Trader consensus prices the 51–60 range at 41% implied probability for Jon Rothstein's "This is March" tweets during the 2026 NCAA Tournament (March 1–April 7), driven by his accelerated pace amid Elite Eight thrillers like Braylon Mullins' historic buzzer beater for St. John's and other upsets propelling Michigan, Arizona, Illinois, and UConn to the Final Four in Indianapolis. Rothstein unleashed multiple exclamations per dramatic sequence over the past week, including postgame breakdowns and bracket previews, elevating the tally near 50 with only two semifinals and the championship remaining. The 81+ outcome at 25.5% captures potential for further volatility in high-stakes matchups, while lower bins fade given fewer games left versus early-round frenzy of First Round and Sweet 16 chaos.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於NCAA Tournament: Number of Rothstein “This is March” tweets
NCAA Tournament: Number of Rothstein “This is March” tweets
51–60 41%
81+ 25%
41–50 16.0%
71–80 6.7%
$28,740 交易量
$28,740 交易量
2026-04-07
小於或等於 40
1%
41–50
16%
51–60
41%
61–70
2%
71–80
12%
81+
25%
51–60 41%
81+ 25%
41–50 16.0%
71–80 6.7%
$28,740 交易量
$28,740 交易量
2026-04-07
小於或等於 40
$4,600 交易量
1%
41–50
$4,702 交易量
16%
51–60
$10,852 交易量
41%
61–70
$2,266 交易量
2%
71–80
$2,364 交易量
12%
81+
$3,956 交易量
25%
This market will resolve according to the number of times Jon Rothstein (@JonRothstein) mentions "This is March" in a tweet posted on X between March 1, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and April 7, 2026, 2:00 AM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts, and reposts will count.
Only posts live at the listed time will count toward the final tally. Deleted posts or posts that were reposted and later un-reposted will NOT count.
Text posted in images, memes, video, or any attachments will not qualify towards the final count.
Any plural or possessive forms of the listed term, as well as variance in capitalizations, will count toward the resolution of this market, regardless of context. Other forms of the listed term will NOT count.
Extraneous symbols being inserted into a word (ex: Th1s, for "this") will disqualify it from counting toward the final count.
Misspellings or iterations of the listed term, including all grammatical or slang forms, or misspellings with extra, missing, or incorrect letters (ex: marchhh or mar., for ‘March’), will not count towards the final count, regardless of context or intent.
Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. marchmadness mentions are not a compound word for "march").
Instances where both the quote and the quoted post contain the relevant phrase will qualify as one mention. (e.g., if John quotes a post which contains "This is March" with his own text containing "This is March", it will qualify as one mention.)
If the relevant data is unavailable by April 20, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be Jon Rothstein’s verified X account: @JonRothstein.
Please note, only the @JonRothstein verified X account counts for this market, regardless of the URL for this profile. If Jon Rothstein posts from another account, it has no bearing on the resolution of this market.Trader consensus prices the 51–60 range at 41% implied probability for Jon Rothstein's "This is March" tweets during the 2026 NCAA Tournament (March 1–April 7), driven by his accelerated pace amid Elite Eight thrillers like Braylon Mullins' historic buzzer beater for St. John's and other upsets propelling Michigan, Arizona, Illinois, and UConn to the Final Four in Indianapolis. Rothstein unleashed multiple exclamations per dramatic sequence over the past week, including postgame breakdowns and bracket previews, elevating the tally near 50 with only two semifinals and the championship remaining. The 81+ outcome at 25.5% captures potential for further volatility in high-stakes matchups, while lower bins fade given fewer games left versus early-round frenzy of First Round and Sweet 16 chaos.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Jon Rothstein (@JonRothstein) mentions "This is March" in a tweet posted on X between March 1, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and April 7, 2026, 2:00 AM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts, and reposts will count.
Only posts live at the listed time will count toward the final tally. Deleted posts or posts that were reposted and later un-reposted will NOT count.
Text posted in images, memes, video, or any attachments will not qualify towards the final count.
Any plural or possessive forms of the listed term, as well as variance in capitalizations, will count toward the resolution of this market, regardless of context. Other forms of the listed term will NOT count.
Extraneous symbols being inserted into a word (ex: Th1s, for "this") will disqualify it from counting toward the final count.
Misspellings or iterations of the listed term, including all grammatical or slang forms, or misspellings with extra, missing, or incorrect letters (ex: marchhh or mar., for ‘March’), will not count towards the final count, regardless of context or intent.
Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. marchmadness mentions are not a compound word for "march").
Instances where both the quote and the quoted post contain the relevant phrase will qualify as one mention. (e.g., if John quotes a post which contains "This is March" with his own text containing "This is March", it will qualify as one mention.)
If the relevant data is unavailable by April 20, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be Jon Rothstein’s verified X account: @JonRothstein.
Please note, only the @JonRothstein verified X account counts for this market, regardless of the URL for this profile. If Jon Rothstein posts from another account, it has no bearing on the resolution of this market.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts, and reposts will count.
Only posts live at the listed time will count toward the final tally. Deleted posts or posts that were reposted and later un-reposted will NOT count.
Text posted in images, memes, video, or any attachments will not qualify towards the final count.
Any plural or possessive forms of the listed term, as well as variance in capitalizations, will count toward the resolution of this market, regardless of context. Other forms of the listed term will NOT count.
Extraneous symbols being inserted into a word (ex: Th1s, for "this") will disqualify it from counting toward the final count.
Misspellings or iterations of the listed term, including all grammatical or slang forms, or misspellings with extra, missing, or incorrect letters (ex: marchhh or mar., for ‘March’), will not count towards the final count, regardless of context or intent.
Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. marchmadness mentions are not a compound word for "march").
Instances where both the quote and the quoted post contain the relevant phrase will qualify as one mention. (e.g., if John quotes a post which contains "This is March" with his own text containing "This is March", it will qualify as one mention.)
If the relevant data is unavailable by April 20, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be Jon Rothstein’s verified X account: @JonRothstein.
Please note, only the @JonRothstein verified X account counts for this market, regardless of the URL for this profile. If Jon Rothstein posts from another account, it has no bearing on the resolution of this market.
市場開放時間： Mar 12, 2026, 11:17 AM ET
交易量
$28,740結束日期
2026-04-07市場開放時間
Mar 12, 2026, 11:17 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of times Jon Rothstein (@JonRothstein) mentions "This is March" in a tweet posted on X between March 1, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and April 7, 2026, 2:00 AM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts, and reposts will count.
Only posts live at the listed time will count toward the final tally. Deleted posts or posts that were reposted and later un-reposted will NOT count.
Text posted in images, memes, video, or any attachments will not qualify towards the final count.
Any plural or possessive forms of the listed term, as well as variance in capitalizations, will count toward the resolution of this market, regardless of context. Other forms of the listed term will NOT count.
Extraneous symbols being inserted into a word (ex: Th1s, for "this") will disqualify it from counting toward the final count.
Misspellings or iterations of the listed term, including all grammatical or slang forms, or misspellings with extra, missing, or incorrect letters (ex: marchhh or mar., for ‘March’), will not count towards the final count, regardless of context or intent.
Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. marchmadness mentions are not a compound word for "march").
Instances where both the quote and the quoted post contain the relevant phrase will qualify as one mention. (e.g., if John quotes a post which contains "This is March" with his own text containing "This is March", it will qualify as one mention.)
If the relevant data is unavailable by April 20, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be Jon Rothstein’s verified X account: @JonRothstein.
Please note, only the @JonRothstein verified X account counts for this market, regardless of the URL for this profile. If Jon Rothstein posts from another account, it has no bearing on the resolution of this market.Trader consensus prices the 51–60 range at 41% implied probability for Jon Rothstein's "This is March" tweets during the 2026 NCAA Tournament (March 1–April 7), driven by his accelerated pace amid Elite Eight thrillers like Braylon Mullins' historic buzzer beater for St. John's and other upsets propelling Michigan, Arizona, Illinois, and UConn to the Final Four in Indianapolis. Rothstein unleashed multiple exclamations per dramatic sequence over the past week, including postgame breakdowns and bracket previews, elevating the tally near 50 with only two semifinals and the championship remaining. The 81+ outcome at 25.5% captures potential for further volatility in high-stakes matchups, while lower bins fade given fewer games left versus early-round frenzy of First Round and Sweet 16 chaos.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Jon Rothstein (@JonRothstein) mentions "This is March" in a tweet posted on X between March 1, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and April 7, 2026, 2:00 AM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts, and reposts will count.
Only posts live at the listed time will count toward the final tally. Deleted posts or posts that were reposted and later un-reposted will NOT count.
Text posted in images, memes, video, or any attachments will not qualify towards the final count.
Any plural or possessive forms of the listed term, as well as variance in capitalizations, will count toward the resolution of this market, regardless of context. Other forms of the listed term will NOT count.
Extraneous symbols being inserted into a word (ex: Th1s, for "this") will disqualify it from counting toward the final count.
Misspellings or iterations of the listed term, including all grammatical or slang forms, or misspellings with extra, missing, or incorrect letters (ex: marchhh or mar., for ‘March’), will not count towards the final count, regardless of context or intent.
Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. marchmadness mentions are not a compound word for "march").
Instances where both the quote and the quoted post contain the relevant phrase will qualify as one mention. (e.g., if John quotes a post which contains "This is March" with his own text containing "This is March", it will qualify as one mention.)
If the relevant data is unavailable by April 20, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be Jon Rothstein’s verified X account: @JonRothstein.
Please note, only the @JonRothstein verified X account counts for this market, regardless of the URL for this profile. If Jon Rothstein posts from another account, it has no bearing on the resolution of this market.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts, and reposts will count.
Only posts live at the listed time will count toward the final tally. Deleted posts or posts that were reposted and later un-reposted will NOT count.
Text posted in images, memes, video, or any attachments will not qualify towards the final count.
Any plural or possessive forms of the listed term, as well as variance in capitalizations, will count toward the resolution of this market, regardless of context. Other forms of the listed term will NOT count.
Extraneous symbols being inserted into a word (ex: Th1s, for "this") will disqualify it from counting toward the final count.
Misspellings or iterations of the listed term, including all grammatical or slang forms, or misspellings with extra, missing, or incorrect letters (ex: marchhh or mar., for ‘March’), will not count towards the final count, regardless of context or intent.
Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. marchmadness mentions are not a compound word for "march").
Instances where both the quote and the quoted post contain the relevant phrase will qualify as one mention. (e.g., if John quotes a post which contains "This is March" with his own text containing "This is March", it will qualify as one mention.)
If the relevant data is unavailable by April 20, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be Jon Rothstein’s verified X account: @JonRothstein.
Please note, only the @JonRothstein verified X account counts for this market, regardless of the URL for this profile. If Jon Rothstein posts from another account, it has no bearing on the resolution of this market.
交易量
$28,740結束日期
2026-04-07市場開放時間
Mar 12, 2026, 11:17 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus prices the 51–60 range at 41% implied probability for Jon Rothstein's "This is March" tweets during the 2026 NCAA Tournament (March 1–April 7), driven by his accelerated pace amid Elite Eight thrillers like Braylon Mullins' historic buzzer beater for St. John's and other upsets propelling Michigan, Arizona, Illinois, and UConn to the Final Four in Indianapolis. Rothstein unleashed multiple exclamations per dramatic sequence over the past week, including postgame breakdowns and bracket previews, elevating the tally near 50 with only two semifinals and the championship remaining. The 81+ outcome at 25.5% captures potential for further volatility in high-stakes matchups, while lower bins fade given fewer games left versus early-round frenzy of First Round and Sweet 16 chaos.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions