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2026年底阿根廷官方美元匯率?

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2026年底阿根廷官方美元匯率?

1600.00以上 41%

<1250.00 10.1%

1350.00–1399.99 8.1%

1500.00–1549.99 7.6%

Polymarket
最新

1600.00以上 41%

<1250.00 10.1%

1350.00–1399.99 8.1%

1500.00–1549.99 7.6%

Polymarket
最新

<1250.00

$0 交易量

10%

1250.00–1299.99

$0 交易量

8%

1300.00–1349.99

$0 交易量

5%

1350.00–1399.99

$0 交易量

8%

1400.00–1449.99

$0 交易量

6%

1450.00–1499.99

$677 交易量

8%

1500.00–1549.99

$667 交易量

9%

1550.00–1599.99

$0 交易量

6%

1600.00以上

$1,324 交易量

53%

This is a market about Argentina’s official wholesale U.S. dollar exchange rate at market close on the last business day of December 2026, as published by the Central Bank of Argentina (BCRA). This market will resolve according to the official wholesale USD to ARS exchange rate (Tipo de Cambio Mayorista, ($ por USD) Com. A 3500 | Referencia) at market close on the final business day of December 2026, as published by the BCRA on its official website (https://www.bcra.gob.ar/). If the official rate for that date has not been published by the end of the 7th day after the end of the specified month, the market will resolve according to the most recently published official wholesale rate preceding that date. The resolution source for this market will be the official BCRA publication. Resolution will occur once this figure is available. Note: the resolution source for this market will be the Central Bank of Argentina (BCRA), which reports the Wholesale Exchange Rate to two decimal points (e.g., 1,408.02 ARS per USD). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.Polymarket traders price a 52.5% implied probability for Argentina's official USD/ARS exchange rate exceeding 1600 by end-2026, driven by the Central Bank's January 2026 shift to inflation-linked crawling bands that permit controlled monthly peso depreciation. With February CPI at 2.9% monthly and March estimates near 3%, bands have adjusted upward—April's upper limit at 1,657 rising to around 1,703 by month-end—cumulatively supporting trader consensus for roughly 15-20% devaluation from the current ~1,395 rate. Robust BCRA reserves of $44 billion, bolstered by recent net dollar purchases exceeding $4.4 billion YTD, provide intervention capacity but do not offset inflation pressures. Lower outcomes like <1250 carry just 10.1% odds amid disinflation progress yet persistent 25-30% annual inflation forecasts; watch March CPI and May band updates for sentiment shifts.

This is a market about Argentina’s official wholesale U.S. dollar exchange rate at market close on the last business day of December 2026, as published by the Central Bank of Argentina (BCRA).

This market will resolve according to the official wholesale USD to ARS exchange rate (Tipo de Cambio Mayorista, ($ por USD) Com. A 3500 | Referencia) at market close on the final business day of December 2026, as published by the BCRA on its official website (https://www.bcra.gob.ar/).

If the official rate for that date has not been published by the end of the 7th day after the end of the specified month, the market will resolve according to the most recently published official wholesale rate preceding that date.

The resolution source for this market will be the official BCRA publication. Resolution will occur once this figure is available.

Note: the resolution source for this market will be the Central Bank of Argentina (BCRA), which reports the Wholesale Exchange Rate to two decimal points (e.g., 1,408.02 ARS per USD). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
交易量
$2,668
結束日期
2026-12-31
市場開放時間
Jan 21, 2026, 10:25 AM ET
This is a market about Argentina’s official wholesale U.S. dollar exchange rate at market close on the last business day of December 2026, as published by the Central Bank of Argentina (BCRA). This market will resolve according to the official wholesale USD to ARS exchange rate (Tipo de Cambio Mayorista, ($ por USD) Com. A 3500 | Referencia) at market close on the final business day of December 2026, as published by the BCRA on its official website (https://www.bcra.gob.ar/). If the official rate for that date has not been published by the end of the 7th day after the end of the specified month, the market will resolve according to the most recently published official wholesale rate preceding that date. The resolution source for this market will be the official BCRA publication. Resolution will occur once this figure is available. Note: the resolution source for this market will be the Central Bank of Argentina (BCRA), which reports the Wholesale Exchange Rate to two decimal points (e.g., 1,408.02 ARS per USD). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
This is a market about Argentina’s official wholesale U.S. dollar exchange rate at market close on the last business day of December 2026, as published by the Central Bank of Argentina (BCRA). This market will resolve according to the official wholesale USD to ARS exchange rate (Tipo de Cambio Mayorista, ($ por USD) Com. A 3500 | Referencia) at market close on the final business day of December 2026, as published by the BCRA on its official website (https://www.bcra.gob.ar/). If the official rate for that date has not been published by the end of the 7th day after the end of the specified month, the market will resolve according to the most recently published official wholesale rate preceding that date. The resolution source for this market will be the official BCRA publication. Resolution will occur once this figure is available. Note: the resolution source for this market will be the Central Bank of Argentina (BCRA), which reports the Wholesale Exchange Rate to two decimal points (e.g., 1,408.02 ARS per USD). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.Polymarket traders price a 52.5% implied probability for Argentina's official USD/ARS exchange rate exceeding 1600 by end-2026, driven by the Central Bank's January 2026 shift to inflation-linked crawling bands that permit controlled monthly peso depreciation. With February CPI at 2.9% monthly and March estimates near 3%, bands have adjusted upward—April's upper limit at 1,657 rising to around 1,703 by month-end—cumulatively supporting trader consensus for roughly 15-20% devaluation from the current ~1,395 rate. Robust BCRA reserves of $44 billion, bolstered by recent net dollar purchases exceeding $4.4 billion YTD, provide intervention capacity but do not offset inflation pressures. Lower outcomes like <1250 carry just 10.1% odds amid disinflation progress yet persistent 25-30% annual inflation forecasts; watch March CPI and May band updates for sentiment shifts.

This is a market about Argentina’s official wholesale U.S. dollar exchange rate at market close on the last business day of December 2026, as published by the Central Bank of Argentina (BCRA).

This market will resolve according to the official wholesale USD to ARS exchange rate (Tipo de Cambio Mayorista, ($ por USD) Com. A 3500 | Referencia) at market close on the final business day of December 2026, as published by the BCRA on its official website (https://www.bcra.gob.ar/).

If the official rate for that date has not been published by the end of the 7th day after the end of the specified month, the market will resolve according to the most recently published official wholesale rate preceding that date.

The resolution source for this market will be the official BCRA publication. Resolution will occur once this figure is available.

Note: the resolution source for this market will be the Central Bank of Argentina (BCRA), which reports the Wholesale Exchange Rate to two decimal points (e.g., 1,408.02 ARS per USD). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
交易量
$2,668
結束日期
2026-12-31
市場開放時間
Jan 21, 2026, 10:25 AM ET
This is a market about Argentina’s official wholesale U.S. dollar exchange rate at market close on the last business day of December 2026, as published by the Central Bank of Argentina (BCRA). This market will resolve according to the official wholesale USD to ARS exchange rate (Tipo de Cambio Mayorista, ($ por USD) Com. A 3500 | Referencia) at market close on the final business day of December 2026, as published by the BCRA on its official website (https://www.bcra.gob.ar/). If the official rate for that date has not been published by the end of the 7th day after the end of the specified month, the market will resolve according to the most recently published official wholesale rate preceding that date. The resolution source for this market will be the official BCRA publication. Resolution will occur once this figure is available. Note: the resolution source for this market will be the Central Bank of Argentina (BCRA), which reports the Wholesale Exchange Rate to two decimal points (e.g., 1,408.02 ARS per USD). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"2026年底阿根廷官方美元匯率?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 9 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "1600.00以上" at 53%, followed by "<1250.00" at 10%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 53¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 53% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"2026年底阿根廷官方美元匯率?" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Jan 21, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "2026年底阿根廷官方美元匯率?," browse the 9 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "2026年底阿根廷官方美元匯率?" is "1600.00以上" at 53%, meaning the market assigns a 53% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "<1250.00" at 10%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "2026年底阿根廷官方美元匯率?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.