Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns an 89.5% implied probability to the Bank of Israel maintaining its benchmark interest rate at 4% in the May 25 Monetary Policy Committee meeting, reflecting the central bank's March 30 decision to hold rates steady amid contained inflation and heightened geopolitical risks from the Iran conflict. February 2026 CPI rose to 2.0% year-over-year, within the 1-3% target, while staff forecasts project 2.2-2.3% inflation for the year despite a trimmed 2026 GDP growth outlook to 3.8% from prior estimates. Elevated fiscal deficit projections at 5.3% of GDP temper rate cut expectations (10% implied odds), with hikes deemed negligible at 0.7% absent accelerating price pressures; upcoming April CPI data could influence positioning ahead of resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於維持不變 90%
下調 9%
提高 <1%
$11,919 交易量
$11,919 交易量
下調
9%
維持不變
90%
提高
1%
維持不變 90%
下調 9%
提高 <1%
$11,919 交易量
$11,919 交易量
下調
9%
維持不變
90%
提高
1%
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Israel after its May 25, 2026 monetary policy decision, as listed on the official Bank of Israel interest rate decision schedule: https://www.boi.org.il/en/economic-roles/monetary-policy/interest-rate-announcement-dates-2025-2026/#
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Israel's announcement of their May 25, 2026 decision with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the Bank of Israel Interest Rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
市場開放時間: Feb 25, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Israel after its May 25, 2026 monetary policy decision, as listed on the official Bank of Israel interest rate decision schedule: https://www.boi.org.il/en/economic-roles/monetary-policy/interest-rate-announcement-dates-2025-2026/#
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Israel's announcement of their May 25, 2026 decision with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the Bank of Israel Interest Rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns an 89.5% implied probability to the Bank of Israel maintaining its benchmark interest rate at 4% in the May 25 Monetary Policy Committee meeting, reflecting the central bank's March 30 decision to hold rates steady amid contained inflation and heightened geopolitical risks from the Iran conflict. February 2026 CPI rose to 2.0% year-over-year, within the 1-3% target, while staff forecasts project 2.2-2.3% inflation for the year despite a trimmed 2026 GDP growth outlook to 3.8% from prior estimates. Elevated fiscal deficit projections at 5.3% of GDP temper rate cut expectations (10% implied odds), with hikes deemed negligible at 0.7% absent accelerating price pressures; upcoming April CPI data could influence positioning ahead of resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
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