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政治·初選

CA-22主要優勝者

icon for CA-22主要優勝者
政治·初選

CA-22主要優勝者

最新
2026-06-02
Polymarket

$1,883 交易量

Polymarket

David Valadao

$417 交易量

98%

蘭迪·維勒加斯

$473 交易量

35%

Rudy Salas

$371 交易量

9%

Chris Mathys

$544 交易量

6%

Jasmeet Bains

$78 交易量

54%

This market will resolve according to the two candidates who receive the most votes in the primary, regardless of party, to contest the seat for California's 22nd congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The California primary is scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/. Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Incumbent Republican David Valadao faces two Democratic challengers in the June 2, 2026, top-two primary for California's 22nd Congressional District. The Central Valley seat, redrawn into a competitive toss-up after the latest maps, pits Valadao against state Assemblymember and physician Jasmeet Bains, viewed as the more moderate Democrat, and progressive school board member Randy Villegas, who carries endorsements from Senator Bernie Sanders and the Working Families Party. Recent polling shows Valadao well ahead overall while Bains leads Villegas among Democratic voters. Party recruitment efforts and fundraising patterns indicate Democratic strategists view the general election as a potential pickup opportunity regardless of which candidate advances alongside the incumbent.

This market will resolve according to the two candidates who receive the most votes in the primary, regardless of party, to contest the seat for California's 22nd congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The California primary is scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026.

If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/.

Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
交易量
$1,883
結束日期
2026-06-02
市場開放時間
Dec 11, 2025, 11:54 AM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve according to the two candidates who receive the most votes in the primary, regardless of party, to contest the seat for California's 22nd congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The California primary is scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/. Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve according to the two candidates who receive the most votes in the primary, regardless of party, to contest the seat for California's 22nd congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The California primary is scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/. Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Incumbent Republican David Valadao faces two Democratic challengers in the June 2, 2026, top-two primary for California's 22nd Congressional District. The Central Valley seat, redrawn into a competitive toss-up after the latest maps, pits Valadao against state Assemblymember and physician Jasmeet Bains, viewed as the more moderate Democrat, and progressive school board member Randy Villegas, who carries endorsements from Senator Bernie Sanders and the Working Families Party. Recent polling shows Valadao well ahead overall while Bains leads Villegas among Democratic voters. Party recruitment efforts and fundraising patterns indicate Democratic strategists view the general election as a potential pickup opportunity regardless of which candidate advances alongside the incumbent.

This market will resolve according to the two candidates who receive the most votes in the primary, regardless of party, to contest the seat for California's 22nd congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The California primary is scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026.

If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/.

Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
交易量
$1,883
結束日期
2026-06-02
市場開放時間
Dec 11, 2025, 11:54 AM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve according to the two candidates who receive the most votes in the primary, regardless of party, to contest the seat for California's 22nd congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The California primary is scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/. Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"CA-22主要優勝者" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 5 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "David Valadao" at 98%, followed by "Jasmeet Bains" at 54%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 98¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 98% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"CA-22主要優勝者" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Dec 11, 2025. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "CA-22主要優勝者," browse the 5 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "CA-22主要優勝者" is "David Valadao" at 98%, meaning the market assigns a 98% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Jasmeet Bains" at 54%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "CA-22主要優勝者" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.