Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 92% implied probability for Apple (AAPL) shares closing above $245 on April 6, anchored by the current share price near $255—roughly 4% above the threshold—following stable intraday trading between $250 and $256 amid moderate volume of 30-40 million shares. This positioning reflects momentum from Apple's fiscal Q1 2026 results announced January 29, with record revenue of $143.8 billion (up 16% year-over-year) and diluted EPS of $2.84 (up 19%), bolstering iPhone revenue at $85.3 billion despite lingering AI competitive pressures that tempered a 5% pullback over the past 30 days. Analyst consensus holds a $298 price target (range $205-$350), signaling undervaluation relative to fundamentals. No major catalysts precede resolution, though Q2 earnings on April 30 loom as a post-deadline volatility driver; downside risks include broader market selloffs or negative tech sector news testing support near $250.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於245美元
80%
250美元
64%
255美元
73%
260美元
37%
$265
36%
$746 交易量
245美元
80%
250美元
64%
255美元
73%
260美元
37%
$265
36%
If the final session is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Yahoo Finance after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Apple Inc. (AAPL) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/AAPL/history, published under "Historical Prices."
市場開放時間: Apr 2, 2026, 8:00 AM ET
If the final session is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Yahoo Finance after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Apple Inc. (AAPL) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/AAPL/history, published under "Historical Prices."
Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 92% implied probability for Apple (AAPL) shares closing above $245 on April 6, anchored by the current share price near $255—roughly 4% above the threshold—following stable intraday trading between $250 and $256 amid moderate volume of 30-40 million shares. This positioning reflects momentum from Apple's fiscal Q1 2026 results announced January 29, with record revenue of $143.8 billion (up 16% year-over-year) and diluted EPS of $2.84 (up 19%), bolstering iPhone revenue at $85.3 billion despite lingering AI competitive pressures that tempered a 5% pullback over the past 30 days. Analyst consensus holds a $298 price target (range $205-$350), signaling undervaluation relative to fundamentals. No major catalysts precede resolution, though Q2 earnings on April 30 loom as a post-deadline volatility driver; downside risks include broader market selloffs or negative tech sector news testing support near $250.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
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