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2026年歐洲歌唱大賽：第二次準決賽

Market icon

2026年歐洲歌唱大賽：第二次準決賽

$85,782 交易量

2026-05-14
Polymarket

$85,782 交易量

Polymarket
Market icon

丹麥

$534 交易量

95%

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澳洲

$11,163 交易量

92%

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烏克蘭

$1,018 交易量

90%

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保加利亞

$4,993 交易量

82%

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塞浦路斯

$7,010 交易量

79%

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馬耳他

$481 交易量

75%

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羅馬尼亞

$5,178 交易量

76%

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挪威

$4,247 交易量

69%

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阿爾巴尼亞

$3,173 交易量

68%

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捷克

$24,980 交易量

63%

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拉脫維亞

$538 交易量

61%

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瑞士

$6,224 交易量

39%

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盧森堡

$4,350 交易量

38%

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亞美尼亞

$10,131 交易量

33%

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亞塞拜然

$1,761 交易量

6%

This market will resolve to the countries whose candidates for Eurovision 2026 advance according to the results of the Eurovision Second Semi-Final, scheduled for May 14, 2026. If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to advance from the Eurovision 2026 Second Semi-Final based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No". If this competition is not held or no contestants advance by June 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "No." The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of the Second Semi-Final for Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.The Second Semi-Final running order reveal on April 2 has ignited trader debates for Eurovision 2026's May 14 showdown at Vienna's Wiener Stadthalle, slotting 15 countries into key positions that could sway televotes—Denmark at 10, Ukraine at 12, and late challengers like Malta and Norway facing potential "death slot" risks. Market-implied odds favor safe qualifiers such as Ukraine's Leléka with "Ridnym," Denmark's Søren Torpegaard Lund's "Før Vi Går Hjem," and Australia's Delta Goodrem's "Eclipse," buoyed by strong national final performances and diaspora backing for Armenia, Azerbaijan, Romania, and Albania. Jury-televote split adds unpredictability; first rehearsals next month and staging previews will be pivotal catalysts before the top 10 advance to the May 16 Grand Final.

This market will resolve to the countries whose candidates for Eurovision 2026 advance according to the results of the Eurovision Second Semi-Final, scheduled for May 14, 2026.

If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to advance from the Eurovision 2026 Second Semi-Final based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".

If this competition is not held or no contestants advance by June 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "No."

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of the Second Semi-Final for Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
交易量
$85,782
結束日期
2026-05-14
市場開放時間
Jan 16, 2026, 12:27 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to the countries whose candidates for Eurovision 2026 advance according to the results of the Eurovision Second Semi-Final, scheduled for May 14, 2026. If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to advance from the Eurovision 2026 Second Semi-Final based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No". If this competition is not held or no contestants advance by June 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "No." The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of the Second Semi-Final for Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
This market will resolve to the countries whose candidates for Eurovision 2026 advance according to the results of the Eurovision Second Semi-Final, scheduled for May 14, 2026. If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to advance from the Eurovision 2026 Second Semi-Final based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No". If this competition is not held or no contestants advance by June 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "No." The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of the Second Semi-Final for Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.The Second Semi-Final running order reveal on April 2 has ignited trader debates for Eurovision 2026's May 14 showdown at Vienna's Wiener Stadthalle, slotting 15 countries into key positions that could sway televotes—Denmark at 10, Ukraine at 12, and late challengers like Malta and Norway facing potential "death slot" risks. Market-implied odds favor safe qualifiers such as Ukraine's Leléka with "Ridnym," Denmark's Søren Torpegaard Lund's "Før Vi Går Hjem," and Australia's Delta Goodrem's "Eclipse," buoyed by strong national final performances and diaspora backing for Armenia, Azerbaijan, Romania, and Albania. Jury-televote split adds unpredictability; first rehearsals next month and staging previews will be pivotal catalysts before the top 10 advance to the May 16 Grand Final.

This market will resolve to the countries whose candidates for Eurovision 2026 advance according to the results of the Eurovision Second Semi-Final, scheduled for May 14, 2026.

If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to advance from the Eurovision 2026 Second Semi-Final based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".

If this competition is not held or no contestants advance by June 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "No."

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of the Second Semi-Final for Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
交易量
$85,782
結束日期
2026-05-14
市場開放時間
Jan 16, 2026, 12:27 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to the countries whose candidates for Eurovision 2026 advance according to the results of the Eurovision Second Semi-Final, scheduled for May 14, 2026. If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to advance from the Eurovision 2026 Second Semi-Final based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No". If this competition is not held or no contestants advance by June 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "No." The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of the Second Semi-Final for Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"2026年歐洲歌唱大賽：第二次準決賽" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 15 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "丹麥" at 95%, followed by "澳洲" at 92%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 95¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 95% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "2026年歐洲歌唱大賽：第二次準決賽" has generated $85.8K in total trading volume since the market launched on Jan 16, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "2026年歐洲歌唱大賽：第二次準決賽," browse the 15 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "2026年歐洲歌唱大賽：第二次準決賽" is "丹麥" at 95%, meaning the market assigns a 95% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "澳洲" at 92%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "2026年歐洲歌唱大賽：第二次準決賽" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.