Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects a 100% implied probability for Seoul's highest temperature reaching 19°C or higher on April 3, backed by Korea Meteorological Administration observational data showing midday readings of 19.2°C at Gimpo International Airport—Seoul's primary station—and short-range forecasts projecting a peak of 20-21°C under a stable high-pressure ridge with light southerly winds advecting warmer air. This positioning exceeds historical April 3 averages near 17°C, driven by recent strengthening of the subtropical high. Realistic challenges would require an abrupt cold air intrusion or measurement anomaly at official stations, though forecast model ensembles indicate continued mild conditions through evening, with final KMA high confirmed post-midnight.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於Highest temperature in Seoul on April 3?
Highest temperature in Seoul on April 3?
19°C or higher 100.0%
12°C <1%
13°C <1%
14°C <1%
$499,344 交易量
$499,344 交易量
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C or higher
100%
19°C or higher 100.0%
12°C <1%
13°C <1%
14°C <1%
$499,344 交易量
$499,344 交易量
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C or higher
100%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間: Mar 29, 2026, 5:12 PM ET
已提議結果: No
爭議期
最終
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
已提議結果: No
爭議期
最終
Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects a 100% implied probability for Seoul's highest temperature reaching 19°C or higher on April 3, backed by Korea Meteorological Administration observational data showing midday readings of 19.2°C at Gimpo International Airport—Seoul's primary station—and short-range forecasts projecting a peak of 20-21°C under a stable high-pressure ridge with light southerly winds advecting warmer air. This positioning exceeds historical April 3 averages near 17°C, driven by recent strengthening of the subtropical high. Realistic challenges would require an abrupt cold air intrusion or measurement anomaly at official stations, though forecast model ensembles indicate continued mild conditions through evening, with final KMA high confirmed post-midnight.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions