Trader consensus on Polymarket tilts heavily toward "No" at 69% implied probability for Kylie Jenner and Timothée Chalamet getting engaged in 2026, reflecting the high uncertainty inherent in celebrity personal matters absent any official announcement. Despite their confirmed three-year relationship—publicly affirmed by Chalamet's Critics' Choice Awards shoutout in January and sweet PDAs at the Oscars afterparty and BAFTAs in March—odds dipped to around 31% for "Yes" in late March after Kylie's ringless beach photos quashed speculation. Earlier insider reports from Us Weekly hinted at engagement talks and future alignment on kids, but without verified statements or sightings of a ring, traders prioritize the lack of concrete evidence midway through the year, with potential catalysts like summer appearances or holidays ahead.