Mercedes' commanding lead in the 2026 F1 Constructors' Championship, with 135 points after three Grands Prix, underpins their 77.5% implied probability as traders price in the Silver Arrows' total dominance. Kimi Antonelli and George Russell secured victories in China, Japan, and Australia—plus the China Sprint—showcasing superior power unit performance and race pace advantages of 0.5-0.6 seconds over Ferrari, whose 90 points reflect strong starts but fading clean-air speed from Charles Leclerc and Lewis Hamilton. McLaren's recent form lifts them to 7.2% at 46 points, while Red Bull's reliability woes cap them at 1.5% despite 16 points. New regulations favor Mercedes' chassis-engine synergy, though rivals eye convergence via upgrades before Miami.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於梅賽德斯 78%
法拉利 11%
麥拉倫 7.3%
紅牛車隊 1.5%
$12,882,806 交易量
$12,882,806 交易量

梅賽德斯
78%

法拉利
11%

麥拉倫
7%

紅牛車隊
2%

阿斯頓馬丁
1%

奧迪
1%

威廉斯
1%

凱迪拉克
1%

Racing Bulls
1%

哈斯
1%

Alpine
1%
梅賽德斯 78%
法拉利 11%
麥拉倫 7.3%
紅牛車隊 1.5%
$12,882,806 交易量
$12,882,806 交易量

梅賽德斯
78%

法拉利
11%

麥拉倫
7%

紅牛車隊
2%

阿斯頓馬丁
1%

奧迪
1%

威廉斯
1%

凱迪拉克
1%

Racing Bulls
1%

哈斯
1%

Alpine
1%
This market will resolve as soon as the official results of the final scheduled race of the 2026 F1 season are known.
In the case of a tie between multiple teams, this market will resolve according to the tiebreak procedure used by F1 to determine the 2026 F1 Constructors’ champion.
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026 F1 Constructors’ Championship based on the rules of F1 (e.g., they are mathematically eliminated from contention), the corresponding market will resolve to “No.”
If the F1 season is permanently canceled or has not been completed by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be information from F1.
市場開放時間: Dec 8, 2025, 7:46 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve as soon as the official results of the final scheduled race of the 2026 F1 season are known.
In the case of a tie between multiple teams, this market will resolve according to the tiebreak procedure used by F1 to determine the 2026 F1 Constructors’ champion.
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026 F1 Constructors’ Championship based on the rules of F1 (e.g., they are mathematically eliminated from contention), the corresponding market will resolve to “No.”
If the F1 season is permanently canceled or has not been completed by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be information from F1.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Mercedes' commanding lead in the 2026 F1 Constructors' Championship, with 135 points after three Grands Prix, underpins their 77.5% implied probability as traders price in the Silver Arrows' total dominance. Kimi Antonelli and George Russell secured victories in China, Japan, and Australia—plus the China Sprint—showcasing superior power unit performance and race pace advantages of 0.5-0.6 seconds over Ferrari, whose 90 points reflect strong starts but fading clean-air speed from Charles Leclerc and Lewis Hamilton. McLaren's recent form lifts them to 7.2% at 46 points, while Red Bull's reliability woes cap them at 1.5% despite 16 points. New regulations favor Mercedes' chassis-engine synergy, though rivals eye convergence via upgrades before Miami.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions