MetService's latest observations at Wellington International Airport Station show current temperatures near 19°C under fine skies and light northerlies from a dominant high-pressure ridge, with sea breezes moderating peak heating to align precisely with the 20°C outcome commanding 99.7% market-implied probability. Forecast models, including extended outlooks projecting 19–20°C maxima, reflect consensus on stable autumnal conditions typical for early April, where historical airport highs average 18°C but today's clearer skies and weak onshore flow cap intensity. Trader sentiment, backed by substantial volume, hinges on hourly data confirming no exceedance; rare scenarios like prolonged full sun and gusty downslope föhn winds could push toward 21°C, while incoming clouds might limit to 17°C, though end-of-day airport readings expected within hours will finalize resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於Highest temperature in Wellington on April 2?
Highest temperature in Wellington on April 2?
20°C 99.8%
17°C <1%
21°C or higher <1%
$200,627 交易量
$200,627 交易量
2026-04-02
17°C
<1%
20°C
100%
21°C or higher
<1%
20°C 99.8%
17°C <1%
21°C or higher <1%
$200,627 交易量
$200,627 交易量
2026-04-02
17°C
$24,786 交易量
<1%
20°C
$63,759 交易量
100%
21°C or higher
$22,763 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.MetService's latest observations at Wellington International Airport Station show current temperatures near 19°C under fine skies and light northerlies from a dominant high-pressure ridge, with sea breezes moderating peak heating to align precisely with the 20°C outcome commanding 99.7% market-implied probability. Forecast models, including extended outlooks projecting 19–20°C maxima, reflect consensus on stable autumnal conditions typical for early April, where historical airport highs average 18°C but today's clearer skies and weak onshore flow cap intensity. Trader sentiment, backed by substantial volume, hinges on hourly data confirming no exceedance; rare scenarios like prolonged full sun and gusty downslope föhn winds could push toward 21°C, while incoming clouds might limit to 17°C, though end-of-day airport readings expected within hours will finalize resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間： Mar 29, 2026, 2:25 PM ET
交易量
$200,627結束日期
2026-04-02市場開放時間
Mar 29, 2026, 2:25 PM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.MetService's latest observations at Wellington International Airport Station show current temperatures near 19°C under fine skies and light northerlies from a dominant high-pressure ridge, with sea breezes moderating peak heating to align precisely with the 20°C outcome commanding 99.7% market-implied probability. Forecast models, including extended outlooks projecting 19–20°C maxima, reflect consensus on stable autumnal conditions typical for early April, where historical airport highs average 18°C but today's clearer skies and weak onshore flow cap intensity. Trader sentiment, backed by substantial volume, hinges on hourly data confirming no exceedance; rare scenarios like prolonged full sun and gusty downslope föhn winds could push toward 21°C, while incoming clouds might limit to 17°C, though end-of-day airport readings expected within hours will finalize resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$200,627結束日期
2026-04-02市場開放時間
Mar 29, 2026, 2:25 PM ETMetService's latest observations at Wellington International Airport Station show current temperatures near 19°C under fine skies and light northerlies from a dominant high-pressure ridge, with sea breezes moderating peak heating to align precisely with the 20°C outcome commanding 99.7% market-implied probability. Forecast models, including extended outlooks projecting 19–20°C maxima, reflect consensus on stable autumnal conditions typical for early April, where historical airport highs average 18°C but today's clearer skies and weak onshore flow cap intensity. Trader sentiment, backed by substantial volume, hinges on hourly data confirming no exceedance; rare scenarios like prolonged full sun and gusty downslope föhn winds could push toward 21°C, while incoming clouds might limit to 17°C, though end-of-day airport readings expected within hours will finalize resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
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