Trader consensus prices the New York Yankees and Seattle Mariners as co-favorites at 16.5% implied probability for the 2026 AL pennant, reflecting a tightly contested American League with elite contenders across all divisions and abundant wild card paths. Recent ZiPS, Steamer, and PECOTA projections released in late February and March project Seattle atop AL West win totals near 94 games thanks to MLB.com and ESPN staff consensus on their rotation dominance, while Detroit Tigers lead a wide-open AL Central with Tarik Skubal anchoring as two-time Cy Young winner. AL East parity drives the bunching, as expert picks split between Yankees (16 ESPN votes), Toronto Blue Jays, and Boston Red Sox amid offseason additions like Japanese infielders for Jays and stabilized rotations for Sox, with no team exceeding 89 projected wins per FanGraphs depth charts. Spring training health and prospect surges for Mariners further even the field entering Opening Day.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於紐約洋基 17%
西雅圖水手隊 16%
多倫多藍鳥隊 12%
波士頓紅襪隊 12%
$3,248,760 交易量
$3,248,760 交易量
紐約洋基
17%
西雅圖水手隊
16%
多倫多藍鳥隊
12%
波士頓紅襪隊
12%
底特律老虎隊
10%
巴爾的摩金鶯
8%
德州遊騎兵
7%
休士頓太空人
6%
克里夫蘭守護者
4%
堪薩斯市皇家隊
4%
運動家
2%
坦帕灣光芒
1%
明尼蘇達雙城
1%
芝加哥白襪
1%
洛杉磯天使
1%
紐約洋基 17%
西雅圖水手隊 16%
多倫多藍鳥隊 12%
波士頓紅襪隊 12%
$3,248,760 交易量
$3,248,760 交易量
紐約洋基
17%
西雅圖水手隊
16%
多倫多藍鳥隊
12%
波士頓紅襪隊
12%
底特律老虎隊
10%
巴爾的摩金鶯
8%
德州遊騎兵
7%
休士頓太空人
6%
克里夫蘭守護者
4%
堪薩斯市皇家隊
4%
運動家
2%
坦帕灣光芒
1%
明尼蘇達雙城
1%
芝加哥白襪
1%
洛杉磯天使
1%
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026 American League Championship Series per the rules of the MLB (e.g., they are eliminated in the playoffs), the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.
If the 2026 American League Championship Series is cancelled, postponed after November 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from Major League Baseball (https://www.mlb.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市場開放時間: Feb 19, 2026, 11:07 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026 American League Championship Series per the rules of the MLB (e.g., they are eliminated in the playoffs), the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.
If the 2026 American League Championship Series is cancelled, postponed after November 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from Major League Baseball (https://www.mlb.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus prices the New York Yankees and Seattle Mariners as co-favorites at 16.5% implied probability for the 2026 AL pennant, reflecting a tightly contested American League with elite contenders across all divisions and abundant wild card paths. Recent ZiPS, Steamer, and PECOTA projections released in late February and March project Seattle atop AL West win totals near 94 games thanks to MLB.com and ESPN staff consensus on their rotation dominance, while Detroit Tigers lead a wide-open AL Central with Tarik Skubal anchoring as two-time Cy Young winner. AL East parity drives the bunching, as expert picks split between Yankees (16 ESPN votes), Toronto Blue Jays, and Boston Red Sox amid offseason additions like Japanese infielders for Jays and stabilized rotations for Sox, with no team exceeding 89 projected wins per FanGraphs depth charts. Spring training health and prospect surges for Mariners further even the field entering Opening Day.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions