Mercedes holds a commanding 75.5% implied probability as F1 Constructors' Championship leader after dominating the opening three Grands Prix of 2026, with George Russell's Australia win followed by Kimi Antonelli's victories in China and Japan, yielding 135 points versus Ferrari's 90. New power unit regulations and Mercedes' edge in energy recovery and chassis balance have enabled consistent podium sweeps, bolstering trader consensus on their sustained pace. Ferrari's Charles Leclerc and Lewis Hamilton deliver reliable results to secure second, while McLaren's 46 points reflect competitiveness from Lando Norris and Oscar Piastri. Red Bull's mere 1.6% stems from RB22 chassis grip issues and poor starts, trapping Max Verstappen in midfield amid development struggles.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於梅賽德斯 76%
法拉利 13%
麥拉倫 7.2%
紅牛車隊 1.6%
$9,945,824 交易量
$9,945,824 交易量

梅賽德斯
76%

法拉利
13%

麥拉倫
7%

紅牛車隊
2%

威廉斯
1%

阿斯頓馬丁
1%

奧迪
1%

凱迪拉克
1%

Racing Bulls
1%

哈斯
1%

Alpine
1%
梅賽德斯 76%
法拉利 13%
麥拉倫 7.2%
紅牛車隊 1.6%
$9,945,824 交易量
$9,945,824 交易量

梅賽德斯
76%

法拉利
13%

麥拉倫
7%

紅牛車隊
2%

威廉斯
1%

阿斯頓馬丁
1%

奧迪
1%

凱迪拉克
1%

Racing Bulls
1%

哈斯
1%

Alpine
1%
This market will resolve as soon as the official results of the final scheduled race of the 2026 F1 season are known.
In the case of a tie between multiple teams, this market will resolve according to the tiebreak procedure used by F1 to determine the 2026 F1 Constructors’ champion.
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026 F1 Constructors’ Championship based on the rules of F1 (e.g., they are mathematically eliminated from contention), the corresponding market will resolve to “No.”
If the F1 season is permanently canceled or has not been completed by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be information from F1.
市場開放時間: Dec 8, 2025, 7:46 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve as soon as the official results of the final scheduled race of the 2026 F1 season are known.
In the case of a tie between multiple teams, this market will resolve according to the tiebreak procedure used by F1 to determine the 2026 F1 Constructors’ champion.
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026 F1 Constructors’ Championship based on the rules of F1 (e.g., they are mathematically eliminated from contention), the corresponding market will resolve to “No.”
If the F1 season is permanently canceled or has not been completed by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be information from F1.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Mercedes holds a commanding 75.5% implied probability as F1 Constructors' Championship leader after dominating the opening three Grands Prix of 2026, with George Russell's Australia win followed by Kimi Antonelli's victories in China and Japan, yielding 135 points versus Ferrari's 90. New power unit regulations and Mercedes' edge in energy recovery and chassis balance have enabled consistent podium sweeps, bolstering trader consensus on their sustained pace. Ferrari's Charles Leclerc and Lewis Hamilton deliver reliable results to secure second, while McLaren's 46 points reflect competitiveness from Lando Norris and Oscar Piastri. Red Bull's mere 1.6% stems from RB22 chassis grip issues and poor starts, trapping Max Verstappen in midfield amid development struggles.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions