伯特·詹姆斯-柯利爾
<1%
This market will resolve based on the first official announcement of who will be the next James Bond, regardless of any changes made thereafter.
If no actor is announced as the next Bond within the timeframe, this market will resolve to "No Bond chosen".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Amazon MGM Studios. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市場開放時間: Aug 4, 2025, 6:46 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve based on the first official announcement of who will be the next James Bond, regardless of any changes made thereafter.
If no actor is announced as the next Bond within the timeframe, this market will resolve to "No Bond chosen".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Amazon MGM Studios. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors "No Bond chosen" at a 67.5% implied probability, driven by Amazon MGM Studios' focus on finalizing Steven Knight's script for James Bond 26 before launching official casting, with insiders dismissing big-name rumors as "bullsh*t" in late February reports. Callum Turner's frontrunner status at 22% stems from a March surge in betting odds, sparked by viral social media buzz and his rising profile in prestige projects like Masters of Air, though the actor himself deflected questions at the Berlin Film Festival, calling it "very early." Lower probabilities for Jacob Elordi (2.9%), Aaron Taylor-Johnson (2.6%), and Henry Cavill (2.1%) reflect faded or unverified speculation amid no confirmed precursors like auditions or guild signals, with casting eyed for later in 2026 ahead of a potential 2028 release.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions