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政治·荷蘭

Dutch House of Representatives dissolved in 2026?

Market icon
政治·荷蘭

Dutch House of Representatives dissolved in 2026?

22% 機率
Polymarket
最新
22% 機率
Polymarket
最新
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the sitting Dutch House of Representatives (Tweede Kamer der Staten-Generaal), as of January 27, 2026, is dissolved by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the government of the Netherlands, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.**The Jetten minority coalition government, sworn in on February 23, 2026, after D66's surprise victory in the October 2025 snap election, anchors trader consensus at 78% against Dutch House of Representatives dissolution this year.** This centrist alliance of D66, VVD, and CDA stabilized politics following the prior Schoof cabinet's collapse over migration policy and PVV internal fractures that saw seven MPs defect in January. With no recent no-confidence motions, legislative gridlock, or coalition breakdowns reported post-formation—and the parliamentary term running to 2030—traders view structural incentives for endurance amid upcoming budget debates and municipal election fallout. Divergence from historical Dutch snap election patterns underscores crowd wisdom in pricing sustained minority government viability.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the sitting Dutch House of Representatives (Tweede Kamer der Staten-Generaal), as of January 27, 2026, is dissolved by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the government of the Netherlands, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
交易量
$9,498
結束日期
2026-12-31
市場開放時間
Jan 27, 2026, 7:17 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the sitting Dutch House of Representatives (Tweede Kamer der Staten-Generaal), as of January 27, 2026, is dissolved by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the government of the Netherlands, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the sitting Dutch House of Representatives (Tweede Kamer der Staten-Generaal), as of January 27, 2026, is dissolved by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the government of the Netherlands, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.**The Jetten minority coalition government, sworn in on February 23, 2026, after D66's surprise victory in the October 2025 snap election, anchors trader consensus at 78% against Dutch House of Representatives dissolution this year.** This centrist alliance of D66, VVD, and CDA stabilized politics following the prior Schoof cabinet's collapse over migration policy and PVV internal fractures that saw seven MPs defect in January. With no recent no-confidence motions, legislative gridlock, or coalition breakdowns reported post-formation—and the parliamentary term running to 2030—traders view structural incentives for endurance amid upcoming budget debates and municipal election fallout. Divergence from historical Dutch snap election patterns underscores crowd wisdom in pricing sustained minority government viability.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the sitting Dutch House of Representatives (Tweede Kamer der Staten-Generaal), as of January 27, 2026, is dissolved by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the government of the Netherlands, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
交易量
$9,498
結束日期
2026-12-31
市場開放時間
Jan 27, 2026, 7:17 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the sitting Dutch House of Representatives (Tweede Kamer der Staten-Generaal), as of January 27, 2026, is dissolved by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the government of the Netherlands, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"Dutch House of Representatives dissolved in 2026?" is a prediction market on Polymarket where traders buy and sell "Yes" or "No" shares based on whether they believe this event will happen. The current crowd-sourced probability is 22% for "Yes." For example, if "Yes" is priced at 22¢, the market collectively assigns a 22% chance that this event will occur. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"Dutch House of Representatives dissolved in 2026?" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Jan 28, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "Dutch House of Representatives dissolved in 2026?," simply choose whether you believe the answer is "Yes" or "No." Each side has a current price that reflects the market's implied probability. Enter your amount and click "Trade." If you buy "Yes" shares and the outcome resolves as "Yes," each share pays out $1. If it resolves as "No," your "Yes" shares pay $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current probability for "Dutch House of Representatives dissolved in 2026?" is 22% for "Yes." This means the Polymarket crowd currently believes there is a 22% chance that this event will occur. These odds update in real-time based on actual trades, providing a continuously updated signal of what the market expects to happen.

The resolution rules for "Dutch House of Representatives dissolved in 2026?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.