Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 78% implied probability on Bank of America (BAC) beating Q1 2026 earnings consensus, driven by the bank's consistent earnings surprise history—including a Q4 2025 EPS beat of $0.98 versus $0.96 expected—and a positive Zacks Earnings ESP of +1.44%, signaling recent analyst upgrades. Robust net interest income (NII) surged 10% year-over-year to $15.75 billion last quarter amid stabilizing deposit trends and elevated Treasury yields, while trading revenue climbed 10% on market volatility. Strong consumer spending and CEO Brian Moynihan's above-consensus 2.8% U.S. GDP growth outlook for 2026 further bolster expectations. Q1 results are due April 15, with EPS consensus near $1.00; key focus will be NII trajectory and credit quality amid potential Fed rate cuts.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於是
是
If Bank of America releases earnings without GAAP EPS, then the market will resolve according to the GAAP EPS figure reported by SeekingAlpha. If no such figure is published within 96h of market close (4:00:00pm ET) on the day earnings are announced, the market will resolve to “No”.
If the company does not release earnings within 45 calendar days of the estimated earnings date, this market will resolve to “No.”
Note: Subsequent restatements, corrections, or revisions made to the initially announced GAAP EPS figure will not qualify for resolution, except in the case of obvious and immediate mistakes (e.g., fat finger errors, as with Lyft's (LYFT) earnings release in February 2024).
Note: The strike prices used in these markets are derived from SeekingAlpha estimates, and reflect the consensus of sell-side analyst estimates for GAAP EPS.
Note: All figures will be rounded to the nearest cent using standard rounding.
Note: For the purposes of this market, IFRS EPS will be treated as GAAP EPS.
Note: For the purposes of this market, GAAP EPS refers to diluted GAAP EPS, unless this is not published, in which case it refers to basic GAAP EPS.
Note: All figures are expressed in USD, unless otherwise indicated.
Note: For primarily internationally listed companies, this market refers specifically to the shares traded in the United States on U.S. stock exchanges such as the NYSE or Nasdaq. In cases where the company trades in the U.S. through an American Depositary Receipt (ADR) or American Depositary Share (ADS), this market will refer to the ADR/ADS.
市場開放時間: Apr 1, 2026, 4:18 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...If Bank of America releases earnings without GAAP EPS, then the market will resolve according to the GAAP EPS figure reported by SeekingAlpha. If no such figure is published within 96h of market close (4:00:00pm ET) on the day earnings are announced, the market will resolve to “No”.
If the company does not release earnings within 45 calendar days of the estimated earnings date, this market will resolve to “No.”
Note: Subsequent restatements, corrections, or revisions made to the initially announced GAAP EPS figure will not qualify for resolution, except in the case of obvious and immediate mistakes (e.g., fat finger errors, as with Lyft's (LYFT) earnings release in February 2024).
Note: The strike prices used in these markets are derived from SeekingAlpha estimates, and reflect the consensus of sell-side analyst estimates for GAAP EPS.
Note: All figures will be rounded to the nearest cent using standard rounding.
Note: For the purposes of this market, IFRS EPS will be treated as GAAP EPS.
Note: For the purposes of this market, GAAP EPS refers to diluted GAAP EPS, unless this is not published, in which case it refers to basic GAAP EPS.
Note: All figures are expressed in USD, unless otherwise indicated.
Note: For primarily internationally listed companies, this market refers specifically to the shares traded in the United States on U.S. stock exchanges such as the NYSE or Nasdaq. In cases where the company trades in the U.S. through an American Depositary Receipt (ADR) or American Depositary Share (ADS), this market will refer to the ADR/ADS.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 78% implied probability on Bank of America (BAC) beating Q1 2026 earnings consensus, driven by the bank's consistent earnings surprise history—including a Q4 2025 EPS beat of $0.98 versus $0.96 expected—and a positive Zacks Earnings ESP of +1.44%, signaling recent analyst upgrades. Robust net interest income (NII) surged 10% year-over-year to $15.75 billion last quarter amid stabilizing deposit trends and elevated Treasury yields, while trading revenue climbed 10% on market volatility. Strong consumer spending and CEO Brian Moynihan's above-consensus 2.8% U.S. GDP growth outlook for 2026 further bolster expectations. Q1 results are due April 15, with EPS consensus near $1.00; key focus will be NII trajectory and credit quality amid potential Fed rate cuts.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions