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選舉·加州小學

CA-03 Primary Winners

icon for CA-03 Primary Winners
選舉·加州小學

CA-03 Primary Winners

最新
2026-06-02
Polymarket

$3,988 交易量

Polymarket

Ami Bera

$346 交易量

96%

Robb Tucker

$1,954 交易量

65%

Christine Bish

$1,125 交易量

21%

Heidi Hall

$452 交易量

17%

Chris Bennett

$90 交易量

12%

Laura Koscki

$21 交易量

7%

Chris Richardson

$0 交易量

5%

Lyndon Cervantes

$0 交易量

4%

The California primary is currently scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed candidate advances from the primary to contest the seat for California's 3rd congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/. Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.California's 3rd Congressional District top-two primary on June 2 features incumbent Ami Bera leading a crowded Democratic field including Heidi Hall, Chris Bennett, and Lyndon Cervantes, alongside Republicans Christine Bish, Laura Koscki, Robb Tucker, and Green candidate Chris Richardson. Mid-decade redistricting via Proposition 50 has transformed the suburban Sacramento seat into a Democratic-leaning battleground, with Kamala Harris carrying it 53%-43% in 2024, boosting trader focus on split Democratic votes potentially allowing a Republican advance. Bera holds a fundraising edge with $1.9 million cash-on-hand as of late March. Recent Sacramento Bee editorials and candidate forums underscore local priorities like economy and housing; early voting starts May 4, with turnout key in this nonpartisan primary.

The California primary is currently scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026.

This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed candidate advances from the primary to contest the seat for California's 3rd congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/.

Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
交易量
$3,988
結束日期
2026-06-02
市場開放時間
Apr 22, 2026, 1:01 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
The California primary is currently scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed candidate advances from the primary to contest the seat for California's 3rd congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/. Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
The California primary is currently scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed candidate advances from the primary to contest the seat for California's 3rd congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/. Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.California's 3rd Congressional District top-two primary on June 2 features incumbent Ami Bera leading a crowded Democratic field including Heidi Hall, Chris Bennett, and Lyndon Cervantes, alongside Republicans Christine Bish, Laura Koscki, Robb Tucker, and Green candidate Chris Richardson. Mid-decade redistricting via Proposition 50 has transformed the suburban Sacramento seat into a Democratic-leaning battleground, with Kamala Harris carrying it 53%-43% in 2024, boosting trader focus on split Democratic votes potentially allowing a Republican advance. Bera holds a fundraising edge with $1.9 million cash-on-hand as of late March. Recent Sacramento Bee editorials and candidate forums underscore local priorities like economy and housing; early voting starts May 4, with turnout key in this nonpartisan primary.

The California primary is currently scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026.

This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed candidate advances from the primary to contest the seat for California's 3rd congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/.

Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
交易量
$3,988
結束日期
2026-06-02
市場開放時間
Apr 22, 2026, 1:01 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
The California primary is currently scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed candidate advances from the primary to contest the seat for California's 3rd congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/. Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"CA-03 Primary Winners" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 8 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Ami Bera" at 96%, followed by "Robb Tucker" at 65%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 96¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 96% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"CA-03 Primary Winners" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Apr 22, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "CA-03 Primary Winners," browse the 8 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "CA-03 Primary Winners" is "Ami Bera" at 96%, meaning the market assigns a 96% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Robb Tucker" at 65%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "CA-03 Primary Winners" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.