Mercedes' commanding lead in the 2026 F1 Constructors' Championship, with 98 points after the Australian and Chinese Grands Prix, drives trader consensus at 78.5% implied probability, fueled by 1-2 finishes in both races via George Russell and rookie Kimi Antonelli, who top the drivers' standings on 51 and 47 points. Their W17 car's superior power unit under new regulations delivers race pace and qualifying dominance beyond engine alone, widening the gap over Ferrari's 67 points from Charles Leclerc and Lewis Hamilton's consistent podiums. McLaren lags at 18 points despite Oscar Piastri's flashes, while Red Bull's midfield struggles with reliability drop to 12 points, emphasizing Mercedes' early benchmark in the 24-race calendar.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於梅賽德斯 79%
法拉利 11%
麥拉倫 3.9%
紅牛車隊 1.5%
$7,722,129 交易量
$7,722,129 交易量
Dec 6, 2026
梅賽德斯
79%
法拉利
11%
麥拉倫
4%
紅牛車隊
2%
威廉斯
1%
凱迪拉克
1%
Racing Bulls
1%
哈斯
1%
Alpine
1%
阿斯頓馬丁
<1%
奧迪
<1%
梅賽德斯 79%
法拉利 11%
麥拉倫 3.9%
紅牛車隊 1.5%
$7,722,129 交易量
$7,722,129 交易量
Dec 6, 2026
梅賽德斯
$499,123 交易量
79%
法拉利
$248,869 交易量
11%
麥拉倫
$992,487 交易量
4%
紅牛車隊
$381,190 交易量
2%
威廉斯
$859,798 交易量
1%
凱迪拉克
$907,162 交易量
1%
Racing Bulls
$820,032 交易量
1%
哈斯
$950,420 交易量
1%
Alpine
$916,206 交易量
1%
阿斯頓馬丁
$592,950 交易量
<1%
奧迪
$554,327 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Constructors’ Championship for the 2026 F1 season.
This market will resolve as soon as the official results of the final scheduled race of the 2026 F1 season are known.
In the case of a tie between multiple teams, this market will resolve according to the tiebreak procedure used by F1 to determine the 2026 F1 Constructors’ champion.
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026 F1 Constructors’ Championship based on the rules of F1 (e.g., they are mathematically eliminated from contention), the corresponding market will resolve to “No.”
If the F1 season is permanently canceled or has not been completed by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be information from F1.Mercedes' commanding lead in the 2026 F1 Constructors' Championship, with 98 points after the Australian and Chinese Grands Prix, drives trader consensus at 78.5% implied probability, fueled by 1-2 finishes in both races via George Russell and rookie Kimi Antonelli, who top the drivers' standings on 51 and 47 points. Their W17 car's superior power unit under new regulations delivers race pace and qualifying dominance beyond engine alone, widening the gap over Ferrari's 67 points from Charles Leclerc and Lewis Hamilton's consistent podiums. McLaren lags at 18 points despite Oscar Piastri's flashes, while Red Bull's midfield struggles with reliability drop to 12 points, emphasizing Mercedes' early benchmark in the 24-race calendar.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Constructors’ Championship for the 2026 F1 season.
This market will resolve as soon as the official results of the final scheduled race of the 2026 F1 season are known.
In the case of a tie between multiple teams, this market will resolve according to the tiebreak procedure used by F1 to determine the 2026 F1 Constructors’ champion.
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026 F1 Constructors’ Championship based on the rules of F1 (e.g., they are mathematically eliminated from contention), the corresponding market will resolve to “No.”
If the F1 season is permanently canceled or has not been completed by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be information from F1.
This market will resolve as soon as the official results of the final scheduled race of the 2026 F1 season are known.
In the case of a tie between multiple teams, this market will resolve according to the tiebreak procedure used by F1 to determine the 2026 F1 Constructors’ champion.
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026 F1 Constructors’ Championship based on the rules of F1 (e.g., they are mathematically eliminated from contention), the corresponding market will resolve to “No.”
If the F1 season is permanently canceled or has not been completed by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be information from F1.
市場開放時間： Dec 8, 2025, 7:46 PM ET
交易量
$7,722,129結束日期
Dec 6, 2026市場開放時間
Dec 8, 2025, 7:46 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the Constructors’ Championship for the 2026 F1 season.
This market will resolve as soon as the official results of the final scheduled race of the 2026 F1 season are known.
In the case of a tie between multiple teams, this market will resolve according to the tiebreak procedure used by F1 to determine the 2026 F1 Constructors’ champion.
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026 F1 Constructors’ Championship based on the rules of F1 (e.g., they are mathematically eliminated from contention), the corresponding market will resolve to “No.”
If the F1 season is permanently canceled or has not been completed by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be information from F1.Mercedes' commanding lead in the 2026 F1 Constructors' Championship, with 98 points after the Australian and Chinese Grands Prix, drives trader consensus at 78.5% implied probability, fueled by 1-2 finishes in both races via George Russell and rookie Kimi Antonelli, who top the drivers' standings on 51 and 47 points. Their W17 car's superior power unit under new regulations delivers race pace and qualifying dominance beyond engine alone, widening the gap over Ferrari's 67 points from Charles Leclerc and Lewis Hamilton's consistent podiums. McLaren lags at 18 points despite Oscar Piastri's flashes, while Red Bull's midfield struggles with reliability drop to 12 points, emphasizing Mercedes' early benchmark in the 24-race calendar.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Constructors’ Championship for the 2026 F1 season.
This market will resolve as soon as the official results of the final scheduled race of the 2026 F1 season are known.
In the case of a tie between multiple teams, this market will resolve according to the tiebreak procedure used by F1 to determine the 2026 F1 Constructors’ champion.
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026 F1 Constructors’ Championship based on the rules of F1 (e.g., they are mathematically eliminated from contention), the corresponding market will resolve to “No.”
If the F1 season is permanently canceled or has not been completed by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be information from F1.
This market will resolve as soon as the official results of the final scheduled race of the 2026 F1 season are known.
In the case of a tie between multiple teams, this market will resolve according to the tiebreak procedure used by F1 to determine the 2026 F1 Constructors’ champion.
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026 F1 Constructors’ Championship based on the rules of F1 (e.g., they are mathematically eliminated from contention), the corresponding market will resolve to “No.”
If the F1 season is permanently canceled or has not been completed by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be information from F1.
交易量
$7,722,129結束日期
Dec 6, 2026市場開放時間
Dec 8, 2025, 7:46 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Mercedes' commanding lead in the 2026 F1 Constructors' Championship, with 98 points after the Australian and Chinese Grands Prix, drives trader consensus at 78.5% implied probability, fueled by 1-2 finishes in both races via George Russell and rookie Kimi Antonelli, who top the drivers' standings on 51 and 47 points. Their W17 car's superior power unit under new regulations delivers race pace and qualifying dominance beyond engine alone, widening the gap over Ferrari's 67 points from Charles Leclerc and Lewis Hamilton's consistent podiums. McLaren lags at 18 points despite Oscar Piastri's flashes, while Red Bull's midfield struggles with reliability drop to 12 points, emphasizing Mercedes' early benchmark in the 24-race calendar.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
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