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2026年歐洲歌唱大賽：第二次準決賽

Market icon

2026年歐洲歌唱大賽：第二次準決賽

$12,233 交易量

May 14, 2026
Polymarket

$12,233 交易量

Polymarket
Market icon

丹麥

$0 交易量

95%

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澳洲

$0 交易量

92%

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烏克蘭

$971 交易量

92%

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保加利亞

$0 交易量

83%

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馬耳他

$0 交易量

80%

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塞浦路斯

$0 交易量

76%

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羅馬尼亞

$5,091 交易量

77%

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阿爾巴尼亞

$0 交易量

71%

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捷克

$0 交易量

71%

Market icon

挪威

$0 交易量

61%

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拉脫維亞

$0 交易量

56%

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盧森堡

$0 交易量

50%

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亞美尼亞

$0 交易量

39%

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瑞士

$6,171 交易量

38%

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亞塞拜然

$0 交易量

13%

This market will resolve to the countries whose candidates for Eurovision 2026 advance according to the results of the Eurovision Second Semi-Final, scheduled for May 14, 2026. If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to advance from the Eurovision 2026 Second Semi-Final based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No". If this competition is not held or no contestants advance by June 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "No." The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of the Second Semi-Final for Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.Trader consensus for Eurovision 2026's Second Semi-Final qualifiers remains highly fluid and speculative, as the contest's host nation—determined by the winner of the May 2025 event in Basel, Switzerland—has yet to be revealed, with city bids and national selections not starting until late 2025. No entries or running orders are confirmed, leaving markets driven by historical televote patterns from perennial strong performers like Sweden, Ukraine, and the Netherlands in past second semis. Key catalysts ahead include the 2025 grand final results (May 17), host broadcaster announcement, and initial national final reveals from fall 2025 onward, which could spark early momentum shifts based on song quality, staging buzz, and diaspora voting blocs. Markets acknowledge rapid evolution in Eurovision dynamics, where surprise qualifiers often emerge from strong promotional campaigns.

This market will resolve to the countries whose candidates for Eurovision 2026 advance according to the results of the Eurovision Second Semi-Final, scheduled for May 14, 2026.

If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to advance from the Eurovision 2026 Second Semi-Final based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".

If this competition is not held or no contestants advance by June 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "No."

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of the Second Semi-Final for Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
交易量
$12,233
結束日期
May 14, 2026
市場開放時間
Jan 16, 2026, 12:27 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to the countries whose candidates for Eurovision 2026 advance according to the results of the Eurovision Second Semi-Final, scheduled for May 14, 2026. If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to advance from the Eurovision 2026 Second Semi-Final based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No". If this competition is not held or no contestants advance by June 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "No." The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of the Second Semi-Final for Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.Trader consensus for Eurovision 2026's Second Semi-Final qualifiers remains highly fluid and speculative, as the contest's host nation—determined by the winner of the May 2025 event in Basel, Switzerland—has yet to be revealed, with city bids and national selections not starting until late 2025. No entries or running orders are confirmed, leaving markets driven by historical televote patterns from perennial strong performers like Sweden, Ukraine, and the Netherlands in past second semis. Key catalysts ahead include the 2025 grand final results (May 17), host broadcaster announcement, and initial national final reveals from fall 2025 onward, which could spark early momentum shifts based on song quality, staging buzz, and diaspora voting blocs. Markets acknowledge rapid evolution in Eurovision dynamics, where surprise qualifiers often emerge from strong promotional campaigns.

Trader consensus for Eurovision 2026's Second Semi-Final qualifiers remains highly fluid and speculative, as the contest's host nation—determined by the winner of the May 2025 event in Basel, Switzerland—has yet to be revealed, with city bids and national selections not starting until late 2025. No entries or running orders are confirmed, leaving markets driven by historical televote patterns from perennial strong performers like Sweden, Ukraine, and the Netherlands in past second semis. Key catalysts ahead include the 2025 grand final results (May 17), host broadcaster announcement, and initial national final reveals from fall 2025 onward, which could spark early momentum shifts based on song quality, staging buzz, and diaspora voting blocs. Markets acknowledge rapid evolution in Eurovision dynamics, where surprise qualifiers often emerge from strong promotional campaigns.

基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"2026年歐洲歌唱大賽：第二次準決賽" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 15 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "丹麥" at 95%, followed by "澳洲" at 92%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 95¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 95% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "2026年歐洲歌唱大賽：第二次準決賽" has generated $12.2K in total trading volume since the market launched on Jan 16, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "2026年歐洲歌唱大賽：第二次準決賽," browse the 15 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "2026年歐洲歌唱大賽：第二次準決賽" is "丹麥" at 95%, meaning the market assigns a 95% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "澳洲" at 92%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "2026年歐洲歌唱大賽：第二次準決賽" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.