The market shows near-certainty around 220-239 tweets for Elon Musk from August 28 through September 4, 2026, reflecting the tracking window's imminent close and a steady posting cadence that has locked in that range. Traders have priced in Elon's typical daily volume on X, influenced by ongoing business updates, policy commentary, and real-time reactions without any major spikes from unexpected events. Historical patterns of consistent but not extreme activity during similar periods reinforce this consensus. An upset into higher brackets would require an uncharacteristic late-week surge, such as rapid-fire responses to breaking news or viral threads, though the current trajectory makes such shifts improbable before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於220-239 100.0%
<20 <1%
20-39 <1%
40-59 <1%
$3,002,585 交易量
$3,002,585 交易量
2026-09-04
<20
No
20-39
No
40-59
No
60-79
No
80-99
No
100-119
No
120-139
No
140-159
No
160-179
No
180-199
No
200-219
No
220-239
Yes
240-259
No
260-279
No
280-299
No
300-319
No
320-339
No
340-359
No
360-379
No
380-399
No
400-419
No
420-439
No
440-459
No
460-479
No
480-499
No
500+
No
220-239 100.0%
<20 <1%
20-39 <1%
40-59 <1%
$3,002,585 交易量
$3,002,585 交易量
2026-09-04
<20
$1,826 交易量
No
20-39
$2,940 交易量
No
40-59
$22,684 交易量
No
60-79
$53,930 交易量
No
80-99
$64,073 交易量
No
100-119
$56,289 交易量
No
120-139
$92,074 交易量
No
140-159
$204,620 交易量
No
160-179
$287,835 交易量
No
180-199
$292,666 交易量
No
200-219
$316,037 交易量
No
220-239
$295,301 交易量
Yes
240-259
$353,336 交易量
No
260-279
$214,354 交易量
No
280-299
$171,545 交易量
No
300-319
$152,609 交易量
No
320-339
$123,321 交易量
No
340-359
$74,586 交易量
No
360-379
$45,415 交易量
No
380-399
$30,194 交易量
No
400-419
$28,412 交易量
No
420-439
$19,228 交易量
No
440-459
$11,776 交易量
No
460-479
$10,528 交易量
No
480-499
$9,607 交易量
No
500+
$67,398 交易量
No
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 28 12:00 PM ET to September 4, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.The market shows near-certainty around 220-239 tweets for Elon Musk from August 28 through September 4, 2026, reflecting the tracking window's imminent close and a steady posting cadence that has locked in that range. Traders have priced in Elon's typical daily volume on X, influenced by ongoing business updates, policy commentary, and real-time reactions without any major spikes from unexpected events. Historical patterns of consistent but not extreme activity during similar periods reinforce this consensus. An upset into higher brackets would require an uncharacteristic late-week surge, such as rapid-fire responses to breaking news or viral threads, though the current trajectory makes such shifts improbable before resolution.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 28 12:00 PM ET to September 4, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
市場開放時間： Aug 25, 2026, 12:00 AM ET
交易量
$3,002,585結束日期
2026-09-04市場開放時間
Aug 25, 2026, 12:00 AM ET已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 28 12:00 PM ET to September 4, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.The market shows near-certainty around 220-239 tweets for Elon Musk from August 28 through September 4, 2026, reflecting the tracking window's imminent close and a steady posting cadence that has locked in that range. Traders have priced in Elon's typical daily volume on X, influenced by ongoing business updates, policy commentary, and real-time reactions without any major spikes from unexpected events. Historical patterns of consistent but not extreme activity during similar periods reinforce this consensus. An upset into higher brackets would require an uncharacteristic late-week surge, such as rapid-fire responses to breaking news or viral threads, though the current trajectory makes such shifts improbable before resolution.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 28 12:00 PM ET to September 4, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
交易量
$3,002,585結束日期
2026-09-04市場開放時間
Aug 25, 2026, 12:00 AM ET已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
The market shows near-certainty around 220-239 tweets for Elon Musk from August 28 through September 4, 2026, reflecting the tracking window's imminent close and a steady posting cadence that has locked in that range. Traders have priced in Elon's typical daily volume on X, influenced by ongoing business updates, policy commentary, and real-time reactions without any major spikes from unexpected events. Historical patterns of consistent but not extreme activity during similar periods reinforce this consensus. An upset into higher brackets would require an uncharacteristic late-week surge, such as rapid-fire responses to breaking news or viral threads, though the current trajectory makes such shifts improbable before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions